
Last Sunday came and went, and what transpired between the Seahawks and Cardinals in Seattle was pretty much what I had expected. Realistically speaking, Gardner Minshew, who many folk in the state of Washington can appreciate, wasn’t going to stand much of a chance against a great Seahawks defense what was going to step onto the field pissed off to make things right after a disappointing outing against the Bear on MNF. All a sore elbowed Drew Lock needed to do was to conservatively game manage an offense, and Seattle would win this game, and they did.
Last week, I wrote an article that begged the question to fans, if not Sam Darnold at quarterback for Seattle now, and long term, then who? In that piece I was dubious to suggest that Seattle could move on from the QB who had just won us our second Super Bowl in favor of Drew Lock, and everything would be hunky dory with this offense. I predicted that Seattle would win against the Cardinals in a 17-9 sorta way, and Seattle won 17-3, so tip the cap to me, my vibes last week were pretty spot on.
Drew Lock deserves heaps of praise for game managing well against a bad Cardinals team, but let us not get too far ahead of ourselves as some very popular Seahawk content creators have been doing since Sunday. Drew got the ball out quickly, distributed it pretty well, made some really nice short area throws into very tight windows, and he made the plays he needed to make to secure victory. He also threw a couple balls that were very fortunate to not be picked off, and one of them was a dangerous lateral throw that if the Cardinal LB had played just a wee bit better, would have likely been a pick six and the whole complexion of the football game would have instantly changed. That play, in particular, was a very 2026 Sam Darnold moment.
That said, we now have a three game sample size from Drew over the six game sample size from Sam, and the statistical differences are very stark. Sam has thrown interceptions in every game he has started and finished, and Drew has stayed way more protective with the football. In Sam’s defense, Drew has not faced a fierce Denver pass rush on the road, a 49er defense with Fred Warner back, or a Bears defense with the addition of Jeffery Simmons, but the raw stats do not lie. Drew has been more efficient, and productive in many ways.
I also think that Drew’s performance in contrast to Sam’s has been superior in regards to the eye test with fans and those in the media. Too often in the pocket, Sam has looked jittery and uncomfortable, and in similar circumstances, Drew has looked calmer.
Heading into this season, there had been a lot of analytical data points that showed Sam struggles in shotgun situations as opposed playing under center and utilizing play action passing. Brian Nemhauser of Hawkblogger made this a very big point some months back on one of his podcast episodes, and the data he pulled up was pretty eye opening. It was also pretty concerning when he made the point that Brian Fleury comes from the 49ers offense that, under Kyle Shanahan, really does prefer a heavier usage of shotgun as opposed to what Klint Kubiak used here with Sam last year.
Sure as rain in November, Fleury has come to Seattle, and with him, a heavier usage of shotgun offense has followed. This is what he wants to do in Seattle, and it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that this degree of shotgun reliance hasn’t clicked with Sam.
Through a three game sample size with Drew, however, it does build a pretty strong case that it works fine for him. This view showed very much consider the gigantic caveat that two of these games Drew has played in were against the Cardinals, who, while scrappy, aren’t very good, and if we were to go back into time to that very tight season opener game against the Patriots, if it weren’t for the ridiculous fourth and short pass to JSN who juked past a sea of Patriot defenders for a wild touchdown catch and run at midfield, we easily might have lost that game, but that is neither here nor there. Through three games, Drew has looked significantly more comfortable in this shotgun heavier approach than Sam has. I will be perfectly willing to concede that.
But if that a good thing for this team moving forward? This is the question I ask fans.
Seattle is too good of a team to not end up with somewhat of a winning record this season. Their defense remains elite, and was on display against the Cardinals without their best defender in defensive tackle Leonard Williams. Their offense is getting healthier at running back now with Zach Charbonnet appearing to be fully back from his knee injury and explosive again, and rookie Jadarian Price feeling twitchy and dynamic back from injury. Eventually, their offensive line with settle in with Quinton Nelson at left guard, and Charles Cross coming back at left tackle.
With the remaining games on this schedule, I would imagine Seattle is poised to win at least nine or ten games with a chance at the post season, and possibly more than that. They have too many good players who will be playing for pride against the division rival 49ers and Rams, and they will want to punish inferior teams remaining on the schedule.
So, yes. If Seattle decides to stay with Drew Lock as the starter, I do think there’s a reasonable chance he’s able to game manage this team into a winning season at the rate that he’s playing. From, a physical standpoint, I do not believe he’s a better quarterback than Sam Darnold is, however, and if Seattle were to ride it out for him in a rather vanilla shotgun disturbing dink and dunk sorta approach, the big explosive elements of the pass game would disappear, but with this defense, it might not matter with the teams that are remaining on this schedule.
So, let’s be perfectly real about this approach. It could guide Seattle to wins against the Raiders, the Eagles, Cowboys, Panthers, and possibly the Giants, but if Seattle is forced to win any sort of shootout against Matthew Stafford and the Rams, or Brock Purdy and the 49ers, good luck with this approach.
Here lays the main problem I have with this whole offensive approach Seattle has embraced with Fleury as their new play caller. I hate to use this term, but I think it’s a really wussy style of ball to play, offensively, and it’s a stark contrast to the offensive approach Seattle played with last year that they won a Super Bowl with, and it’s very much a sharp contrast to the offensive approach that they won with Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch years ago with. It’s just not very physical, and it won’t get this team very far if they continue with it beyond this season.
I think it is true that you can probably find a lot of quarterbacks in this league who can operate comfortably in a heavier usage of shotgun. They could continue riding with Lock beyond this season, or Mac Jones could probably come up here and do some positive stuff in it. Michael Penix would probably feel comfortable in that approach.
College football is almost primarily run out of shotgun these days, and Seattle could take a stab at a quarterback in the coming draft like a Darian Mensah, CJ Carr, Trinidad Chambliss, or Jayden Maiava, and they could become a serviceable game manager that has JSN to throw to, a couple decent backs to hand off to, and a great defense to play with. It is possible that one of these guys could have Bo Nix level game managing success as a rookie, if Seattle were to do that, but is this an offensive style that would mix well with this defense and compliment it?
I don’t think so. I think it is a bad compliment.
It isn’t physical, it’s finesse. It isn’t tone setting, it’s passive. If you cannot provide explosive plays on offense, how can this team be shocking, decisive, and relentless as is Mike Macdonald’s mantra for how he wants this team to operate?
I am not the biggest Jalen Milroe believer, but I would rather see Milroe starting in a very run heavy approach living as a passer purely on rudimentary naked bootleg designs where he’s elite running traits would place second level defenders in a bind as to whether to come up and meet him on the perimeter and risk leaving a target wide open, or staying in coverage and conceding a ten yard game from him on the ground. The QB keeper game would come into effect, the zone read play would, in theory, return back to a Seattle offense from the old LOB days, and RPO plays could open up explosive plays to JSN downfield.
This offensive approach would better compliment this Mike Macdonald Dark Side defense. It would make for a more shocking style of football, at least, in theory, and I would be way more open to giving it a shot.
I just don’t think that Brian Fleury would be the play caller who would want to shift to it. I suspect that when he came up to Seattle, it was with a motivation to turn an OC job into an eventual head coaching gig. If Seattle resorts to a rudimentary RPO offense with a running quarterback, that offensive won’t scream offensive genius from the play caller. It didn’t land Darell Bevell a head coach gig after Seattle won its first Super Bowl, and it likely wouldn’t land Fleury won, either.
But it might be the offensive approach to best fit Mike Macdonald and his defense moving forward, if they do not return to a Kubiak style scheme for Sam Darnold.
I don’t think Drew Lock game managing with Fleury will. Just my food for thought for the day, and again, yes, I like Drew perfectly fine.
Go Hawks








