
Imagine that it is the last game of the season, and the Seattle Seahawks need a victory over a resurgent San Francisco 49er team in order to win the division, and host playoff games. This has been a hard fought game. An old fashioned grinder with both defenses playing well, and both offenses doing just enough.
Late in the fourth, Sam Darnold has just led a methodical five minute drive that ended with Zach Charbonnet plunging into the end zone for the go ahead score. There is two and a half minutes left in the game, however, and the 49ers need their own touchdown to win.
On the first play of their possession, Kyle Shanahan dials up a play that punks Mike Macdonald’s defenders, and 49ers now have the ball close to midfield. Seattle fans are in knots, while 49er fans are going out of their minds in the stands.
Shanahan allows the clock to reach the two minute warning. He feels confidence with his play calling, his core veteran players, and does not want to allow Seattle any chance to possess the ball again in regulation, if his team punches the ball into the end zone. He wants to crush the hearts of Seattle fans once again. There is no coach in the league who enjoys beating Seattle more than this person, and he is an apex predator smelling blood in the water.
On the first play after the two minute warning, he calls a run that the Seattle defense reads brilliantly, and Christian McCaffery is dropped for a short gain. It is now second and nine, and Shanahan has forced his offense into obvious pass plays.
During the two minute timeout, however, Macdonald had grilled his defenders to look out for Shanahan’s trickery again. They are eager to redeem themselves and have a veteran four man front on the field consisting of DeMarcus Lawrence, Jarran Reed, Leo Williams, and TJ Watt, all foaming at the mouth, and ready.
The ball snaps, and there is immediately penetration from all four defenders. The seasoned vets, however, detect a screen pass to McCaffery, and TJ Watt drops the White Bunny for a two yard loss. It is now third and eleven, but it is four down territory with the game on the line, and both fanbases are biting their fingernails. All Brock Purdy needs to do on the next play is to get San Francisco to fourth and manageable, and the victory can still be theirs.
Out of the shotgun, Purdy tries a pump fake that doesn’t work, D Law successfully bull rushes Trent Williams which forces Purdy to roll right because he can’t step up in the pocket, and this is exactly what Kyle Shanahan doesn’t want him to do. TJ Watts then explodes into him for a sack fumble, Devon Witherspoon scoops the ball up and sprints into end zone for a final TD that ices the game away for Seattle.
When the final whistle blows, and the fireworks shoot off, the entire fanbase of Seattle explodes with excitement inside Lumen field, leaving angry 49er fans are left to endure the Seeeeaaaa Haaaaaawks chants as they leave the stadium for their expensive hotel rooms. It will be a long trip back to Northern California for a lot of them, and others will have to tuck their 49er jerseys away in shame, and out of fear of being made fun of at the South Center Mall.
Who, as a Seattle Seahawk fan, would not be down for this scenario to take place next Fall?
This is what a premiere edge rush player can do for your defense. When the game is on the line, and it is do or die, that player is capable of making back to back plays in those most crucial moments that can turn the tide towards victory. That’s why they get paid the big dollars.
I will be honest in saying that when recent news came out about TJ Watt and the Pittsburgh Steelers being a ways off in contract negotiations, thus leading to a speculative belief that the team might consider shopping him, I did not think about Seattle potentially being a suitor. The need for offensive line improvement feels so great in the PNW that it has almost been my entire focus of this offseason. If anything, I have felt like Seattle should be in the market to trade for a proven offensive guard, and I still do.
But the more I allow myself to marinate in this idea of Seattle potentially doing a shocking move for Watt, the more I see the reasoning to do it, if the opportunity is there, and I can even allow myself to think that it isn’t too much of a far fetched notion. It had been reported, after all, that when Las Vegas inquired about Geno Smith, John Schneider pitched to them a propsoal of trading both him, and DK Metcalf for superstar edge rusher Maxx Crosby. Vegas shot the pitch down, but still pursued Geno, and the rest is history.
But it is worth considering that a month ago, Seattle was trying to pry A List edger rusher Crosby out of Vegas for Mike Macdonald’s defense. Could they turn to pursue a different A Lister? It’s an interesting thought, if nothing else.
Personally, I don’t think that the gulf of talent between Crosby and Watt is that far apart. At this stage, Crosby is clearly the more desirable talent because he is three years younger than Watt, but if Watt were suddenly made available, I would have to think Seattle would likely have an immediate interest, even though they paid a handsome amount to bring in DeMarcus Lawrence in free agency. D Law is a fine veteran talent, but he is no TJ Watt. Few in this league are.
If I were to list the best pure edge rushers in this league, my order would probably go Myles Garrett, Nick Bosa, Crosby, and Watt. This is the elite stratosphere he is in even if he is 30 years old and perhaps close to slowing down a bit.
If Seattle were to acquire Watt this offseason, I believe that move pushes them significantly closer to true contender status than any offensive lineman they might draft, or trade for. He is that much of a difference maker. There is not an offensive coach in the league who won’t spend extra time accounting for him in game preparation.
It also is worth keeping in mind that Macdonald likely knows him well, having coached against him in the AFC North. He would have a good idea how to properly deploy him in this particular hybrid defense.
If they truly want to make this thing with Sam Darnold work out, I see very little harm that can come out of spending extra to make a good defense a great one this coming season. If Darnold knows he has a defense that can shut down most offenses, I would assume that would be a gigantic confidence booster. There would be little pressure to force hero throws downfield. Instead, he could feel more comfortable taking what is offered, and play within the parameters of being a quality game manager. If you have to punt and play field position, fine. If you need to settle for the field goal, okay. Be smart, play protective with the ball, eventually the other team’s defense will get tired of tackling, and that is when the bigger plays start to happen.
Great defenses tend to make quarterbacks paired with them more patient players. Bad defenses can really stress them out, and force them to press more.
This is not to say that I advocate trading for Watt in order for Seattle to win games 13 to 10 over the Rams, and such. I am just saying that there is a distinct advantage in knowing and believing that you can win games like that against tougher opponents.
The thing of it, too, is that Seattle is currently sitting on a lot of cash right now, and they will have tons of cap space available to think in 2026, and 2027. They are one of a few handful of teams who could comfortably afford acquiring Watt, and pay him a handsome contract extension, afterwards.
In fact, Vegas betters currently list Seattle as the second best favorite to land him in a deal, just behind the New England Patriots. I also think if I were Pittsburgh, I would probably rather deal him to an NFC team than an AFC one, and potentially have to play against him in the playoffs.
I can add a lot of things up in my mind that would lead me to a place of seeing John Schneider making a strong effort to get TJ Watt here. It is a pretty healthy list, actually.
There is something to be said for making your strength stronger, knowing who you are, and doubling down on it. Seattle hired a defensive guru to build up great defense to win with in Seattle. If Watt is the guy to put this defense over the top, then why wouldn’t you just bring him in, if he is available?
It is also worth noting that the true value of this particular draft is largely thought to be in day two of it. In that, it is also somewhat interesting that a lot of Seattle’s roster needs appear to be players that they can find in day two, namely guards, receiver, tight end, defensive tackle, corner, and so such. With two picks in round two, and two picks in round three, Seattle is positioned to find a couple good interior offensive linemen, and still grab a couple other talented players at other positions.
To give more legitimacy to this wild idea, I recall reading a few months back someone stating that this could be a draft were we see some contending teams at the bottom of round one trading first round picks for proven NFL talent simply because the types of players available in that range of the draft wouldn’t be that more talented than players to be had further into round two. If this is true, then it really shouldn’t that wild to think about Seattle sending pick 18 to Pittsburgh for Watt, especially if Macdonald and Schneider believe that they are really close to being a true contender, and a player such as Watt is likely the difference between building towards contender status, and actually being there.
Some people would likely hate this hypothetical move, for certain. It wouldn’t be a move that addresses the offensive line, and Watt will be 31 years old in the Fall. Seattle would have to pay him a fortune, upwards to $40 million APY based on the deals Garrett and Crosby have recently gotten. His window of elite play might only be three or four more years.
Still, the production you would get out of him, the elite traits, the leadership, the football intelligence, and all that comes with that, I don’t know if Seattle gets that stuff out of someone that they take in this draft. That is why, if they did this trade, I would be out of my skull excited about it.
The bigger question would honestly be whether Pittsburgh would be willing to deal their biggest star player.
Personally, I don’t have a great feel for that, but it does seem like they are generally in a hard spot with Watt in terms of getting him to an agreeable contract extension. The Myles Garrett and the Maxx Crosby contracts have completely reset the pass rusher market to the point where the top ones are now making quarterback money, and the Steelers just traded for DK Metcalf and have paid him an absurd amount per year, resetting the receiver market.
Does Pittsburgh want to pay Watt $40 million APY for the next four years? Would Watt be willing to take less than Crosby and Garrett when he is clearly in their class of pass rushers?
These are the questions that this whole trade scenario hinges on, and the answers right now feel mirky, if not cryptic with the out sign photo of him that Watt posted recently on social media. It is probably an obvious sign that he is not happy with how negotiations are going with his present team, at the very least.
I think it is possible that the Steelers are sticker shocked right now, and are reluctant to pay Watt top dollars when he is now approaching the wrong side of thirty. They probably don’t want to trade away their marquee player, but they also may not want to dive into a four year $160 million deal with him, either.
They do have a couple decent young edge rushers behind Watt, as well, and they also have a supreme track record of identifying edge rushers in the draft and finding great value with them in days two and three. If one team could move off of an older superstar edge rusher and replace him in the third round, in my mind, the Steelers would be on my short list to do it.
They also have an Eye of Jupiter sized need of drafting a quarterback this year, and now that Derek Carr will be lost for the 2025 season in New Orleans, there is even greater competition in front of them to take a quarterback in the first round. All signs are that NOLA will take either Jaxson Dart or Shedeur Sanders at 9 overall. The Raiders could bugger up things further by taking one of these guys at 6 overall. That could set up an unexpected chain reaction which a lot of quarterbacks go higher than expected a week ago.
There is also buzz that teams picking at the top of round two could try to jump ahead of Pittsburgh in round one for a quarterback. This is the problem they face not having Aaron Rodgers on their roster as a draft hedge.
So, there is, at the very least, a growing bit of space in my mind that if Seattle were to dangle pick 18 at them, and say, Boye Mafe, that could be enough to get Pittsburgh to bite. From a Steelers perspective, they get a first round pick and a young pass rusher with enough talent to mitigate the loss of Watt. It could be especially appealing, if they feel they can then package picks 18 and 21 to move up for a quarterback they love, if they really believe in one of those guys.
In terms of what Seattle could do in the draft to still properly address their offensive line, it is interesting that the OL players they have brought in for team visits are all most day two projections. It has made me feel, for a while, that Seattle is looking to go a different direction at pick 18. Well, what if that direction ultimately ends up being a stunning trade for a big name established veteran such as Watt?
It is a fun thought. There is only a small handful of older non-quarterback players in this league that I would feel great about shipping off a first round pick for, but Watt is definitely one of them.
Ultimately, I don’t know if this trade happens. It probably does not, but it is interesting that Seattle is sitting on about $30 million in available cap space for 2025. That does make it feel like they are perhaps searching for an opportunity to make a splash trade for a big name veteran player at some capacity.
Most would assume that it is for a veteran offensive lineman, but what if it is for an impact player at another position? What if it is for a superstar edge rusher to put this defense over the top?
Interesting stuff to day dream about, indeed.
Go Hawks.
