So, a wee bit of a bomb was dropped last week when NFL draft insider Tony Pauline wrote an article that mentioned Louisville quarterback Tyler Shough was gaining first round buzz, and the teams showing the most interest in him have been the Pittsburgh Steelers, and the Seattle Seahawks. Alrighty, then.
I will be the first to admit that the news left me with a bunch of conflicted thoughts.
I really liked what Shough had shown at the NFL scouting combine, and how he seemed to come across at the Senior Bowl in practices. He’s a likable personality. He’s tall, athletic, and mature. He has clear tools, and an arm talent that feels very translatable to the NFL. He has intangibles that make him an interesting match for Mike Macdonald, and he feels less of a project than many of the other quarterbacks in this draft, including Jaxson Dart, and Cam Ward. For Seattle, however, I just don’t know if I would like him taken any earlier than round three, and if he goes higher than that, let him be someone else’s prize.
It is funny how fluid the NFL offseason can be. Back in late February/early March, if some NFL insider had told me that Seattle was eyeing taking a quarterback early in this coming draft, I would have been excited about the notion. Having the college football playoffs and the national championship still fresh enough in my mind, I found myself becoming a big time Will Howard fan, and I have liked Jaxson Dart a lot, as well. Seeing Louisville QB Tyler Shough throw at the scouting combine had really turned my eye, as well.
Back then, Seattle still had 34 year old Geno Smith on their roster, and for me, 2025 felt like a good year to take a stab at one of these quarterbacks in the first, or second if they felt really strongly about one of them. The idea made sense. Sign Geno to a short extension to offer him more money up front, and take one of these guys to groom behind him for a couple years, essentially creating a Green Bay Packer Jordan Love scenario.
Two weeks later, this whole notion evaporated after Seattle traded Geno to Las Vegas for a third round pick, and pivoted towards signing Sam Darnold in free agency. With 27 year old Sam Darnold coming in on a three year contract, my entire view of the Seahawk QB situation had suddenly shifted. Seattle got seven years younger at the position in a lateral move that could prove to be an upgrade, given the new Klint Kubiak system, and the potential of Sam being a better fit for it.
For me, this move to Sam Darnold greatly diminishes the need for Seattle to draft QB of the future this year, and I still like a number of quarterbacks in this draft even if none of them appear to be top end prospects. I like Howard, Dart, and Shough quite a lot, actually. I also think Texas QB Quinn Ewers has a little something interesting about him, and could potentially be a good system fit here. I think Notre Dame’s Riley Leonard could honestly be a really interesting draft and slow develop prospect for Seattle if sat patient, and took him in rounds three, four, or five, and same thing with Syracuse QB Kyle McCord.
If Seattle were to draft any one of these guys in rounds three through five, I would be fine with it. These are the rounds that they should properly go in, I feel. The reality is that quarterbacks, in general, tend to get elevated higher up draft boards given the league’s constant need for them, and because of that, many of these guys will probably get drafted much higher in a few weeks time. I just don’t want to see Seattle join the needy lot of teams that will be looking to gobble them up earlier than necessary.
Seattle has seemingly committed to seeing if Sam Darnold can be a long term solution here, I feel like they can, and should be more patient than perhaps a large handful of other teams zeroing in on these prospects. Given the needs that still exist on the offensive line, perhaps the lack of depth at cornerback (and maybe safety), the injury concerns of Cooper Kupp, the lack of a long term solution at tight end, I just don’t want to see Seattle draft a QB any earlier than round three, and I prefer to see them wait it out until day three of the draft, if they can.
It would be cool to see them draft a guy at some point, and I get that lure of wanting to see a talented QB on a rookie contract slow cooking into potentially being an eventual starter. I also see the logic salary cap logic of taking a QB this year in the draft, as well, with Sam Howell being in the last year of his rookie contract, and therefore having a developmental QB2 on a rookie contract for the next four years.
I also appreciate that the inner workings of Darnold’s contract really makes it seem more like a two year “prove it” sorta deal with team friendly outs for Seattle. To me, it makes the deal all the more better for the team, and in a sense, the player, as well.
If Darnold struggles to match his breakout performance of 2024, Seattle has the ability to move on from him quickly over the next season, or two. If he plays really well in their Klint Kubiak scheme, he will be in position during the 2027 offseason to negotiate a bigger long term contract to stick around. Within the framework of his contract with Seattle, the Seahawks have protected themselves, and Sam Darnold has waged a good bet on himself working out here. Every Seahawk fan should like that.
Essentially, in two years time, Seattle will know if Sam Darnold is, or is not their long term franchise quarterback. This is why I am absolutely not down for Seattle burning their first round pick on a quarterback such as Tyler Shough, or even Jaxson Dart later this April. If they are both available at pick 18, let them become the prizes of other teams afterwards.
I think there are most likely going to be strong options for them in the first round to improve their offensive line (finally), or further strengthen their defensive line. I could also get down with Seattle taking a crack at a defensive back, or a tight end if one of Tyler Warren, Colston Loveland, or Mason Taylor is sitting there.
Many fans would hate this, but I could even be convinced that taking a receiver in round one makes sense, if my arm is twisted enough, and local kid Emeka Egbuka is there, who grew up in Tacoma being a huge Seahawks fan. Egkuka is a lot like Jaxon Smith Njigba, but I can be convinced that it isn’t a bad thing for Seattle to nab him up, and groom him behind veteran Cooper Kupp. Inject a guy like him onto this roster, and suddenly the narrative that Darnold won’t have as good of a receiving corp to throw to as he did in Minnie shrinks dramatically.
I likely wouldn’t love seeing Seattle take a receiver, tight end, or DB at 18 overall if a good offensive line prospect was available, but if the guy is really special, I could wrap my head around it. I would just have a much harder time wrapping my head around a quarterback, if that proved the case.
If that pick does become quarterback Tyler Shough, as NFL draft insider Tony Pauline has recently sorta suggested, it would be a tough pill for me to swallow. It would leave me with the feeling like Seattle would have way overcorrected at quarterback to an unnecessary degree, and I like Shough for reasons already mentioned. In round three, I would enjoy seeing Seattle taking a swing at him, if he was still there, but not round one, or even really, round two, and here is why.
Shough has a lot of college experience starting because he has been injured so many times that he has bounced around different programs looking for fresh starts. To a degree, it has been a blessing to him because he has played in numerous systems, has grown as a passer, and a person, and has created a pretty good floor as a quarterback draft prospect for himself. He will, however, turn 26 years old in the Fall, and is therefore, just about two years younger than Darnold, and that, matched with his injury history, makes him less appealing to me as a prospect.
He would be the perfect player to land with Pittsburgh with a chance to start right away, and get his clock going as a rookie. I think Cleveland would also be a great spot for him with a chance for the team to move off of the horrendous Deshaun Watson situation. The Jets certainly make similar sense with Justin Fields not being a certainty to succeed. Tennessee would be a very obvious landing spot with a chance for him to openly compete with Will Levis.
I could even argue that going to the Rams, where they probably have Stafford going year to year now, would make sense. Ditto with the Giants and Russell Wilson being on a one year deal, or even to the Raiders with Geno Smith.
For Shough, I think either a situation where he can immediately start as a rookie, or develop behind an older QB1 who probably only has a couple of years left makes a bunch of sense. If Seattle still had Geno Smith here, I could get behind taking Shough earlier, or any other of these quarterbacks getting hyped up a bit.
Shough going to Seattle at 18, though, after signing Darnold? Man, I wouldn’t get that.
If Seattle were to take Shough with their first round pick, they would almost certainly feel the pressure to move off of Darnold without seeing the experiment with him through. Due to his age, the clock for getting Shough in the driver’s seat as QB1 for Seattle would probably be pressured to be sped up, as he will be 30 years old by the time he would be negotiating his second contract.
And if they did decide to move off of Darnold early in favor of developing a 26 year old quarterback that they invested a first round pick on, and Shough struggles and or gets injured (as he often did in college).. Jeeze Louise.. when what does Seattle have potentially have at quarterback?
It would potentially be a bloody mess that would see the whole front office fired, and maybe the coaching staff, as well. Personally, I would like to avoid that scenario from happening because that sounds way too much like the New York Jets over the past 15 years.
Now, if he ends up playing like Josh Allen all of that is moot, but how likely is that going to be?
My guess is not that likely, and his ceiling will probably be, well.. Sam Darnold-esque with maybe a greater likelihood of getting injured a fair amount more. That doesn’t sound like someone I want to see Seattle spend a first round pick on when they already have Darnold on the roster for the next three years, or longer, if all goes well.
Now, if he is sitting at pick 82 or 92, and Seattle wanted to add him, then I would be way more warm to it. That would be much more palatable.
If he lasted that long, then it would signal that the league recognized his injury concerns and had questions about his true ceiling. Seattle could take advantage of an older college quarterback still being available who might have a decent floor, and enough ability to push Darnold early.
If he develops strongly, and quickly, Seattle would have flexibility to move away from Darnold. If Darnold plays well enough to not really make of a competition between the two, then Seattle has a decent and affordable backup option on their roster for the next four seasons. Either scenario would be win/win for Seattle, and Seattle will have bolstered their roster by taking players at other positions earlier.
Honestly, this might be the reason Seattle is taking a good long look at Shough. They might not be considering him in the first round, but should he last into round three, he might become an interesting option once offensive line, and a few other positions are addressed. Having him behind Darnold becomes additional security at the most important position at a more palatable cost.
But first round quarterback for Seattle this year?
Nah, I am not feeling that.
Not in an offseason when the biggest need on this team clearly has been improving the offensive line, and Seattle has done extremely little in free agency to add talent to it. I can accept this reality of lack of veteran infusion to the offensive line if Seattle sees numerous players in this draft that they are prepared to add early, starting in round one. Ideally, I would want to see an offensive lineman taken in round one, and another one taken in round two.
North Dakota State guard/center Grey Zabel is the guy I am all in on due to his physical profile and fit for their zone blocking system, but there are others who I equally could get behind at pick 18. I wouldn’t hate it if they selected Ohio State guard Donavan Jackson. I also wouldn’t be mad if it was Oregon tackle/guard Josh Conerly Junior, either (other local Seattle kid, FYI).
Honestly, I wouldn’t hate it if their first three picks of the draft (picks 18, 50, and 52) were all offensive linemen, given the needs of improvement to this area being that extreme. It likely won’t happen, but I wouldn’t be upset if it did.
So, while it is fun to think about seeing Seattle drafting a quarterback high because it would infuse fans with something daydream about, especially those skeptical about Darnold, I don’t think this is the draft to do it. I don’t think any of these quarterbacks are sure things be quality NFL starters.
I think it is all fingers crossed projection with Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, Dart, Howard, and Shough will become quality NFL QBs. If any of these guys were in last year’s draft where six quarterbacks were drafted in the first twelve picks of the draft, they all would have likely been second or third round picks, at best. Let other teams needier at quarterback take swings on them.
Go get Grey Zabel, or someone else close enough to his talent level on the offensive line. Commit to saying what you want to be; a tough physical team that nobody wants to play. Do not pass over a player who will provide you this opportunity up front for a quarterback prospect who may not ever be able to beat out Sam Darnold at QB1 spot further down the line. Don’t do this.
Ride this through with Darnold over the next two years, and see what you have with him first. If it doesn’t work out, then consider taking a quarterback high. You might be better positioned for it in a future draft with a stronger quarterback class than this one.
Trust me on this. This is not the draft to take a quarterback high. At all. Not for the Seattle Seahawks, anyways.
With two weeks of NFL free agency now in the books, I bet there are Twelves scratching their heads over the state of the Seattle Seahawk offensive line, leaving bloody scabs of frustration for concerned loved ones to see. I will be the first to admit that I’m surprised by the lack of movement at guard and center, given the needs.
The NFL offseason is fleeting. A week and a half ago, the Seattle Seahawks were free agency darlings in the eyes of SI journalist Albert Breer for the way they moved off of Geno Smith for Sam Darnold and essentially a third round pick. Fast forward to now, we have various analysts now calling them big time losers of the offseason because they signed Darnold and haven’t made big free agent moves to upgrade the offensive line for him.
“What is the plan in Seattle?”
“It seems like the Seahawks have no plan.”
Indeed. From an outsider perspective, it’s a fair take. For those close to the team, however, there is a nuanced perspective national media folks won’t spend time discussing. Nuance does not great headlines.
I don’t believe that the Seattle front office is the clueless mess that skeptics would have it. First of all, I didn’t think this year’s free agent crop of offensive lineman was that great. The only player I was really hoping for was former Altanta center Drew Dalman who quickly signed a massive contract with Chicago. Secondly, I think it is worth reminding frustrated fans that the draft appears to be promising for interior offensive linemen.
At the Senior Bowl, it was noted by many how intently GM John Schneider was studying offensive line drills. He was watching these guys like a hawk (intended pun). This should have been a big tell for what Seattle’s plan would be to address the offensive line this offseason.
With now two weeks into free agency and no real move to be made on the offensive line outside of adding a swing tackle, I am beginning to let go of expectations of what I thought this team would do, and I am embracing their process. There are talented players in this draft class who are going to fill needs on Seattle’s offensive line, and I am ready for them to come in.
When reality smacks you across the face, it is time to let go of expectations that you have held onto, and just accept what is. This ability to let go is beneficial for survival, and has been passed down to us through generations of strife.
When our forefathers were picking berries down by a riverbank, and a gigantic saber cat jumped out of the brush, grabbed one of their children, and ran off with it for an easy snack, our forefathers didn’t just stop producing more kids. Instead, they just got smarter about where to bring them around.
So, while I would have imagined that Seattle would have made former Viking center Garrett Bradbury their new center here, following Sam Darnold to the 206, I had to quickly pivot off of that. Likewise, when I also would have thought that Teven Jenkins possibly would have been signed last week to become the new starting left guard.
Neither of these moves happened. Bradbury was never brought in, and it is worth noting that Seahawk center Olu Oluwatimi has a similar 2004 PFF grade to his. Jenkins did visit, but left Seattle without a contract, and quickly signed elsewhere. It is obvious that Seattle was not as high on these players as many Seahawk fans had been, and I think the answer to this is now obvious.
Bradbury never lived up to the hype of his first round status in Minnesota, and Jenkins has a problematic injury history, and a questionable desire to play through pain. As desperate as we can be wanting to see Seattle make free agents moves to improve the offensive line, I don’t think we should hold it against them that they punted on either of these guys.
Seattle obviously sees prospects in this draft that they could land, and develop as long term answers rather than make spendy moves on free agents whose previous teams felt ready to move on from. Alternatively, it is also very possible that their new offensive coaches honestly like the potential of young players recently drafted, and they want to further develop them as starters.
Believe it or not, Anthony Bradford was actually one of the better zone run blocking guards in football last year, per Pro Football Focus. The problem was that with former coordinator Ryan Grubb, Seattle did not run the ball nearly enough, and he was not consistent enough as a pass blocker. If the new offensive line coaches can further unlock the potential of Bradford, he has the size and athletic profile to be a dominating run blocking guard in this league.
Additionally, last year’s third round pick Christian Haynes was one of the best pure zone blocking guards in all of college football in 2023, but he was little used by Grubb, and once Bradford was lost for the season after eleven games, he was leap frogged by six round pick Sataoa Laumea, who coaches could like, as well. There is a perception around the team that Grubb mishandled the development of Haynes, and this could be true. The interesting thing about Haynes is that he has a body type that could make for an intriguing candidate at center, if Seattle takes a guard early in the draft, and views Bradford as a starter at guard, as well.
But why am I bringing up all this zone blocking jargon, you ask? Well, Seattle is adopting a scheme that is largely reliant on zone blocking, and with that offensive linemen who are really good at getting to second level defenders, and creating elaborate running lanes for running backs are requirements to making the scheme go.
What does this mean most likely for Seattle and the offensive line moving forward this year?
They added Josh Jones as a veteran swing tackle, and I suspect that they will make one more modest veteran move on the offensive line prior to the draft that is now a month away. Like Jones, it will likely not be a move that gets many Twelves hopeful, but I suspect that the real big splash for the offensive line will happen in this draft, likely in round one or round two.
It is recently been estimated that there are 16 interior offensive line prospects in this draft that will be viewed as NFL starters. That’s a healthy number.
Some of them are college tackles who will convert to guards in the pros, and some might even convert to center. Dennison and Benton have long proven track records as NFL offensive line coaches who have converted college tackles into production interior offensive linemen.
It is very safe to say that in a month’s time, at least one of these 16 mastodons is going to be a Seattle Seahawk. It is possible that with Bradford and Haynes on this roster, that player will be our new starting center. It is also possible that the coaches will look to convert Haynes to center to make way for a talented rookie to play guard, as he has a good body type for the position.
Does this feel risky? Yes. Absolutely it does, but almost every move that Seattle has done this offseason has been a big calculated risk.
It was risky moving on from Geno Smith in favor of Sam Darnold, who even though I believe might prove to be an upgrade, there is no guarantee of that panning out.
Likewise, even though Cooper Kupp is likely a better scheme fit for Seattle than DK Metcalf likely would have been, there is no guarantee he stays healthy enough, and therefore it is a huge risk for Seattle to trade off DK only to pivot to Kupp. Because of this, I fully expect Seattle to draft a receiver at some point within the first two days of the draft.
I think there is even a modest risk that Seattle has signed 31 year old DeMarcus Lawrence to a big three year contract. He’s older, coming off of a significant injury last year. While I am hopeful that Mike Macdonald will make good use out of him, there is no guarantee that his body won’t start to further break down given his violent style of play.
What I like about all of these moves is that the Seattle front office has realized that annually treading water at 9 or 10 wins a season is not likely going to bring them any closer to another Super Bowl ring, and they are now finally willing to take some educated risks. If Sam Darnold does prove to be a good system fit here, as I think he will, then Seattle has effectively solved its longer termed quarterback question, and if not, then they can look to the draft in a future year. If the totality of Cooper Kupp and a promising rookie receiver is a greater sum than DK Metcalf for this scheme at receiver, then Seattle will have made a brilliant move to trade him rather than overspend to keep his unhappy butt on the roster.
Likewise, if Seattle does indeed draft North Dakota State offensive lineman Grey Zabel, and he converts to a pro bowl center for Seattle for the next ten years, then it would be a brilliant stroke from the front office to not settle on a mediocre veteran center like Garrett Bradbury just because of his familiarity with Sam Darnold. Raise your hand, if you are a Seahawk fan who would love to see the center position finally secured by a quality player for the next decade of Seahawk football.
This is the biggest thing to consider now as a Seahawks fan. Wouldn’t it be more prudent to invest in young talent in a good draft for interior offensive linemen than overspend for mid level players in the free agency? My answer to this is very much a resounding yes.
You made the switch from Ryan Grubb to Klint Kubiak because you recognized that the Kubiak system would be better for your team. Kubiak brought with him top notch NFL offensive line coaches who master at coaching a zone blocking scheme, and you have a couple year guards on the roster who have shown to be good zone blockers. This draft is loaded with college players who were good in zone blocking schemes.
It appears that John Schneider is prepared to trust these coaches to get the most out of young players. It is not the safest thing to do. It does not make me feel as comfortable as I want to be as a Seahawks fan. It is, however, probably the smartest thing to do given the mediocrity of the free agent market for guard and center, and the promising nature of this draft class.
This draft is not thought to be strong at quarterback, and Seattle quickly pivoted to Sam Darnold when they felt they would not reach a deal with Geno Smith. This draft is also not thought to be greatly rich at receiver, either, and that is why I think we have seen moves to add Kupp, Marquise Valdez Scantling, and now River Cracraft.
This is a promising draft for guards and it has some players who could convert to center. This is a great draft for defensive tackle, running back, and tight end.
This is a good draft for Seattle to get meat and potato players on both sides of the ball. If you want to play stout defense, and run the ball, control clock, play connected as a team, then I think Seattle is well positioned with five picks in the top 92 to add to the line of scrimmage, and around out the roster for this team to better play the style of ball that Macdonald would have it.
Seattle could even theoretically draft a special player at 18 in this draft who doesn’t play on the offensive line, and still find solutions for their line in the second and third rounds. It would make me incredibly nervous if they did this, but there are a couple tight ends who will be drafted in the top frame of this draft who are talented enough that if one fell into the lap of Seattle at 18, it might be too difficult to resist the urge of selecting. If Seattle took one of these guys, I would be pretty on board with that, and then I would keep my fingers crossed that they could grab a couple good offensive linemen in round two.
What I suspect is most likely, though, is that John Schneider does the very conventional thing and takes the best offensive lineman on their board at 18, or a little bit later in the first round after a bit of a trade back, and then he takes another offensive lineman on day two. History supports this likelihood.
In 2022, after they traded Russell Wilson, Seattle was very thin at offensive tackle. While some wanted them to take a swing on a quarterback in the weak quarterback draft class, they conventionally took the best left tackle on their board in Charles Cross, and then they took right tackle Abe Lucas in early round three. Cross was not widely viewed as a top ten draft prospect but they stayed safe, and took him at 10 overall, anyways. This proved to be a pretty decent payoff, and they found decent value with Lucas later on.
It feels very logical that John Schneider should look to replicate this with the interior of Seattle’s offensive line this April. I can see a very vivid scenario where Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart is sitting at pick 18, and Seattle choses an offensive line over a quarterback who will have a lot of Twelves clamoring for him like they did with Malik Willis four years ago when Seattle took Cross, instead.
Grey Zabel is going to be a guy who is going to be talked about a lot for Seattle in the coming weeks. He is a tall, strong, athletic zone blocker who plays with a lot of attitude and toughness, and is reportedly a very strong leader. He took a series of reps at the Senior Bowl at center, and snapped the ball well. Some think he has the profile to be a solid guard in this league, but could ultimately be a top tier starting center down the line. I think there is an extreme possibility that Seattle would draft him at 18, but I also think it is very possible that he is taken before Seattle’s pick.
If this proves the case, and Zabel won’t be available to them, that could compel Seattle to trade down a bit and still take a guard, and then double dip at guard again on day two, and then consider moving Christian Haynes to center. It wouldn’t get a lot of Seahawk fans excited, but with the high number of offensive tackles in this draft that could convert well to guard, plus guys who were quality guards in college last year like Ohio State’s Donovan Jackson, Georgia’s Tate Ratledge, and Alabama’s Tyler Booker, a Haynes move to center suddenly becomes more interesting in an open competition with Olu Oluwatimi, if Seattle grabs a couple of these fellas.
There are a couple other convert to center candidates in this draft, as well, that Seattle could consider. Purdue offensive lineman Marcus Mbow has a similar projection to convert to center as Zabel, based on his physical traits that suit the position. Some think that West Virginia’s Wyatt Milum could be suited for the spot, as well.
Outside of these two other guys, though, this draft is considered very thin at center in terms of who were actually playing the spot in college last year. Georgia center Jared Wilson is the only player who is thought to have strong starter potential in this draft. That is why guys like Zabel and probably Mbow are going to be elevated based on projection.
This is why Zabel is going to continue being a very talked about player for Seattle at 18. Based on the current needs of the team, he might be a top player on their board at this point. Their ideal scenario might be being able to take him at 18, and then keeping their fingers crossed that one of Jackson, Booker, Ratledge, or Oregon’s Josh Conley Jr falls in their lap in round two.
If they are fortunate to land Zabel and there is a run on top guard prospects to the point where none of them land to them in round two, then that is where they might go different directions much like they did in free agency, and they trust their coaches to further develop Haynes and Bradford as guards. Is this ideal? Probably not, but objectively speaking, it is a fall back that could work out, or at least work better for them in the 2025 season.
It is already noted that Bradford and Haynes have both shown good abilities as run blockers in a zone scheme. The truth of the matter for Seattle is that with Kubiak replacing Ryan Grubb, Seattle is venturing back to their 2012-2014 DNA of predominantly being a running team with play action passing being a complimentary feature. If they add Zabel inside, that could be enough to further uncork the potential of Ken Walker and Zach Charbonnet and it further mitigate the limited pass blocking traits of a guy like Bradford, and who knows, perhaps Benton and Dennison are able to develop Bradford further as a pass blocker. This is possible.
In their ideal world, I feel like this coaching staff would probably love to see Sam Darnold throw on average about 25 times a game, and the bulk of that on play action passes where he has shown to be very good at it. This is the strength of their new quarterback, and he might be perfectly fine staying in this game managerial lane while guiding Seattle to wins. At this point in his career, he is probably just looking for stability, and a chance to win as a starter however which ways those wins come. If this is the case, that is not a terrible thing, at all, for Seattle, or for him.
I suspect that this is their plan. They want a good young enough game managerial situation at quarterback. They want to win with defense, play good special teams, and close out the circle by running the football, killing clock, and making explosive plays off of play action.
Ironically, I think they really do want to get back to Pete Carroll football in many, many ways.
With a full week for NFL free agency in the books for the league, I thought it would be good to do a little reflections on how this past week went for the Seattle Seahawks. I wrote a fairly lengthy reaction to the Seahawks signing Sam Darnold as a replacement for Geno Smith, but after that, I sorta wanted to go dark for the rest of the week to see what else unfolds, and then let it breathe. Here are some of my overriding thoughts as I have digested what was one of the most wildly active weeks I can remember out of any start to free agency for the Seattle Seahawks.
After trading cutting Tyler Lockett, and trading away Geno Smith, and DK Metcalf, I feel like there was an immediate reaction from fans and media members such as Mina Kimes that proclaimed John Schneider was steering Seattle into a seemingly unnecessary rebuild after a respectable 10-7 season. I am not here to say that Kimes and others are overly dramatic in response, but I could not disagree with this take more.
I don’t think Tyler Lockett was ever going to be a great fit for the Kubiak scheme that Seattle is adopting, at all. I had some mild concerns about Seattle signing Geno to another big time contract given his age, and whether he has peaked out as a player. Additionally, if I am being perfectly honest, while I have always been a big DK supporter, I was never a hundred percent sure if his inconsistencies as a route runner was going to fit for this thing, either.
I felt certain that Tyler was going to be gone, but I also wondered if Seattle would be aggressively move off of the other two, as well. Sounds like they wanted to keep DK, and tried to work it out with him, but the sudden move away from Geno feels much cloudier, at best.
I suspect that once they realized how affordable Sam Darnold was going to be, the more incentivized they were to trade away Geno Smith. If you just take emotions out of the equation, it makes a lot of sense from a basic football perspective. If you are moving into a new offensive scheme with a new OC, would it not make sense to move towards a quarterback who has a deeper background in the scheme, success in the scheme, and relationship with the OC, especially if he is seven years younger than the QB you have in house? I believe it does.
So while I appreciate how smart of a football mind Kimes is, I do not see this as any sort of wave the white flag, tear it down, rebuild project for Seattle this year, at least by their thinking. I think they are in the midst of a major retooling, bringing in players who they see as better fits, and I am patient to see how it will look after the draft in April before fully judging too much, one way or the other.
The overriding theme I keep saying with each of these signings is “system fit.” I anticipate we will see maybe a couple more acquisitions next week where “system fit” is going to be the major descriptor for them.
Here are my grades on each signing, thus far.
Quarterback Sam Darnold: A+
If you are not the same Sam Darnold enthusiast that I am, I will not hold it against you. For me, I believe Darnold could prove to be a quality upgrade over Geno Smith, and I have confidence in this belief.
If you want to gleam valuable insight into how well an NFL player is, I invite you not to rely solely on an advanced metric chart that some Seahawk fan shares on social media, or listen to a content creating Seahawk YouTuber. Instead, give a good long listen to whatever NFL Films analyst Greg Cosell has to say. Greg Cosell pours over every play of each NFL player with key insight to what NFL coaches value and look for in a given play. He is very on board with Sam Darnold coming to Seattle. In fact, he views him being a better fit for the Kubiak offense than Geno Smith.
A lot is now being made of the real numbers coming out on Darnold’s three year contract with Seattle. It is obviously very team friendly, but I would be careful to label it as a one year contract with team outs in 2026 and 2027, and expect that Seattle will be drafting his replacement in April. Seattle has done similar contracts like this in the past with Geno Smith, and even Russell Wilson. Let’s face it, if Darnold plays well, and Seattle does well, he will likely stay through this three year span, and he will very likely sign a bigger extension by the 2027 offseason.
Seattle got younger at quarterback, possibly better at quarterback at a price that is perfectly team friendly, and they acquired a third round pick in exchange for Geno Smith. This is a big time win, and I have a sneaking suspicion that Darnold will prove to be better here than some realize. If I am wrong on this, and he stinks, well then, Seattle can get out of this deal, and will most likely be better positioned next year to select a quarterback in a draft class that is thought to be much stronger at the position.
I see no bad angle at taking this shot with Darnold this year, though. I am excited to see what happens, and this all feels very win/win for the team, and potentially the player, as well.
Offensive Tackle Josh Jones: C+
Quietly nestled under in the huge Sam Darnold news last Monday was the news that Seattle agreed to terms with Baltimore offensive tackle Josh Jones on a one year contract to be the swing tackle for Charles Cross and Abe Lucas. For me, he’s a valuable signing given the health history of Lucas, and he is something rare for a Seattle signing. He is known as a better pass blocker than a run blocker. This is a decent move, if not a spectacular one, and it is good to see this team appreciate a more veteran presence at this spot than being forced to trust a rookie. They need to make a much bigger splash on the offensive line in this veteran market than this, though, and hopefully that move is around the corner this week.
WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling: B-
MVS is essentially a poor man’s version of DK Metcalf, and with DK gone, Seattle needed someone reliable who can take the top off of a defense. This is MVS’s game, and he comes to Seattle familiar with Klint Kubiak and his scheme. I like this signing because of the very obvious need. They need skill players who know what to do in this scheme and can be relied on to start and/or add knowledgable depth.
It would be tough to argue that MVS is an upgrade over Tyler Lockett because Lockett is a significantly more accomplished receiver, but it is possible that MVS is a better fit for this scheme. He also comes to Seattle with a Super Bowl ring from his time with the Chiefs, and in that, could offer valuable leadership in a receiver room that will now need it.
DE DeMarcus Lawrence: A-
I will be honest, when the news broke that Seattle signed this guy to a big three year contract, I flipped out with excitement. It was a move that I wanted to see this team make because of the type of player he is, and the connection he has to defensive coordinate Aden Durde from their Dallas days together. I did not think Seattle would go here, though, and therefore, wasn’t expecting this.
Obviously, I am not concerned much about D Law’s age, nor am I concerned about the injury he sustained last year. For me, he is a significantly better system fit at rush end than Dre’Mont Jones was, and he is a stellar run stopper as well as being a solid pass rusher.
Seattle’s defense needs his level of badass on the edge. They have some badass dudes inside at DT, but D Law rounds the front four out as a rush end. Seattle’s improving defense likely got stronger with this move. He might not be the pass rusher he was a few years ago, but Macdonald has a pretty solid track record with getting good production out of older defensive linemen. Very worthy risk to take with this guy even if age and his injury from last year are a bit of a concern.
WR Cooper Kupp: A
The only thing that prevents this from being an A+ signing for me is his injury history the last few years. I adore this signing, though. I rooted hard for it to happen the second Seattle traded away DK Metcalf.
By every metric and film tape, Cooper Kupp is, unquestionably, a better overall fit for the Kubiak scheme than DK Metcalf would likely be, even if his ability to get separation has diminished. That is not to say that DK couldn’t have evolved, and excelled greatly in it. It just means that Kupp is, right now, better equipped to do all the right things that Kubiak will require at reciever, and it’s a cherry on top that he comes to Seattle at half the financial cost of that it would have been to extend DK.
He will come in with a superb understanding of the outside stretch zone offense. He is a Super Bowl MVP, and that is going to give him a ton of status on this youthful roster. Young players will look up to him, and likely follow his example.
So many of his intangibles go beyond the field of play. They will be there at practice, and on the sidelines, and in the meeting rooms.
He will also be extremely motivated to play well here, and prove the Rams wrong. He did not return to his home state to be second class in the NFC West. He came home to play in front of friends and family, to stick it to the Rams twice a year, and to win the division, and bring another Super Bowl victory to his home team. If he accomplishes this feat, his legacy will be as big here as it is in Southern California. I suspect he will be highly driven to accomplish this for himself, and his family who are diehard Seattle Seahawk fans.
No matter how much Jaxon Smith Njigba is becoming an ascending talent in Seattle, Cooper Kupp will be a valuable featured player in this offense. He will know the routes, the concepts, he will understand the finite spacing, the run blocking nuances, and he will most likely provide Sam Darnold a very reliable outlet against zone defenses. He will be a superb mentor to JSN, and whoever else Seattle might grab in this year’s draft.
While it is likely that he will miss a game here and there, his overall value to this team will most likely greatly outweigh injury concerns. Just draft someone to groom behind him. Like Darnold, there is no risk to bringing him in, and there is a very real chance of this paying off big time. I love this move so much.
Cornerback Shemar Jean-Charles: D+
Seattle needs cornerback depth, and they don’t have much beyond Josh Jobe backing up Riq Woolen and Devon Witherspoon. As much as an optimist as I am, I find it hard to get excited about this addition. SJC has some starting experience in the league, but the way he has bounced around on and off teams and practice squads gives an impression that this is purely a depth move. I wouldn’t be surprised if cornerback becomes a bigger target for the team in this draft with Woolen heading into a contract year, and I also wouldn’t be surprised if they add another vet. We shall see.
Thoughts moving into the second week of free agency
This is the week where I super duper want to see the Seahawks make a significant addition (or two) on the offensive line. Josh Jones might be a really nice depth player capable of playing multiple positions at the offensive line, but I see a glaring need at left guard, and center possibly even more.
Former Bears left guard Teven Jenkins is scheduled to meet with Seattle on Monday. This is encouraging. He is a big athlete guard who would be a good fit for their zone blocking scheme. He’s at a good age being only 26 years old. He has had a bit of an injury history, though, and that is why Chicago chose to move on from him.
If Jenkins reaches a two or three year deal with Seattle, that would tell me that things went really well with him during the meet, and they are willing to live with his injury risks. If they sign him to a one year contract or move on without an offer, that means that selecting a guard in the early stages of the draft in April will be inevitable. It is that simple. This visit will tell us a lot about where they are going with the offensive line, one way, or another.
The move that I would most likely see Seattle do with the offensive line this week isn’t at guard, though, it’s at center. Klint Kubiak was very outward after his hiring that he would like to see a smart, experienced, capable player come in and take over his center spot.
In his scheme, the center is arguably the most important player on the line outside of left tackle. That is the guy who takes pressure off the quarterback calling out the pass protection adjustments. Trusting a rookie to do this in 2025 would be a way bigger roll of the dice than replacing Geno Smith with Sam Darnold, in my view. Therefore, I would like to see Seattle go get Sam’s center in Minnesota who is now available for a trade after the Vikings signed Ryan Kelly.
Go get Garrett Bradbury. Seattle Sports personality Brock Huard went on air late last week pushing for this move, and he made sense in his reasoning. Darnold and Bradbury have a solid chemistry with each other. That QB/Center chemistry takes time to build. While Bradbury might be an average starting center, and that’s the reason why Minnesota shifted to Kelly, he would be a significant upgrade to what Seattle has rostered here. Not only is he familiar with the quarterback, he is also very familiar with the zone blocking scheme.
Therefore, for these reasons, I put a higher value on bringing Bradbury in than I do Teven Jenkins. A quality rookie can step into left guard and net positive results in his first year. Center is a position in this scheme that would likely be much harder for a rookie to immediately take over, and expect good results.
If Seattle cannot swing a deal for Bradbury through trade or free agency if he is released, there is a very short list of other center options on the free agent market that I hope they consider. Here are my alternative choices.
Former Raider Andre James is at a good age (26 years old), and was thought of in recent years as being one of the better developing young centers in the game. Vegas drafted a center in the first round last year and will be shifting towards him. I prefer Bradbury given his chemistry with Darnold, but I can be convinced that James is an equal, if not better option.
Trystan Colon is another young option possibly worth taking a long look at. He started his career out in Baltimore as an undrafted free agent, but found himself a few years later starting in Arizona. He has guard and center starting experience, and while this would not likely be an option that would excite Seattle fans, he might have some upside left, and prove serviceable. His PFF grades in 2024 were very good after being forced into starting at right guard for injured Will Hernandez.. so good that it is not unreasonable to think he could be an option at guard, as well.
Former Patriots center David Andrews has found himself available on the free agent market after recently being released. He is 32 years old, and is coming off of a serious injury. I would not hate this signing, but I would have a difficult time not seeing it as being anything other than another short term fix, which I am getting really tired of seeing at center for this team. If they were to opt for him, my hope would be that they would see a long term solution in the draft that he would be the hedge for.
The only other free agent moves that I would really like to see John Schneider do is to go a more significant addition at corner, bring in a quality option at fullback, maybe one more bigger defensive end type to fill the role that Roy Robertson-Harris played last year, and to add another safety. It is very possible that some of these moves will be filled in the draft, but here are a few veteran names that I like at each of these spots.
This will probably not happen, but I wouldn’t mind seeing Seattle taking a swing at corner Assante Samuel Junior. He’s young and has a strong NFL pedigree. While his PFF grades aren’t great, they aren’t all together terrible, either. If he can be convinced to come into Seattle on a short term contract, I think that could be a quality signing, but I don’t think Seattle needs to splurge on anything long term with him. It would be a measured gamble on something that could pay off nicely for them in 2025.
Kansas City DE Charles Omenihu has the size and length to be an upgrade of RRH, and is only 27 years old. Mike Macdonald’s hybrid defense has roots in what Steve Spagnuolo does in KC, so Omenihu would seemingly come in with knowledge of how to play here. There are promising options in the draft to fill this role, but this guy would be an interesting veteran option.
Colts safety Julian Blackmon is only 26 years old, and has strong PFF coverage grades in 2024. His run defense leaves you wanting, but it is reasonable to think that aspect of his game can be coached up. I wouldn’t hate it if Seattle brought him in on a two year contract to mix in with Julian Love and Coby Bryant.
I really wanted Seattle to make a run at Kyle Juszcyk when he was released by San Francisco, and it was a bit deflating for me to see him ultimately return there on a new deal. Adding him with Cooper Kupp would have been really exciting in terms of scheme fit, and poaching from NFC West rivals. However, that did not happen. Therefore, here are a couple options to pivot towards.
The Saints have not released Taysom Hill as many expected them to do. He might be too valuable for them to let go, but if he was made available, he would be a player I would absolutely want to see Seattle pounce on and use him in a fullback/tight end role.
Alternative to Taysom, I see no harm in them bringing in fullback Adam Prentice who played for Kubiak last year in NOLA, as well. He offers little in terms of a runner or receiver, but is a well rounded blocker who knows this scheme.
Alternative to these two guys, I do wonder if Seattle can get creative at fullback be either converting a tight end to the position, or a running back. Thinking super outside of the box, with this draft being super rich at running back this year, would it be crazy to consider converting Zach Charbonnet to a fullback role where his running and natural pass catching traits can serve as a very unique threat on the field? He would have to be very open to it, if he believes the move would provide him a uniquely advantageous playmaking role, but I feel it is a thought worth considering, especially if a very good running back can be had in the middle rounds of this draft like things are projecting a bit.
An in house alternative to Zach making this shift could be tight end Brady Russell being converted to fullback. He is well sized for the role, and would offer a playmaking outlet at receiver when they function in two receiver two back sets.
At any rate, these are my current thoughts about the team. I would generally give the first week of free agency a solid B grade, overall. I would have liked to have seen a splash move on the offensive as much as the any Seattle fan, but the bold move to Darnold has me more excited than some would have it. I think the Kupp and D Law moves were excellent gambles, as well.
I need to see them make a stronger push towards adding proven veteran talents, though. I know that at this stage of free agency, most players out there are not perfect answers, but Seattle’s offensive line was so inexperienced and problematic last year that just getting a couple average-to-slightly-above-average starters would likely be a big improvement.
Right now, I need to see a solid option at center added more than anything else. Go get me a center, please.
The DK haters of the Seahawk fanbase can now enjoy DK playing for the Pittsburgh Steelers. Seattle traded DK to the Steelers for Pick 52 in the NFL Draft; a mere mid second round pick, and not exactly the haul I was expecting.
With that, now I think we can safely say that the major holdovers from the Pete Carroll area are now officially a thing of the past here in the 206. No more Tyler Lockett, no more Geno, and no more DK Metcalf. I think moving forward, Seattle’s number one job is to get Mike Macdonald guys, and have them be really good ones. It is that simple of a mandate.
Yesterday’s re-signings of Ernest Jones and Jarran Reed to three year deals are good moves towards making this a Mike Macdonald team, I believe. Jones was a mid season revelation at middle linebacker, and I think J Reed had one of his best seasons as a pro in 2024. These moves should absolutely be applauded. It is clear that Seattle is going to build this thing back into being a win with defense sort of identity that will hopefully be paired with a very complimentary offense, a la circa 2013.
Now, onto DK, sorta.
Acquiring Pick 52 in an NFL draft that appears historically deep at defensive tackle, deep at guard, tight end, and running back isn’t terrible. If you want to build your program into a tough meat and potatoes sorta thing, this is a draft to do it with.
Getting good interior offensive and defensive line play is paramount to becoming a quality, hard-nosed, physical football team. Tight ends become more valuable as blockers and receivers, and depth at running back is critical. With Pick 52, Seattle now has five picks in the top 100 of a draft where some estimate that there are 24 legitimate starting NFL defensive tackles in it.
In the long run, Seattle is going to become more badass in the trenches because of this trade. They made a decent start of it on defense last year, now they need to round it out on offense.
How many years has it been where fans have bemoaned the Seattle front office for spending too many resources at skill positions and not enough in the trenches? I feel like this has been an annual theme for at least eight years now, if not more. Now, it looks like they are about to make this much needed shift in philosophy. Sweet.
A mid second round pick is not what I wanted for DK Metcalf, nor is it what I expected them to acquire. When news broke about him requesting a trade, I immediately wrote a long piece in which I threw out several trade scenarios based on reports of various teams being reportedly interested in him. Most of these scenarios involved either a pick and player in exchange, or two picks in exchange. I felt Seattle might have been positioned to maybe get a late first round pick and change for him, or an early second round pick and change.
I had lofty ideas about what Seattle could get for him based on his age, rare physical talents, and the fact that free agency and the draft doesn’t look particularly promising for the receiver position. While it feels like receivers are becoming more devalued lately, I thought DK might have been the rare exception.
Turns out that I was writing from an overly optimistic Seahawk fan perspective, and not someone who is a deeply knowledgeable NFL insider. The league low balled Seattle, and I think the front office just wanted to get this deal done before free agency officially hits on Monday morning. This is how we ended up with the 52nd pick in the 2025 NFL draft.
So, what does this mean for Seattle moving forward?
According to the Spotrac website, the Seahawks have just over $68 cap space available for them to shop this week for a quarterback, a couple offensive linemen, and probably a receiver or two. If they do end up signing Sam Darnold to a decent seized contract, a lot of that will get eaten up, but if they go cheap at the position and look to the draft as a possibility at quarterback, and they would have the finances to be pretty splashy on the offensive line, and some other positions, as well.
My hunch is that they will make a very strong push for Darnold as many in the league are saying, but there will be competition from Pittsburgh (ironically) and probably both New York teams, as well. My only hope if that if they don’t lure Darnold to Seattle, they don’t seriously pivot towards Aaron Rodgers.
For me, Darnold makes reasonable sense, but Rodgers makes sense only if you want to piss off a large portion of your fanbase for the sake of trying to be competitive in 2025. This is why I am not taking the reports of Seattle being interested in Rodgers very seriously. He’s old, he will be expensive, and he is not likely any sort of culture fit. Let another team take him on.
If it isn’t Darnold, then I honestly don’t want to see them make a big splash at quarterback at all in free agency. I would rather see them take a cheap flyer on a vet who has some knowledge of the offense, and then look to this draft class with the hopes of landing Jaxson Dart.
If they do land Darnold on a multi year deal, then I think this changes the complexion of what this team can be in 2025. Then I think you try to get a quality starting guard and center in free agency, add a proven veteran receiver to compliment Jaxon Smith Njigba, and maybe another veteran pass rusher to the mix on defense. With five picks in the first three rounds of the NFL draft in April, you will be set up enough to just hit on best available talents when they land at your picks with little need to reach for needs.
This is why I hope that they are able to agree to turns with Darnold, if they want to compete in 2025. If they get Darnold, Seattle could still find themselves a sneaky competitive bunch in 2025, but they would still have a lot of work to do well beyond the QB room.
By trading DK and releasing Tyler, Seattle’s receiver from consists of rising star JSN, but then we are talking Jake Bobo who is probably a fourth or fifth receiver on many teams, Dareke Young who hasn’t amounted to anything in three years, and they have a guy named John Rhys Plumlee who was a small college quarterback in 2023 and found his way on the team’s practice squad at the end of last season as a converted receiver.
Seattle presently doesn’t have dick squat-ily doo doo at receiver behind JSN. They will need to be active in free agency this week adding probably a couple players. The options out there aren’t super enticing, either.
If the Rams release Cooper Kupp, I think things could get interesting for Seattle because of system fit, and the fact that he’s from Yakima. If they sign Sam Darnold, Kupp could suddenly find this a desirable destination with an opportunity to play against the Rams twice a year.
Outside of Kupp, I think we are looking at Stefon Diggs who is older and maybe isn’t a total Mike Macdonald sorta player, Chris Godwin who has injury concerns, Amari Cooper who is older with character concerns, Brandin Cooks who is older, Keenan Allen who is old and slowing down, and Nelson Agholor who has been around and is long in the tooth.
I don’t know if any of these guys are head and shoulders better than Tyler Lockett, to be honest, and maybe they walk Lockett back on a reduced price. Free agency this year if full of guys like this.
Honesty, by trading away DK, Seattle’s best bet to land impact opposite JSN this year might be the draft, but that might mean spending pick 18 to do it, and is that very desirable, especially if a really promising pass rusher is there?
While this is not thought to be a great receiver class, there are a few names to monitor for Seattle either in late round one, or round two. Here are a few worth mentioning.
Texas receiver Matthew Golden could be well worth pick 18 based on his electric speed, route running and hands. He’s a true playmaker, and while he’s not the biggest guy at 5-11 and 191 pounds, but he can take the top off of a defense, and he has highlight reel abilities to make circus catches. I think him paired with JSN would be a lot of fun for fans in Seattle for many years.
Ohio State receiver Emeka Egbuka is a Tacoma native and a big Seahawks fan. At 6-0, 200 pounds, he is very much in the JSN mold, and maybe too much so, but the Kubiak scheme values precision route running, sure hands, and run after catch quicks and he has those. If he is sitting in the mid second round, he could be an interesting name to watch for Seattle.
A player who is gaining a lot of positive buzz is Iowa State receiver Jaylin Noel who is built very similarly to Golden, had a strong Senior Bowl week and a strong combine. Brandin Cooks has had a lot of success playing in this sort of system and Noel sort fits his mold.
TCU receiver Jack Bech brings high character traits, toughness, grit, good size to factor against contested throws, strong hands, great route running, and while he’s not a speed demon, he has so many positive receiver skills where I think he could function really well in a Shanahan/Kubiak scheme like Seattle will be running. Seattle specifically targets high character traits these days, and I would put him high on the list of guys who could fit this culture here really well. He’s a guy who I could see Seattle really liking a lot.
With this trade now concluded, and Seattle being scary thin at receiver, presently, I feel like the likelihood one of these guys mentioned being a Seattle Seahawk in 2025 is fairly likely. John Schneider has a very strong track record identifying good receivers in the draft, and I could see him being keen on all four of these guys. There are a few other guys I could mention, as well.
Assuming the sign Darnold, I think the optimum best case scenario this year might be to see Cooper Kupp come up here, if released by the Rams, maybe they sign one more vet on a cheaper contract to compete as the third receiver and add proven depth, and them Seattle drafts one of these guys in the first or second day of the draft. JSN, Cooper Kupp, and Matthew Golden, for example, has a very exciting ring to it.
In terms of DK Metcalf, I honestly don’t know how much I will wish him well. He was one of my favorite players here, but I sorta feel about him somewhat sorta similarly to how I felt when Russell Wilson was traded. I sorta feel unceremonious about him right now, and maybe even a little bit like I will be rooting against him in Pittsburgh moving forward.
This is what diva energy brings. If you walk that walk, be prepared for folks to ultimately say “don’t let the door hit you on the way out.”
I won’t feel that way about Geno Smith in Vegas, even though he wanted out, and I certainly won’t feel that way about Tyler Lockett, should he end up elsewhere. Geno and Tyler were very easy fellas to root for as a fan. DK, on the other hand, was both incredibly exciting at times, and equally frustrating in other instances with how his could lose his head in games.
5 years and $150 million dollars is not a price I would pay to keep DK Metcalf in Seattle. I don’t think there is a receiver in this league who I would pay that price for. I am grateful that John Schneider did not cave to that price. Let Pittsburgh figure it out for themselves if that was the right price to pay a good not great wide receiver who is both dynamic with his traits as he is problematic with his mentals.
For me, I am ready to move on, and I am excited to see what Seattle does with all this draft capital and salary cap space. Bring it on.
The Philadelphia have just done a very 2013 Seattle Seahawks thing in this last Super Bowl. They just beat the living shit out of a team that most thought would comfortably walk away with another title because of their superstar quarterback. Philadelphia did this by playing dominating defense on top of getting good enough production out of a good not great quarterback who they have paid a lot of money for, and they got good production out of a bunch of skill players who they also invested in.
They also just so happen to have one of the better offensive lines in the league; one that is comprised of players they drafted, and one key player they added in free agency who flamed out with his former team but Philly decided to take a flyer on (pun intended).
Let us keep these Philadelphia Eagles in mind as we sift through Seattle’s roster in order to determine who is likely to be a part of this thing in 2025 and who is likely playing elsewhere. I am not saying that the Seattle Seahawks are a few players away from the dominance of the Eagles, but I am saying that there is a pathway towards it, and it starts this offseason.
In preparation of what is sure to be a hugely important offseason for the Seattle Seahawks, I have decided to breakdown their current roster to determine which players are good fits for their new offense under coordinator Klint Kubiak, and who are good fits on defense for head coach Mike Macdonald. We all know that offensive line will be the biggest focus area for the team, but year one of defensive minded Macdonald proved that some of his defenders appear to be solid fits, while others have major question marks as to whether they should return. We shall dive into all of this.
Firstly, let’s look at the Kubiak offense that is likely an offshoot of his dad Gary’s offense, and thus an extension of the Mike Shanahan offense. Basically, it’s the Shanahan west coast offense that is becoming more in vogue in the league again.
This offense emphasizes running the football and play action passing in a zone blocking scheme where outside runs become more of a focus. It requires pre-snap motions of receivers and tight ends to create better angles for blockers to attack defenders, and it requires runners who can hit the gaps quickly and make quit cuts through the creases.
In terms of passing, it requires quarterbacks to make quick reads, and get the ball out quickly and accurately on short and intermediate throws. You don’t need a big armed quarterback to run this offense. This scheme does not hunt for big shots downfield very much. It needs a quarterback who is athletic enough to roll out, and a proficient enough in his mechanics to get the ball out quickly and accurately on the move. It is great if the QB has an arm like Brett Farve’s, but it is not essential. Accuracy, proper mechanics, playing decisive, and smart, is.
Bill Walsh, the founder of the west coast offense that inspired this scheme once said that his ideal quarterback would be about 6′-2″ to 6′-3″ range with good mobility and great throwing mechanics to get the ball out fast, and accurately. Joe Montana, John Elway, Brett Frave, Aaron Rodgers, and Matthew Stafford are all quarterbacks of this stature who played at high levels in the WCO scheme. There is a long list of other quarterbacks such as Steve Young, Jeff Garcia, Donavan McNabb, Matt Hasselbeck, Matt Schaub, Matt Ryan, Alex Smith, Jimmy Garoppolo, Michael Vick, Dak Prescott, and Brock Purdy, who while maybe they don’t all have that exacting height range, had the same abilities of moving well, and getting the ball out accurately on time in this scheme. Sam Darnold showed a pretty good ability doing this last season, finally, in this scheme last year for the Vikings.
The west coast offense, whether it is the Shanahan/McVay/Kubiak version, or the Walsh/Holmgren/Reid one, is a very quarterback friendly. Many quarterbacks who did not have first round pick pedigrees have found high success in this offense.
This scheme also requires receivers to be precise route runners that can get quick separation from defenders, have reliable hands, and be really good run after catch fellas. It additionally relies on receivers to be good run blockers as the whole scheme is built on the pass and run being tied together through play action. Therefore, receivers must be willing to sell blocks on defenders and then be able to spring out of them for a quick pass. The perfect mold of receiver for this offense was Jerry Rice, who was not a burner, but was quick out of his breaks with just enough size and strength to play like a running back gaining yards after the catch, in addition to being an effective run blocker.
Tight ends must be good blockers and equally good receivers. George Kittle is the perfect tight end for this style of offense.
Offensive linemen need to be athletic movers. Recently hired offensive line coach Joe Benton described needing to be ambidextrous at offensive tackle, meaning that the left and right tackles need to be both good run blockers and pass protectors as opposed to the traditional view that the left tackle must be the good pass blocker and the right tackle be the road grader in the run game. He mandates that his guards and his center to be athletes, as well, capable of breaking off to the second levels of the defense, opening up further run lanes downfield. Power run blockers who are not premier athletes are not a system fit. Additionally, there is a big emphasis on the center being a super sharp dude who calls out pass protections for the line, thus taking that pressure off of the quarterback. Max Unger famously did this for Seattle in the back to back Super Bowl years, taking that responsibility away from Russell Wilson.
This is essentially the Kubiak offense in terms of player requirements, but what can be said about the Mike Macdonald defense?
Well, after a year of it, I think we can determine that, overall, Macdonald loves size and length up front at defensive ends and defensive tackles. He runs a scheme that currently lists itself as a 3-4, but in fact plays more like the 4-3 under front that Seattle used to do in the early years of Pete Carroll.
In the depth chart of the team, Jarran Reed was listed as the big defensive end, Byron Murphy was the nose tackle, Big Cat Williams was the defensive tackle, and both Dre’Mont Jones and Derick Hall split the rush end role duty. Boye Mafe, and Uchenna Nwosu were SAM linebackers, Ernest Jones played the MIKE linebacker, and Tyrice Knight was the WILL backer. By assignment, Seattle essentially ran a 4-3 under in 2025, and I would expect this to continue in 2025 and beyond.
There appears to be a very specific physical template for each of these spots that Macdonald prefers. The big end must be roughly a 300 pound lengthy strong as an ox type of fella, the nose tackle must be a stocky win low sorta power dude, the DT ideally needs to be a long strong athletic freak, and the rush end must be lengthy burner who wins with power converted to speed. Think about to the Super Bowl winning season when Red Bryant played big end, Brandon Mebane played nosed, Tony McDaniel played DT, and Chris Clemons was the rush end. Macdonald’s front played very similarly to that in 2024 in terms of assignment and player types.
In terms of the second level players, the middle linebackers must be great in coverage and solid tacklers against the run; a ton is put on their plates and they need to be high football IQ guys. Even more so, the SAM linebackers must be able to be jack of all trade types, as they need to hold a strong edge against the run, be good droppers in coverage, and they need to be good pass rushers. No position in this scheme requires more out of it than the SAM position in the base front.
In terms of the secondary, corners need to be physical against the run, and very good zone players. Safeties need to be assassins as potential blitzers, great in coverage, and solid run support guys. The entire back end must make up of fellas willing to be assignment sound over anything else. Former practice squad player Josh Jobe earned a quality role by being assignment sharp, and so did former backup safety Coby Bryant. Macdonald values discipline over size and athletic traits in his secondary. All of his pressure packages up front are contingent on the discipline shown by his corners and safeties.
Alright, I think this sums up both sides of the ball pretty well in terms of what this franchise is looking for. Now let us break down the specific position groups and find out who the fits are for this club as we plow into what is sure to be a busy offseason.
Quarterback
There is no doubt that a portion of fans will reject this notion, but Geno Smith is likely a great fit for this Kubiak offense. He’s naturally a very smooth play action passer, he throws a very accurate short to intermediate ball, and he has shown to throw with good anticipation, overall, when not forced to hunt downfield. Geno had his best year starting in 2022 when Pete Carroll had him working mainly as a play action passer similarly to Jared Goff in Detroit. Weirdly, Seattle deviated from this some in 2023, and practically abandoned it all together last year with Ryan Grubb’s play calling. I suspect Klint Kubiak was hired by Macdonald with a very specific mindset to getting Geno Smith back to his 2022 form of being a play action facilitator, but this time around in an even more quarterback friendly offense.
Kubiak, himself, has said that Geno was a huge draw for him wanting this gig, and that he appreciates his toughness, and his ability to lead drives in the fourth quarter. It makes sense. An experienced OC should want an experienced veteran QB that he believes in.
I am not sure Sam Howell fits. I liked it when Seattle traded for him, but I think his game might be more about taking deep shots downfield, as opposed to getting the ball out quickly with accuracy and anticipation based on what he sees out of the defense. There is a significant chance Seattle will look to add a quarterback of the future in this draft class, or through trade, or even free agency.
Running back
The Kubiak scheme is likely the best fit for Ken Walker to truly ascend to greatness as an NFL running back. His speed and explosiveness, and desire to break to the outside made for this scheme. K9 just needs to be more decisive as a runner in his contract year of 2025 to earn a big pay day in 2026. I think we could see huge production numbers out of his, if he can stay healthy, and I think that is somewhat of a big if.
Kenny McIntosh is potentially another really solid fit for this scheme. He is kind of the inverse of K9, he’s a bit more limited as an athlete, but he runs with a bunch of decisiveness and intensity. I think we could see surprise production of him in 2025. I’m kind of excited to see that happen for him.
The one guy who I have some questions about is the guy who I thought was Seattle’s best running back last year in Zach Charbonnet. Zach was a revelation at times in Grubb’s system when he had to step up, but his best games were when Grubb abandoned the zone blocking concepts for a power gap scheme that the young offensive linemen were more comfortable with, and Zach felt like a natural fit for. When they were more zone blocking, he felt less impactful, but maybe I am overreaching, and Kubiak will find ways to make his power style useful, and he will be just fine. Kubiak did say that they will combine zone blocking with some gap stuff, so maybe I’m just being overly skeptical of Charbonnet’s role this year.
Wide receiver
Jaxson Smith Njigba is an absolute natural fit for this offense. He is well sized enough to play through contact, his route running is elite, his hands are solid, he has next level gears he can reach in order to run after the catch, and he’s not afraid to throw down on blocks. JSN should be the primary receiver in this offense for years to come.
I think Jake Bobo might also be a really good fit as a big physical possession receiver kinda like what San Fransisco has with Jauan Jennings, and I am perfectly willing to go out on a limb for that. Bobo is never going to be a burner downfield, but he’s a natural route runner with sure hands, and he’s a great blocker in the run game. There is a spot for him in this offense.
I think Tyler Lockett has the hands and the route savvy to be productive in this system, but I am not feeling his physicality to be a reliable blocker in the run game. Like many, I sorta feel like he played his last game for Seattle, unfortunately.
I have some questions as to whether the Kubiak system will fit DK Metcalf. DK is an excellent run blocker, has good enough hands, but his route running feels inconsistent at times, and this scheme absolutely requires precision pattern running from all pass catchers. Kubiak made it sound as though DK was another big factor as to why he wanted this job, though, and has said that he is very much looking forward to working with him. These comments have poured cold water on the idea that Seattle is open to trading DK, but we shall see.
Tight end
I think AJ Barner fits this scheme like a glove with his run blocking traits and his surprising abilities catching football and trucking defenders. I am not sure he’s a tight end number one in this offense, but he should fit it fine. He’s a natural tough guy.
I am not convinced Noah Fant is a fit. He has world class athletic abilities, but I don’t think he’s much of a blocker, and I sorta suspect Seattle might look to replace him through free agency or the draft. Kubiak has said he needs tough willing blockers to play tight end for him. That does not sound like Fant.
I expect this to be a focus area in offseason. The draft is deep at tight end, and there will be tight ends in free agency familiar with this scheme. Right now, I see Barner has been the most promising player rostered at this time to fit right in.
Offensive line
Charles Cross, Abe Lucas, and Christian Haynes are fits for the zone blocking scheme. Cross is a decent left tackle, and Lucas is a talented yet often injured right tackle. Haynes was a promising right guard prospect in last year’s draft who some feel former OC Ryan Grubb mishandled during the regular season, but is also player Macdonald name dropped at the end of the season as someone the team is excited about moving forward with.
There should be a high expectation that the team will look to address left guard and center through free agency, and the draft this Spring. It could be possible that they may look for a more durable solution at right tackle, as well, but we will see.
As for the other players they have rostered, it feels like Olu Oluwatimi may not be athletic enough at center, and Sataoa Laumea might be a poor fit. Anthony Bradford is a good athlete, but an iffy blocker, at best. Reserve players Jalen Sundell and Michael Jerrell might be good developmental players in a zone blocking scheme, though.
Again, expect this position good to be the BIGGEST focal point of the offseason for improvement. People can talk about replacing Geno Smith for a younger QB all they want to, but if this area does not get fixed, it won’t matter much who the QB is short termed, or longer termed. Fix the F’ing line.
Defensive line
Leonard Big Cat Williams is the ideal defensive lineman for this scheme, capable of playing all for positions. He’s a rare breed, and a great defensive tackle. Byron Murphy is a promising DT who can also play nose tackle. Jarran Reed can play DT, nose, and end. Roy Robertson Harris was a good rotation tackle/end type, but might be a cap casualty if the team looks to re-sign Jarran Reed who Macdonald really seems to like a lot.
Derick Hall is a promising rush end player who has a chance to be star player in this defense. There should be an expectation that he takes another big leap forward in 2025.
Dre’Mont Jones felt like a square peg trying to fit into a round hole in this new defense. He came into the league as an undersized DT, and was signed by Seattle two years ago to play big end in the previous scheme. He was not big enough for Macdonald’s tastes for end, so was asked to drop wait and play the rush end/OLB type position. I expect he will be a cap casualty in a few weeks time.
It is very possible that Seattle goes shopping for more at defensive end and rush end in free agency, trades, or the draft.
Linebacker
Ernest Jones and Tyrice Knight played great together at the team’s starting middle linebackers, and it is expected that the team works out a deal with Jones to keep him around as a fixture at MIKE linebacker. Boye Mafe and Uchenna Nwosu were pretty solid SAM linebackers, but Nwosu’s huge cap hit for 2025 puts him in danger of being a cap casualty when the team has Mafe playing pretty well while still on an inexpensive rookie contract.
If I were a betting man, I would say Seattle likely parts ways with Nwosu, and they look to bargain shop in free agency for an edge player who can play SAM and rush end, and they will look to the draft for this guy, as well.
Cornerback
It can be inferred that Devon Witherspoon is Mike Macdonald’s favorite player on the team, and it feels like the player loves the coach, equally. There is likely a thought inside the club that he is a cornerstone player, capable of playing all the corner spots and probably safety, as well.
It feels like the coaches also really appreciate Josh Jobe for his assignment soundness in a scheme that can be pretty complex with its coverages. I would expect him back in 2025.
Personally, I think Riq Woolen is full of as much question marks as he is with physical talent. I would not be surprised if he is a player dealt this offseason, and I think schemes played in Washington, Houston, and possibly now Vegas with Pete Carroll might be better served for him to be in. For him to be at his best, I think he needs simplified cover schemes, and that is not what Macdonald wants to run. Therefore, I think it is 50/50 whether he is back next Fall, despite his obvious talents.
This area, in my opinion, has the biggest question marks outside of offensive line on this team, presently. I can see Seattle being active in free agency bringing in veterans that Macdonald sees as better fits, and it could be a surprise area in the draft that they attack earlier than some are thinking.
Safety
Mike Macdonald wants his safeties to be interchangeable. He isn’t looking for a prototype free safety paired with a hard hitting box safety like Seattle made famous in the Legion Of Boom days. He wants both of these guys to be great in coverage, solid against the run, and he needs smart guys guarding the backend of his defense.
Julian Love fits these requirements like a glove, and it feels like Coby Bryant is blossoming into a similar type of player. Rayshawn Jennings is capable of playing both safety spots but probably works best as a strong safety, and the emergence of Bryant might make his bigger cap dollars expendable.
Beyond these three, Seattle’s depth players are a small handful of unknowns. My spidey senses are that the team could part ways with Jennings this offseason and look to free agency for inexpensive proven depth talent, and they might be in the market in the draft that feels deep enough at this position.
Final thoughts
For months now, I have entertained the notion that Seattle could be in pursuit of Sam Darnold in free agency as an attempt to get younger at QB1 while not wasting a pick in this draft on a quarterback when the position is not thought to be an area of strength in it. Darnold would come with questions as to whether 2024 was a fluke year for him, or if like Matt Hasselbeck over twenty years ago, at age 27, everything finally just clicked for him, and he is going to remain a pretty good QB for the next several years in the right scheme with the right play caller, and enough proper targets around him.
I would be perfectly fine waging on the latter with Darnold, and I believe wherever he ends up, that team is going to get a pretty good, if not great quarterback. If that happened in Seattle, I would be all over it. I think he’s potentially a great fit here. He knows the scheme due to his time in San Francisco when he had Kubiak as his QB coach. As witnessed at Lumen Field last Fall, he’s more than capable of getting the ball out quickly and accurately in this style of offense, and he can extend and make a big time throw downfield, as well.
Philadelphia just destroyed the almighty Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl by having built up defense, a great offensive line, a good group of playmakers, and good not great veteran quarterback who made enough plays in a scheme built towards his strengths. They just showed that it is possible for a team to spend big money on a good not great passer, and still achieve greatness. The narrative will no longer be centered around how Philly spent too much on Jalen Hurts.
This all leads us back to Geno Smith. I can want the team to get younger at QB, and so can you. It is not a crime to desire seeing this team draft and develop its future starter, or find that guy in some other way. At the same time, I think the only thing that separates Geno from Darnold and Hurts is likely age. He will be 35 in October, and these other guys are still in their twenties. Other than that, I think he is in the same tier of NFL QB with these guys, I believe, and I think the team believes this, too.
That is why I believe it when it is now being reported that Seattle is working to get an extension done with Geno. I don’t believe this is some elaborate smoke screen, and I don’t think Mike Macdonald is blowing smoke when he said recently that he believes this team can win a Super Bowl with him. Macdonald knows better than any fan what scheme best fits Geno, and this is why I believe Klint Kubiak was ultimately hired.
Geno Smith fits this scheme like a glove. As much as I would enjoy seeing them pivot to Darnold in order to get about seven years younger, I think the challenges of pulling that off are too risky. Does Seattle want to trade or cut Geno in order to enter into a bidding war for Darnold, risk losing out, and then having to pivot to ancient Kirk Cousins, brittle Jimmy Garoppolo, or dare I say the difficult to deal with washed up version of Aaron Rodgers?
Geno Smith is a popular leader inside the locker room, beloved by players and coaches. I suspect these players and coaches felt that Ryan Grubb did him no favors as a play caller for reasons I have poured over many times already. Moving on from him now and bringing in a new vet could cast a big negative effect inside the locker room, especially if the team struggles next Fall while Geno is playing well somewhere else.
These are the risks of moving on from Geno, and I sense Macdonald isn’t the sort to want to bring on unnecessary risks at this position. He knows what he has in Geno, appreciates who and what he is at a QB, and is ready to continue rolling with him.
Therefore, I feel like it is most likely Seattle and Geno Smith work out another contract extension within the next month or so. This feels inevitable.
That doesn’t mean that they don’t seek to draft someone this Spring to develop behind him. There are a few quarterbacks in this class who the team could still look to target. Given what we know about the Kubiak offense, I think Ohio State QB Will Howard could be an interesting fit, as could Texas QB Quinn Ewers, Ole Miss OB Jaxson Dart, and Notre Dame’s Riley Leonard. I also think Syracuse QB Kyle McCord might be a sneaky player on their radar. Any one of these guys in the second, third, or fourth round, could make a lot of sense.
I also wouldn’t be surprised if they punted on the position again in the draft, as well, and gave Sam Howell another year to try to develop. It is an uninspiring thought, but maybe part of the hire of Kubiak is that there is a feeling in the front office that Howell needs to be in this sort of scheme to thrive as much as Geno does. I am not convinced Howell is going to work out, but maybe they have a very different view.
I also want to say that, of the many young free agent quarterbacks out there who could be looked at as a developmental signing, perhaps Zach Wilson is one they would be willing to look at. He flamed out badly with the Jets, and was buried in the depth chart in Denver behind Bo Nix, but he played in a similar scheme with the Jets, and he also possesses a strong arm that Schneider seems to value. Just a thought to keep in mind before free agency.
But Geno Smith is almost certain to remain as the quarterback for this team moving forward this year, and possibly for a few more years. Personally, I would highly enjoy watching him flourish in this scheme and then seeing all of his dug in haters die on a very stupid hill on the internet. That would be fun for me.
As for all these other position areas, aside from the interior of the offensive line being the biggest area of focus, I feel that if the team were to get splashy with trades, DK Metcalf and Riq Woolen are the two most likely candidates to be moved for decent value. That said, I don’t know how very likely that is, it sorta vibes like the team is aiming to extend DK again, but maybe Woolen is someone they would look to move for the right price.
Coming out of Super Bowl weekend, there was a growing buzz within league circles that DK, in particular, would have a trade market. It very possible that DK’s trade market will not be as high as it is right now. There are teams at the top needing a player such as his quality at this position, and this is not thought to be a very good receiver draft class for them to get one.
Right now, I think it is more likely the front office feels the need to not let its best overall athlete leave the building, but will perhaps listen to offers in order to see if something emerges that will blow them away like the Russell Wilson trade did. Whether those offers come up, is another thing entirely, but what if Dallas comes calling to discuss Micah Parsons for DK and change? Parsons has history with Seattle’s defensive coordinator and is a bona fide game wrecking edge defender. Put him in this defense, and watch 49er fans cry in their beers on Sundays for years to come.
That said, back to Riq Woolen; Seattle’s other freaky young athlete. He’s a bit inconsistent, but he has elite physical traits and length, and I think there are schemes in which he might be better suited for. I could see Dan Quinn and Pete Carroll both having an interest in adding him, and I can see Houston and Dallas having interest, as well. With Vegas having two third round picks in this coming draft, could Pete be inclined to have their front office make a push for one of his favorite young players? I could see this being a thing, actually.
My prime candidates for being cap casualties are Dre’Mont Jones, Tyler Lockett (sadly), Noah Fant, Rayshawn Jennings, and very possibly Uchenna Nwosu. If Jones and Chenna are cut, Seattle will most certainly look to add edge in the draft, and free agency. Don’t be shocked if the first player they would take in the draft is an edge talent, there’s some good ones there, and they might see value at guard more in the second and third round ranges.
There will tons of pressure from fans and media to see Seattle hyper aggressive in free agency and the draft to go after offensive line. On Local radio Tuesday afternoon, when pressed about the question of how he sees the offensive line, Klint Kubiak said that he needs a good center to make it work. I would expect Seattle to go hard after a center through free agency, and then most likely target a guard in the draft.
Atlanta’s Drew Dalman might be their top target should he make it to the free agent, but there will likely be a number of other options such as Green Bay’s Josh Meyers, and Indy’s Ryan Kelly. The draft is not thought to be rich with centers but it appears deep at guard. Conventional wisdom suggests that Seattle will look to draft one at pick 18, but if a special player is sitting there at another position that could significantly help this team in other ways, they might decide to look for a guard on day two of the draft, much to fan ire, I would expect.
Depending on how the draft lands, tight end, corner, edge rusher, DT, and safety could be considerations with the first pick. I will also say this; I don’t think it is beyond the scope of reason that Seattle could surprise everyone by taking a quarterback at 18, if there is a guy there that they love.
In 2011, John Schneider was ready to take Andy Dalton in the bottom have of round one, but he was vetoed by Pete Carroll. John wanted a young quarterback and felt that the team was built up enough for one to take then and there. Nowadays, however, he no longer has Pete Carroll to insert his veto powers against him. If he loves a guy, and believes in his potential, he might decide this is the year to do it, even if Geno is extended a few more years. Then the team is set up with a very interesting Jordan Love type scenario. I can absolutely see this as a possibility. It will be fascinating if that happens.
At any rate, if I were to predict this offseason, I would predict both a Geno Smith and DK Metcalf extension. I think they will trim some salary cap fat by moving on from Dre’ Jones, Lockett, Noah Fant, and probably a couple other vets. I think they will re-sign Ernest Jones, and most likely try to bring back Jarran Reed again.
In free agency, I believe that the big move will be made on bringing in a big name center, and I suspect that they will look to add a quality tight end who better fits the Kudiak scheme (Nola’s Juwan Johnson played for Kubiak last year and is a name to watch). These two moves feel most certain.
Depending on what the team does with Riq Woolen, I suspect corner could be a bigger than expected free agent target, and it might be regardless of whether or not they trade or keep Woolen around for another year. Baltimore’s Brandon Stephens played for Macdonald, and might viewed as someone they want to target. They could also look to add one of two former Seahawks in Michael Jackson and DJ Read.
It feels inevitable that they will look to add more edge rush through free agency and the draft. Dre’ Jones wasn’t a great fit, and Chenna is expensive and injury prone. I think edge rush could be the sneaky move with their first pick, and there are interesting names who could be available. As much as guard is a need, it would be a shame to pass on a great pass rusher for a position that is usually available to fill in the second and third rounds.
More likely, however, I think Seattle, by virtue of having Macdonald as their HC, will attract veteran pass rushers who will want to be a part of this particular scheme. Macdonald coaches a scheme that sets pass rushers up for success.
Dallas edger rusher, DeMarcus Lawrence might want to come up here to play in a scheme he can close out his career being productive in potential a top five unit, and a sneaky playoff contender with some veteran stability at quarterback. Haason Reddick might like signing a one year contract here with a chance to pack his stats for a bigger payday in 2026. Maybe Khalil Mack sees an opportunity to play in front of the Twelves in a top defense. At some point, older players with a bit left in the tank start looking at situations in free agency as bucket list opportunities. Could be a chance for a ring, or a location to play, or a specific coach to play for. Macdonald and his scheme could be attractive for some of these players.
If I were to map out the ideal offseason for Seattle, it would probably be extensions for Geno Smith, and DK Metcalf, followed by re-signing Ernest Jones and Jarran Reed. It would then be followed by landing the best center available in free agency, a good well rounded veteran tight end, a good reliable veteran edge rusher, and another veteran quality corner. I would also like to add one free agent bargain level guard to hedge for the draft.
If I could achieve these moves in free agency, I would feel really good about the prospects of heading into the draft where guard is relatively deep, and so are other positions like D-tackle, corner, tight end, safety, and running back. This way, if pick 18 comes up, and there is unexpectedly a player there that I really love at position such as quarterback, I could feel good about taking that swing, and feeling like I have my bases covered during rounds two through four.
If I get a guy I believe in at 18 to be the next franchise quarterback in time, and I can still land a decent guard prospect at 50, I would probably feel as if I absolutely hit the lotto, if I had made all these prior moves in free agency. After all, Joe Flacco was drafted around that range years ago, and Jordan Love, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson, and Andy Dalton were all late first round picks. All of these guys had question marks around them that made teams leery of taking them at the top of the first round, but they went to good enough teams in the later frame where they could be developed by better coaches with better rosters.
I will say this now, and I will say it again. I will not be shocked if this year, we see Seattle try to strike late first round gold on a quarterback if it falls that way for them. I think it could be possible.
This is what makes the most sense for me when I think of them extending Geno Smith and DK Metcalf. It makes sense to have Geno around for a few more years until a young quarterback that he is the bridge for is fully ready to take over. It makes sense for that young passer to also have DK Metcalf and JSN locked into contracts to throw the ball at.
It just makes a lot of sense.
And if some fans want to bitch and moan about extending Geno Smith, fuck ’em. I would rather have a proven veteran to pass the torch off of than seeing a rookie getting tossed into the flames of the NFC West having to play against Nick Bosa and Fred Warner.
After sitting through three full days of NFL draft, I had to take a breather to let it settle in. Seattle made early picks that made me jump through the metaphorical rooftop with excitement, and then they went decidedly less flashy on day three of the event. In order to avoid writing a knee jerk reaction to them taking a linebacker in round four that some experts were anticipating would go later, I needed to see Mike Macdonald talk about him in his post draft press conference. Frankly, I needed time to sit with all of their moves.
I am not one to overly question an NFL coach or general manager’s decision on a player taken in the draft, so pardon me if I am not going to be nearly as critical as some of the other super fans and bloggers might chose to be. If Sean Payton believes Bo Nix is his guy to lead Denver to a Super Bowl, more power to him.
So, in terms of Seattle, at the end of the day, I am more willing to defer to a bright young head coach who just coached the best defense in the league last year, and a dude who has been a general manager of a Super Bowl winning program than I am some other dude on Twitter X who “knows some ball” and has an exorbitant to amount to spare time to watch game tape on 250 draft eligible players. That is just me, however. You do you however you see fit.
That said, as the dust of this draft has settled upon the Seattle Seahawks, I see a clear vision for professional football in the Pacific Northwest moving forward. As I have sat back watching the first two days of this draft, anxiously anticipating what Seattle might do in year one of the Mike Macdonald regime, I kept being struck by thought after each of their two selections. It pretty much reads as follows.
“Holy shit, the Seattle Seahawks are finally drafting badass players in the trenches.”
I do not mean to use this piece as a means to trash the Pete Carroll era, but I cannot shake the undeniable feeling that the Seattle Seahawks are finally doing something fans have long been pining for. They are drafting for impact on the interior of the offensive and defensive lines. This is my biggest take away out of this draft class for Seattle.
In two days, Seattle drafted the best defensive tackle in the draft, a guy who somewhat compares to Aaron Donald, Geno Atkins, and Grady Jarrett, and then they took an All-American guard who Pro Football Focus rated as a top fifty player at Pick 81, and who many described as the best pure guard in the draft. Byron Murphy and Christian Haynes, alone, have made this draft a huge success, in my humblest opinion. These are talented, explosive big men with aggressive mindsets. When you factor in that Leonard Williams is essentially their second round pick, it becomes undeniably easy to see a sharp contrast to a Pete Carroll style draft.
This is just my take on the Pete Carroll era now looking at it in further hindsight in comparison with this new regime. It feels like perhaps the biggest difference between what the Macdonald Seahawks will prioritize to what Carroll preferred, is building a team from the inside out on the line of scrimmage.
It feels like Carroll always preferred to emphasis talent on the perimeters. If they were to go with a lineman early, Carroll preferred taking an offensive tackle, or a defensive end. Guards and defensive tackles were most often found in later rounds or bargain shopping through free agency. Carroll also seemed to place a high importance on collecting wide receivers with high picks, safeties, linebackers, and running backs while other organizations would value these players later on.
This is just year one for Macdonald, but it is clear he values top end talent at interior positions. Here is the stark contrast between Carroll’s first draft in 2010 and Macdonald’s in 2024. The first two picks for Carroll where offensive tackle Russell Okung and then free safety Earl Thomas. Macdonald’s are DT Byron Murphy, and guard Christian Haynes. Macdonald didn’t even bother with taking a safety even though it was considered by many fans as a position of need.
For many long suffering Seattle fans, this potential shift in philosophy will be seen as a gigantic blessing. After years of watching the Rams come up to Seattle and harass the Seahawks with Aaron Donald, Seattle now as a defensive tackle who loosely comps to him, and they added a guard who will take to defensive tackles instead of sitting back passively waiting for them to come to him.
Mike Macdonald doesn’t appear to be a coach willing to live with hubris up front, believing that his coaches can coach up marginal talent inside. He is looking for top end talent there. He wants punch you in the mouth football. We should all be elated.
This is the Baltimore Ravens way. This is the Harbaugh Brothers mentality. This, I believe, is going to be the biggest distinction between what a Mike Macdonald team will be to what a Pete Carroll one was. Fans, like myself, who loved Carroll’s quirky personality and Ted Lasso like demeanor might find themselves in a bit of a culture shock looking at Macdonald’s straight forward no-nonsense way, but I think most fans are going to love the results of what they will eventually see on the field on Sundays, if Macdonald’s vision is carried out. I think it will be.
The Seattle Seahawks are determined to become a bully team again. This is what Macdonald said in response to what they were looking for when taking Murphy and Haynes.
“A style of play that no one wants to play (against), that’s what we are aiming for. That’s our standard of how we play football, and if you want to play here, you’re going to have to play a certain way. Those are a type of guys we’re bringing in.”
That sure does sound a lot like those old 49er teams coached by Jim Harbaugh, and that Michigan team that just beat the crap out of the Huskies in the National Championship game. That sounds a lot like classic Baltimore Raven style football, too.
God bless all of this. In the blustery wet weather that November and December can bring into Lumen Field on Sundays, this is the style of football that I most want to see moving forward.
Collecting big men didn’t stop on Friday either. On Saturday, day three of the draft, the Seahawks took two other big offensive linemen. In the sixth round, they took massive Utah guard/tackle Sataoa Laumea (a guy I thought they might take in round four), and then they grabbed small school offensive tackle Michael Jerrell who has an athletic upside that is described as exciting by many.
Sign me up for both of these players. Give me a big mauling guard who played for the one PAC 12 program that was determined to play SEC style football for years. With their last pick, take a flyer on a guy who played at Findlay who has high athletic upside and dominated against small school programs.
I trust O line coach Scott Huff (formerly of the Washington Husky program and who coached the best offensive line in America last year) in having a good read on Laumea, who he saw play against UW on numerous occasions. Huff probably has a pretty good idea how to work with him. I also trust him in seeing some good clay to mold with Jerrell (a la George Fant), as well.
In a draft that was widely regarded as uniquely deep with offensive linemen, Seattle grabbed three of them. I had written a few times about my desire to see Seattle do something like this, and they did. In hindsight, I couldn’t be more happier. Seattle needs to build its depth here, and they appear focused on doing that.
I am not going to bother with grading this draft for them. I think draft grades are ridiculous, and in a few years, we will see how good this class actually is, but I would be willing to give them an A for effort going after the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. That effort alone means something to me. It shows me where their priorities lay.
Going after a high impact defensive tackle to pair with Leonard Williams is huge for this team. Getting a guard who is viewed as a day one starter in the third round is also an enormous success. Beyond that, you are free to nitpick it however you choose, if you had a favorite player in rounds four and five sitting there who they didn’t take.
In my view, rounds four through seven, teams are largely looking at depth players who could develop into starters. This is where they took Anthony Bradford and Olu Oluwatimi last year, and they just grabbed Laumea and Jerrell. If Seattle can unearth two quality starters out of these four offensive linemen, that’s going to be a big win for this program. They might, especially with Scott Huff now here to take over coaching up the offensive line.
This league is filled with quality guards and centers who were drafted in the later rounds. Of this group, I really like Oluwatimi’s chances a lot, and I am still really intrigued with the high upside of Bradford. I like Laumea as a player to perhaps push Bradford.
Schneider mentioned this the other day, and I think it holds true. Often times, the better offensive lines we see in the league are not loaded with high drafted players. They might have a couple high round picks, but they often filled with a bunch of guys who have been coached up well, and just have a really good want to in terms of smacking a dude in the mouth, and have a really strong chemistry with each other. This was the Seahawk offensive line in 2005 when they made their first Super Bowl. Walter Jones and Steve Hutchinson were studs, and the other three were quality working class joes.
In their Saturday afternoon press conference, it is fitting that Mike Macdonald and John Schneider wore mechanic shirts with this draft haul. By wearing these shirts, I think they sent a unifying message. They aren’t into flashy. They’re into nasty.
Even in the fourth round, when they took two non offensive or defensive linemen, they grabbed a linebacker who was a tackling demon in FBS football last year, and they grabbed a Michigan tight end who is being compared to Will Dissly. Both of these dudes are tough guys looking to lay hits either as a run stopper or a run blocker.
Tyrice Knight was a player I mocked to Seattle in the later rounds, so I was not too terribly shocked to see them take him earlier. If you want to call that a reach, that is fine. I would just say that Macdonald’s forte is developing linebackers, and Knight was obviously the guy he wanted at Pick 118 over many other linebacker prospects rated higher by the draft media.
I think we should afford Macdonald the benefit of the doubt in seeing specific qualities in Knight that leads him to believe he will become a good player for him in time. He will sit behind two quality veterans in Jerome Baker and Tyrel Dobson learning how to play ‘backer in Macdonald’s scheme like Junior Colson did for Macdonald in Michigan when he was kinda raw. In a scheme that simplifies things for linebackers, I can get behind this pick.
Drafting AJ Barner after Knight shouldn’t be seen that much as a shocker, either. I felt all along Seattle might be looking to add a third tight end. Instead of grabbing more of a pass catching one as I thought maybe they would target, they chose to grab a inline blocking one from Michigan who Macdonald is familiar with, and so is special teams coach Jay Harbaugh over other flashier tight ends with better pass catching reputations.
Barner, however, is also described as an athletic enough guy to have a good feel on route trees and is a capable receiver when called upon. Like Knight, if you want to bemoan this as another reach pick, that is fine. Will Dissly was also taken in round four and was described as a reach. What this pick tells me more than anything else is that under Macdonald, Seattle’s full intention is to run the piss out of the ball. Get ready to order your Seahawk mechanic shirts.
One thing that caught me off guard, however, was seeing Seattle take two cornerbacks on day three. I did four mock draft articles leading up to this three day event, and in none of them did I envision them going cornerback. In fact, I figured they’d go safety.
There were rumors circulating days up to Thursday that Seattle was doing their homework on corners, and might be preparing to take one during round one, but I interpreted it all as smokescreen material. Seattle seemed loaded up at corner, and I did not feel any sort of strong need at the position.
So, I was fairly stunned when Seattle chose to draft Nehemiah Pritchett at the top of the fifth round, and then take his Auburn teammate DJ James in the sixth. I get it that James carried a day two grade with a few analysts, and Pritchett was sorta regarded as a potential third round pick, as well. I can definitely see the value at taking both of these guys where they fell. Pritchett is a long bodied speed demon with decent potential as a cover guy, and James feels like a player who could be a really good nickel player, but Seattle now feels over loaded at nickel. Devon Witherspoon seems to enjoy sliding inside at nickel, and Coby Bryant has also shown to be decent there.
As the dust has settled, I think I understand these selections more. I think Bryant is probably destined to convert fully to the safety position now, and with Michael Jackson Sr and Tre Brown set to become free agents after this coming season, Seattle may have seen opportunities to get out in front of these situations now.
The coaches might also be unsure how well Riq Woolen will convert to this new scheme after a sophomore slump in 2023. That’s also possible, if not altogether worrisome.
So, in our eyes, we might have viewed this as a deep area of the team, but from a coaching standpoint (and a front office one), they might have seen it as an area they specifically wanted to attack in this draft, especially when they saw two talented corners fall further down the pike, and just provided great value. From this perspective, I can get behind these selections.
If I were to critique this draft for Seattle more, I would say it’s a bummer that they didn’t take advantage at the depth of receiver this year with Tyler Lockett getting older. There were numerous talented receivers to be had out of this class, and Seattle didn’t invest.
Maybe this is the Pete Carroll era that I am still attached to, and I am conditioned into feeling the need to draft at this position, but I also like to say go where the strengths of the draft is. Receiver was really strong this year. I would have liked Seattle to have out of this with one.
One area that I am not going to fault this team on, however, is bypassing quarterback for yet another year. I super duper wanted them to draft Michael Penix Junior. I would have been completely comfortable for them trading up for him. I even had a slight interest in them drafting Bo Nix, as well. Spencer Rattler and Michael Pratt never really moved the needle for me, however, and neither did JJ McCarthy, if I am being perfectly honest.
The team already has Sam Howell, and with that trade, he can be included in this draft haul. I am good with seeing what Ryan Grubb might be able to get out of him with two years left on his rookie contract. I believe he has some interesting upside, and now we get to see if that’s the case.
Also, with all six of the projecting first round quarterbacks going in the top twelve, I think the Sam Howell trade, overall, looks really smart for Seattle now. Go get ’em, Sam.
Lastly, in terms of the undrafted rookie free agents that were signed after the conclusion of the draft, I really love that they brought in Washington tight end Jack Westover. I thought maybe he would have been a player they drafted. I think he’s got not only a strong chance at making this team, I think he can have an impact in his rookie year. Grubb knows him, he was productive for Grubb, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they carve out a playmaking H back role for him in this offense moving forward. Last year’s fan favorite of the undrafted rookies was Jake Bobo. This year, it feels destined to become Westover. I love this move.
On the whole, I do love this draft for Seattle. Out of eight picks, they took four linemen, and three of them are interior fellas. That’s outstanding, in my view. The trenches needed to be the main focus, and they were. Bravo.
Seattle has built up their skill position players enough. They have loaded up on talent at receiver, running back, and they have a good tight end. They have a pro bowl quarterback, and a talented enough young gun behind him. They have good offensive tackles and edge rushers. They have good corners.
It was time overdue to focus more inside, and they did that. In the end, I really cannot ask for more than that.
Michael Penix Junior was destined to go top ten in this draft. This is something I have felt very strongly about for a number of months. All of this baloney talk of him being a second or third round pick was complete nonsense being peddled for months by high profile “draft experts” who probably didn’t sit down and watch very many Washington Husky games over the past two years.
Instead, they viewed his injury history at Indiana, and his average-ish frame, and his less than stellar championship game against Michigan, and they penciled in a bunch of lazy narratives. If Penix had been quarterbacking for Jim Harbaugh at Michigan last season, hitting beautiful deep shots off of play action in a ground and pound offense, supported by the best defense in America, guiding them to the championship win, he would have been a top three pick in this draft. Instead, he was taken eighth overall to Atlanta in a move that surprised many, and that did not surprise me in the slightest.
I wanted Seattle to draft him. I wanted it badly, and a couple weeks ago, I wrote an article where Seattle traded up to take him. I felt that the only way for him to be a Seahawk would be a trade up. I was spot on correct with that, too. There are now reports floating around out that Seattle was, indeed, making an effort to move up for him, after all. Apparently, so was Vegas and New Orleans.
I’m not going to go into rehashing all my reasons for why I believed Penix to Seattle made perfect sense in my mind. I have written about it to an exhausting point, and have argued my position to folks on the internet, and friends, and family, and anyone else pushing against it. It turns out that the league pretty much agreed with my views on him. So, I have that feather in my cap. Go Falcons.
I also suggested in my last mock draft article that Bo Nix might be a candidate for Seattle after a trade back while at the same time suggesting that he could easily go to Denver at twelve overall, and he did just that. Bo Nix has his critics, but I am not one of them. In Denver, I think Sean Payton is going to do a lot of good things with him, and while many are calling that pick a reach, I wouldn’t be surprised if he has a better career than a few of the younger quarterbacks taken in front of him. Time will tell.
Enough of the quarterbacks, though, and onto the real exciting news. Because of the absurd amount of quarterbacks (six of them), offensive tackles, and receivers taken in the first fourteen picks of the draft, the Seattle Seahawks landed a guy who many believe was the best overall defensive player in the draft in one Byron Murphy, Defensive Tackle, out of Texas.
Make no mistake about this. That was a MAJOR steal for the Seahawks. In any other draft, this is a player who would most likely have gone top ten (I thought Atlanta or Chicago would be the spots for him). According to general manager John Schneider, Seattle had four really good trade offers on the table that they turned down to pick Murphy. I can believe that.
At 21 years of age, Byron Murphy has already earned his degree at Texas, so we can imagine that he is a hard working dude. At 6-1 and 300 pounds with an impressive athletic profile, he is also twitched up dude who was a tackle for loss demon in college last year. You can line him up at three technique, 4i, and nose tackle, and he possesses the strength, athleticism, and skills to bugger up an offensive line.
He is as well built as they come for defensive tackle, too. He’s not the doughy pile of fun loving goo that Poona Ford and Brandon Mebane were, but more of the Greek god chiseled-ness of Aaron Donald. That is as far as I will go to compare him to Donald (a once in a generation DT), but his physical profile is impressive like that.
For years, Seattle fans have been pining for this team to acquire a talent such as this to add to their defensive line, and he just fell into their lap. Every Seahawk fan should be excited about this addition, and what a superb way to usher in the Mike Macdonald era.
It’s fine to want to see the Seahawks draft a promising young quarterback who will play for a number of years on a cheap rookie contract, and we can all see that Seattle needs to add more to their offensive line at guard. I would argue, however, that the opportunity to draft a rare game wrecking style defensive tackle trumps taking a great guard prospect, and with no viable QB that you would take after the crazy run of them, this move became an instant no brainer.
It is really, really hard to find defensive tackles who can do what Murphy projects to do at this level. He plays was such great leverage, and explosive power, and translatable skill. He will grow as a pass rusher, but he should have an impact year one making Seattle’s defensive line a problem for opponents. I loved Troy Fautanu as much as the next person as an option for Seattle, but I’m sorry, I’m going Murphy a hundred out of a hundred times with both players on my board. I am so elated that Seattle did not over think this pick.
Mike Macdonald was brought into Seattle to replace Pete Carroll mainly for one reason and one reason only. To build a defense that would wreck Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay offenses. That is why he got this gig. John Schneider just gave him a major tool to do just that.
One could easily argue that the offense for Seattle is really not that far along from being one of the better ones in the league. They need to add more to the offensive line, but they are loaded with weapons, and they have a capable veteran quarterback, and a young guy with some upside behind him, already. When we step back and look at the fuller picture, we can easily see what this team desperately needs most is to get its defense’s ass kicked into high gear.
Byron Murphy is a compact high gear defensive lineman. That is the best way to describe him. Paired with Leonard Big Cat Williams, mixing in with Jarran Reed and Dre’Mont Jones, he going to bring this defensive front a lot of juice. Even if he doesn’t initially collect gobs of sacks, he will make other jobs easier. Boye Mafe’s job is going to be easier, and it wouldn’t shock me if he gets near to 15 sacks this year with Murphy shooting through gabs inside on long third downs.
It is going to be fascinating to see how this defense will morph under Macdonald now with this acquisition. I did not expect him to be available. As I write these thoughts out now, I’m still frankly stunned.
And Seattle still has six picks left in this draft to add a decent young guard prospect. I feel like in round three and early round four, there’s likely still going to be some decent options available. Players like TCU’s Brandon Coleman, Pitt’s Matt Goncalves, Michigan’s Zak Zinter, and South Dakota State’s Mason McCormick could be options available when Seattle picks again, and I’m excited to find out. As a fun thought, maybe UW right tackle Roger Rosengarten falls into their lap at pick 81, and they move Abe Lucas inside to better protect his knee.
But at this rate, however, I would say the draft is working out perfectly for Seattle right now. They got the game wrecker, and a guy who many did not expect to be there at 16. Round one of this draft came to them perfectly.
I also appreciate the rumors that they were preparing to move up for Penix, they need to find a long term solution at quarterback, and who knows, maybe they target Spencer Rattler today, but good teams let the draft process come to them. If Rattler is there at pick 81 and they want to take him, great on them, but if not, I hope they keep an open mind on whoever else might be available there when they pick next today. No need to reach for a need if there is a great prospect sitting that who plays a different position.
So far so good with Bryon Murphy, though. As my father used to say, you cannot have enough quality defensive lineman. He would have loved this pick.
I have no idea what the Seahawks are going to do this draft, but gosh darn it all, if I am ever excited to find out. New coach, possibly a new mindset on the type of players he’s going to want, and the first draft to usher in this new area. I’m stoked for all of this, but I’m just not going to put myself through the agony of predicting anything.
My gut tells me that it is more likely that they trade back then stay put at pick 16 (or trade up). This is a deep draft at offensive line, quarterback, and receiver. There’s some good looking defensive tackles and edge rushers set to go round one, as well, and some interesting corners. These are all players at premium positions, and one of them could be a Seattle Seahawk this Thursday. Whether Seattle stays put, or trades back, or shocks everyone by trading up, they are poised to get a very good football player.
In this final mock draft article, I am going with my gut, and am projecting a trade back. I think there is going to be a run of quarterbacks and receivers early that are going to push some really good players down the boards, and there is going to be a championship contending team who is going to be will to make a deal with John Schneider that he is going to like.
For Schlitz and giggles I am going to say that our trade partner is the Green Bay Packers who Schneider has a healthy relationship with. A prized cornerback becomes available where Seattle is picking, and while Seattle is in no great need for this corner, the Packers do. They send picks 25 and 58 to Seattle, and Schneider gets his wish to trade back, collecting a valuable second round pick.
Beyond this trade, I am projecting the Seahawks to be purposeful in selecting guys who they believe are going to fit the scheme, and culture of their new coaching staff. Mike Macdonald feels like a straight shooting no nonsense fella. I think he’s going to want players who will embody that vibe, who he will count on to play hard for him, and will take to harder coaching.
Here is my final mock draft demonstrating the spirit of this.
With the 25th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Bo Nix, Quarterback, Oregon
Seattle sees a talented quarterback who they believe has the skills, personality, and maturity to mesh beautifully with their new head coach Mike Macdonald. Seattle sees five quarterbacks go in front of them inside the top fifteen, and keep fingers crossed that Nix might be available after the trade back. He is, and they take him.
With the 58th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select T’Vondre Sweat, Defensive Tackle, Texas
This pick comes with controversy similar the Frank Clark selection in 2015, as Sweat has recently been busted for a DUI. Where Bo Nix’s persona is all about high character, Sweat is regarded as a partier who doesn’t keep his weight in check. However, at 6-4 and 366 pounds, few humans can do what he does in a football uniform. He’s a true space eater who can soak up blockers, and he can collapse the middle of an offensive line. He will have Jarran Reed, Leonard Williams, and Johnathan Hankins to show him the ropes of being a professional. Further thoughts about him later in this piece.
With the 81st pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Brandon Coleman, Guard, TCU
Coleman was a three year starter at left tackle in college and was a team captain. He projects as a guard in the NFL, and has the traits to be a good pass blocking one. Seattle can put him behind Laken Tomlinson and allow him to develop and they have an offensive line coach in Scott Huff known for converting tackles to guard while coaching in college. Coleman is an explosive athlete with underrated upside, and can play tackle if needed.
With the 102nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Jeremiah Trotter Junior, Linebacker, Clemson
Though undersized and maybe not a top athlete, Trotter has NFL genes, he’s smart, instinctive, plays with discipline, and has proven effective both as a blitzer and in coverage. This is important to Macdonald.
With the 118th pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Javon Solomon, Edge Rusher, Troy
Like Trotter, Solomon comes in undersized, but plays fast, instinctive, and was very productive. He plays with good leverage that makes him hard to block against the run, and he’s bendy around the corners with good use of hands as a rusher. He can also effectively drop in space. I like this guy for Macdonald’s defense.
With the 179th pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Kamren Kinchens, Safety, Miami
At one point last season, Kitchens was projected to be a top safety prospect, but unspectacular testing results at the combine are likely going to hurt his draft stock. Some team is going to get a really good safety later on in the draft with him, though. Here, Seattle does.
With the 192nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Beaux Limmer, Center/Guard, Arkansas
Limmer is experienced at guard and center in college, and he displays good technique. He’s also a decent athlete. For some reason, he’s projected to be a later round pick, and if this proves true, he’d be a great pickup here as a quality depth player. Seattle swoops in.
With the 235th pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Luke McCaffery, Wide Receiver, Rice
This is a fun pick with McCaffery’s big brother Christian playing for the San Francisco 49ers, but it also makes sense, if he’s still around late in the draft. He has natural hands, and can run a decent route. He is new to the position, though, as a former quarterback converted to receiver, but if he is sitting there late, definitely worth taking a flyer on.
Thoughts about this final mock draft for the Seahawks
I don’t know if any of these guys end up Seattle Seahawks, but each of them feels like Seahawks in terms of what I sense this team wants moving forward. I think they are searching for high character guys. I think they want leaders, and guys who will fight hard, and will bring an extra gear of juice to games. This is how their last two drafts have gone, and I think they lean further into it in this coming one.
Why do I have Seattle selecting Bo Nix in the first round, you ask?
Well, if you were to set aside your Husky bias for a moment, I think I can explain it. Here are my own thoughts on him.
NFL draft pundits are all over the map with him. Some say he won’t make it past Denver’s pick at 12, while others say he’s a guy who teams will try to target in the second round. For what it is worth, the same thing has been said about Michael Penix Junior, so Nix isn’t alone in bipolar projections (although Penix is gaining a lot of last minute buzz about being a top 15 pick).
When I look a Bo Nix, I just think there is a strong chance he is both a John Schneider guy and a Mike Macdonald fella. He’s well built at 6-2 and 214 pounds, and he’s a capable scrambler who throws very well on the run. On top of being football smart, and accurate with the football, he’s also regarded as an exceptionally strong leader. The people down in Eugene rave about the positive impact he brought to their culture and locker room. He’s extremely experienced in college, and as a coach’s son, he’s all football.
Like Penix, he possesses big hands, and for John Schneider, I think that is a big deal. While he doesn’t have the arm canon of Penix, he grips the ball well, pump fakes well in cold wet weather, and get the ball out quickly and accurately while setting up defenders. In boxing terms, he boxes smart (at least this is what it has looked like in all the games I have watched from him).
He can also throw a pretty deep ball, and I don’t believe that gets talked about enough in the media because of all the short easier completions he was asked to do at Oregon. He’s also proven to be very durable in college, and that is going to be a positive checkmark for a lot of coaches.
I stand firm in my belief of Bo Nix. I have watched just as many Oregon Duck games as I have watched Husky games. I have good vibes on him and Penix. I think their floors are really good, and while Penix might have the much hirer ceiling with his superior arm talent, I don’t think Nix is exactly a popgun armed quarterback who is going to be a check down Charlie at the next level. I think he can be a good starter in this league for a long time, if he gets into the right situation. I think Seattle would be that right situation for him.
I also think Nix could really be an ideal Mike Macdonald kind of guy. I can see potentially a great personality fit, and in many ways, I think it makes sense for Seattle to take the plunge now at drafting a quarterback to partner with the new head coach moving forward, if the right guy is there, even though they might have greater immediate needs on the team.
Enough on the quarterback, though, and onto perhaps the more controversial projection in this mock draft. Bo Nix taken in round one will surely raise a few Husky eyebrows, but the next guy I have projected in this mock to Seattle might induce some actual rage with fans and media members.
T’Vondre Sweat, with his recent DUI, and his chill attitude about his playing weight, would instantly draw criticism from some of the talking heads in the Seattle sports media scene. I have seen this movie a few times over.
Seattle has shown a track record taking risks on potentially impactful defensive linemen with character red flags. Bruce Irvin, Frank Clark, and Malik MacDowell all had issues either with the law (Irvin and Clark) or motivation (MacDowell). Irvin and Clark had successful stays in Seattle, but MacDowell did an extremely knuckleheaded thing on an ATV that all but destroyed his football year before it got going. Each of those selections drew sharp criticism in the local media, and I would expect no different if Seattle drafted Sweat.
Why then do I think Seattle could still do this, even with the history of the MacDowell situation?
Here are a few remarks that NFL analyst Lance Zierlien has noted about him on his profile on NFL.com’s webpage.
Tall, wide, and extremely powerful
Devours blocks, allowing linebackers to operate in space
Has the ability to crater the pocket if the center doesn’t help to block him
At 6-4 and 366 pounds, Sweat is unusually gifted as a nose tackle who cannot be single blocked, and has enough athleticism for his gigantic size to factor as an inside pass rusher. If Mike Macdonald really does love his linebackers as much as he has professed to adore them, getting a huge dude like Sweat in front of them to soak up blockers and gum up the middle of an offensive line would literally be a ginormous gift.
Personality wise, I don’t believe Sweat is at all like MacDowell, who may not have been the best teammate in college and didn’t seem to take to coaching very well. At Texas, while known as a fun loving guy, I think he was actually a pretty good teammate, and Brock Huard noted on his morning radio show the other day that he has a personality that you naturally gravitate towards.
Also, Senior Bowl director Jim Nagy (a dude very connected to Seattle) noted that Sweat demonstrated an ability during Senior Bowl practices to take to harder coaching. This last part makes me believe he is a fit for Mike Macdonald in Seattle. Not only is he physically the exact type of player they need at nose tackle, he is also the type of player who the coaches could be able to maximize with a harder no-nonsense brand of coaching that we are now likely to see.
At the end of the day, Macdonald is going to want talented players who are coachable, and Sweat checks off both boxes. If John Schneider takes him, he will feel the heat from some local media members for sure, but they can incentivize his rookie contract with performance and off field behavioral clauses (I believe they did this with Clark). In my opinion, I think it’s a very worthy roll of the dice for greatness.
Brandon Coleman is a guy that I have mocked in the third round to Seattle a couple times now. He was a good pass blocking left tackle in college who wis an explosive athletic tester, and he projects to slide into left guard at the next level.
Seattle is heavily connected to UW’s Troy Fautanu as a player people are projecting to Seattle at pick 16 as a tackle who could be converted to guard at the next level. It would be outstanding if Seattle were to draft him, but I kinda think Fauntanu is going to be well off the board by then.
Coleman could be a decent backup plan later on. He’s not the tenacious run blocker Fautanu is, but he could be potentially a very good pass blocking guard, and offensive line coach Scott Huff does have a history transitioning tackles to guards in college. Coleman was a team captain at TCU, and there is no reason to think that he can’t be coached up to become a more aggressive and effective run blocker. With veteran Laken Tomlinson brought in as a stop gap, this buys time for a talented guy like Coleman to ease into the transition. I really like him for Seattle.
Jeremiah Trotter Junior is another guy I have mocked to the Seahawks twice, and believe is the right character fit filling a need. He was a team leader at Clemson, started a ton of games, called the plays, showed well in coverage, and was a timely blitzer. His dad was a long time NFL linebacker, so you can feel confident he probably knows ball at a pretty high level. He’s not the biggest guy, and he doesn’t have blazing speed, but he’s probably fast enough. In the fourth round, I can see Seattle willing to take a shot on him.
Javon Solomon is a guy I am late on, but I think provides intriguing value in early day three of the draft. At 6-1 246 pounds, he is a compact edge rusher with long arms and some decent enough athletic testing numbers to make you think there is stuff to work with at the next level. Like Trotter, he was a highly productive college player who played with great instincts and he comes into the league already demonstrating a number of pass rush moves. He also plays the run really well. If Seattle wants to come out of this draft with another quality edge defender, he could be a player to keep in mind in the mid rounds.
Kamren Kinchens is just a really good football player at safety, and could see a big slide through the draft because he wasn’t a great athletic tester in gym shorts, and the safety position, as a whole, is becoming more devalued through the draft process. Like Trotter, and Solomon, he’s an instinctual player who plays with a good understanding of the game, and he was a team leader. I think he’s exactly the type of young safety Mike Macdonald might be looking for.
It would be stunning to me of Beaux Limmer lasted late into the sixth round of the draft, but every year that I watch this thing, I see good players still available well into the last stretches. He’s long and strong, and has plenty of experience at guard and center. I think he’s exactly what you are looking for in a backup player capable of filling in at both spots, and Seattle is going to need to step out of this draft with at least two offensive linemen. If they land Coleman and Limmer, I think we can call that a pretty successful haul for what they need on the interior of their offensive line.
Luke McCaffery is just a fun idea at wide receiver, and I would like to see Seattle take a shot at one in this draft class which is rich at the position. I wouldn’t mind it if they took a shot at him earlier than what I am projecting here. On top of showing traits that translate to the league, I think it’s a fun idea to draft Christian’s little brother to further stoke the flames of the Seattle San Francisco rivalry. How’s dad Ed McCaffery going to handle these two games out of the years on Sundays? 49er jersey and Seahawks cap? Fun stuff.
Final final thoughts on this coming draft
I know that I have come across as wanting Seattle to draft a quarterback this year, but I am fine with kicking that can down the line another year if the right player isn’t available. I can see the merit of going other positions and seeing what you might have with Sam Howell as a guy to further develop potentially as a long term starter.
That said, if by chance Michael Penix Junior is sitting at pick 16, and Seattle passes him over for another position, I will blow a gasket. I can take it if he is drafted in front of Seattle, and they punt on Bo Nix, if he is sitting there. For the many reasons I already described, I like Nix a lot, but I need Penix in Seattle, if that is possible.
In my opinion, Penix to Seattle feels like the most logical move to come out of this draft. A couple weeks ago, I did a mock article where Seattle traded up to the 10 spot to take him. They have his offensive coordinator here, and he would come in with A+ arm talent knowing this system perhaps better than Geno Smith and Sam Howell. If Seattle really does want him, I think they should do whatever to make sure he is a Seahawk, and that includes trading up. Just go get him.
On the contrary to this, if they pass an opportunity to draft Penix with him being available at 16, I will damn near lose my mind. If they pass on him, and he ends up being taken by the LA Rams, I will absolutely lose my marbles, you can bank of that.
If you are a fan of my more toxic side filtering out as a writer, the side that I demonstrated when the mediocre Pittsburgh Steelers came into Seattle late last season, and made Bobby Wagner their chew toy, you should root for the scenario of John Schneider passing on Penix and then seeing him drafted by the Rams at pick 19. I am praying that this does not happen. I don’t think it will. I suspect that he does not get past Denver, who is picking at 12, and there is buzz already that the Raiders are looking at him at 13, but none the less, Seattle passing on Penix is the one scenario that I don’t have the fortitude to handle. I cannot have that.
That said, I think it is about 60/40 whether they even take a quarterback at all this year. I think they are aiming for one. I suspect that they dig Penix for all the very obvious reasons. I also have a hunch that they are keen on Nix, and are possibly really into Spencer Rattler, as well. If they don’t land any of the top seven or eight guys, however, I kinda don’t think they will draft one this year, though. This is the reason they traded for Sam Howell. They can say he is a part of this class, and I believe that they really do like him.
I think that they are most definitely going to look to add to the trenches on both sides of the ball. I am not completely convinced that they go offensive line with their first pick, however, if it is not a quarterback. I think there is a strong chance they could take either the best defensive tackle, or edge rusher prospect on their board, and then look towards the offensive line further down the line.
Part of the reason why I think Seattle is eyeing pass rush in the first round is that Jim Nagy mentioned on Twitter X a while back that he didn’t believe Seattle would go offensive line with their first pick. I think it stands to reason that maybe he’s privy to things about Seattle that others are not. This is also partly why I think they might actually go quarterback round one like I am projecting in this final mock draft.
The other reason why I think Seattle might go pass rusher in round one is that it could ultimately make the most sense for their new head coach who was hired to finally build back an elite defense in Seattle (something Pete Carroll ultimately failed to do after the collapse of the LOB defense). Seattle might feel like their offense is close enough to completion that going defense is the bigger need, and they want to ensure a quick turnaround on that side of the ball in year one of Macdonald’s regime. This is why I had them stay put in last week’s mock draft article, selecting Florida State edge rusher Jared Verse.
Ultimately, staying put at 16 and taking a guy like Verse could be the most likely thing for Seattle in a few days. It could also be for Texas defensive tackle Byron Murphy II, who is regarded as the best interior pass rusher in this class. If either one of these guys ends up a Seattle Seahawk this Thursday, you can get plenty excited about that.
I just can’t have them pass on Michael Penix Junior. The disappoint level of that would be equivalent to learning that my wife is a Russian spy. I can’t have that. Hopefully, I won’t.
You can’t always get what you want, but if you try sometimes, well, you just might find that you get what you need.
These sage words of Mick Jagger apply to all walks of life, from sleeping with backup singers twice your size to being inside an NFL war room on draft day. They could very well apply to our beloved Seattle Seahawks right around the corner.
Next week, I believe that John Schneider’s desired plan is to engineer a trade back (or two) from pick 16 that will net Seattle more day two picks. That said, what if he can’t find any takers who will give him fair compensation? If teams know he’s an eager seller, what would stop them from lowballing?
This is what Schneider must be prepared for. Trading back into the lower portion of round one just to get a late third round pick won’t be very appealing, especially if there is a highly compelling prospect to be had at pick 16.
It is also possible that an unexpected player lands to your pick, and he is just way too good to pass up. I suspect there is a small handful of players in this draft that John Schneider has rated so highly that he would not trade back if they found themselves available at 16. I feel like he’s probably got a few of these quarterbacks rated this highly, Georgia tight end Brock Bowers, an offensive lineman or two, and probably a couple pass rushers.
This mock draft article is about staying put, and just taking the best player off your board, regardless of position. Last year, I think the team did this at pick five overall when they took cornerback Devon Witherspoon. There was no outward need for taking a corner that high, but he was just the highest rated player left on their board, and that was that.
As much as we want to anticipate that they will trade back and recoup a second round pick (or more), it may not happen. Here’s a fun hypothetical of what could happen if the right player lands to pick 16.
With the 16th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Jared Verse, Edge Rusher, Florida State
Seattle doesn’t have an overwhelming need at edge rusher, and they have poured high resources into the position for several years now, but sometimes a player is so good that he forces your hand. Verse is regarded by some as the top edge defender in the draft, and it would be stunning if he makes it here, but if he is, Seattle can snap him up and send pass rushers in waves next Fall. A superb selection to start the Mike Macdonald era.
With the 81st pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Matt Goncalves, Offensive Tackle, Pittsburgh
By not trading back at 16 and gather a second round pick, Seattle sweats out a long portion of the draft keeping their fingers crossed that a good offensive lineman will be available when they pick in the middle of the second round. They take Goncalves, who is well sized, athletic, and has experience at playing both tackle positions. It’s very possible he can be looked to convert to guard.
With the 102nd pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Mekhi Wingo, Defensive Tackle, LSU
At the top of round four, Seattle goes best player available again with an active defensive tackle. Wingo is an explosive 3 technique who will push Dre’Mont Jones, and will give Seattle instant interior pass rush depth. Great motor, great character, and a guy you want in your rotation.
With the 118th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Malik Mustapha, Safety, Wake Forest
Seattle stays patient with the safety position and takes potentially a good one here. I mocked him to Seattle before at pick 102, but this time I have them taking him a pick further back. They need to come out of this draft with a good safety prospect, and Mustapha feels like a guy who gets drafted in the middle rounds and ends up a quality NFL starter in a couple years.
With the 179th pick of the 2024 Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Nathaniel Watson, Linebacker, Mississippi State
I mocked Watson to Seattle last week in the sixth round and I am repeating it here. They brought him in for a visit the other week, he’s a productive three down player who called plays for the Bulldogs, and Seattle needs to take a linebacker. At this stage, he’s the best linebacker left on their board.
With the 192nd pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Michael Barrett, Linebacker, Michigan
Seattle double dips at linebacker by taking a player familiar with Mike Macdonald’s system and was productive. Barrett may not amount to much more than a depth player in the league, but he played for the national champs on the defense that Macdonald built. If there is one spot for him to land and maybe be molded into an eventual starter, it would be Seattle.
With the 235th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Brevyn Spann-Ford, Tight End, Minnesota
With their final pick of the draft, the Seahawks select a tight end who is well sized with decent hands and size to be a good blocker. He’s a developmental player who offers some upside, and maybe that is what they are looking for out of third tight end spot.
Thoughts about this mock draft
I don’t think it’s likely Jared Verse makes it to pick 16, but sometimes funny things happen. If five quarterbacks are taken in front of Seattle along with several offensive linemen, some receivers, and a supremely talented tight end from Georgia, all it might take is for a team or two take one of the other top edge rushers over Verse for him to land to where Seattle picks. My goodness, what a blessing this would be for Seattle, if this proved true.
This mock draft isn’t a terrible scenario for Seattle, in my opinion. They land a guy who has the talent to become one of the top edge rushers in the league in a few years, and will make they pass rush rotation potentially very strong in year one of Mike Macdonald’s regime. While I don’t believe they need to take an edge rusher in round one, Verse could be so special that it’s really kind of a no brainer.
Mike Macdonald has recently described his football philosophy as playing a brand of ball that makes the opposition feel like they are playing more than eleven players. San Fransisco felt that when they played the Ravens last year, and Brock Purdy played one of his worst games of his young career. The Washington Huskies felt that in the championship game when they played a Michigan defense that Macdonald was the former architect of, and Michael Penix Junior continues to get criticized for his underwhelming performance against it.
By adding Jared Verse to a group that includes Nwosu, the up and coming talents of Boye Mafe and Derick Hall, and the pass rush abilities of Darrell Taylor, Macdonald could bring waves of edge rushers in year one of his regime. It’s hard to imagine that he would not want that.
When you mix in a guy like Mehki Wingo, an active inside pass rusher, John Schneider would give his first year head coach the ability to also stock his inside pass rush. Suddenly, he’s got an interior pass rush that include Leonard Williams, Jarran Reed, Dre’Mont Jones, Wingo, and potentially Mike Morris who was drafted last year and played for Macdonald in Michigan. Wingo mixed with Verse, coming out of this draft, could be enough to give this side of the ball an impressive turnaround this Fall. That’s an exciting thought.
In the third round, I had them opting for a gigantic 6-6 327 pound dude who played left and right tackle in college and could develop into a guard, giving Seattle an enormous offensive line in the future. Goncalves missed a bunch of games with a toe injury in 2023, but has tape showing an active guy who held up in pass protection well enough, but had an ability to explode into the second level opening up run lanes. He was also a team captain. In the NFL he might be a serviceable starting tackle, but if he learns to play with better leverage, he has the potential to be a much better guard.
With Seattle bringing in Laken Tomlinson, drafting a talented gigantic tackle like Goncalves and transitioning him to guard makes sense, in my opinion, and should they sustain injuries at tackle, he already has that in his background. Tomlinson buys time for Goncalves to grow into the position, and Seattle has Scott Huff who was an excellent offensive line coach at UW, and known for successfully converting tackles to guards for the Huskies. Also, Goncalves has a Baltimore Raven style offensive lineman vibe about him, and I dig that.
Beyond these guys, I have Seattle taking shots on guys to plug in at need spots. Beyond offensive line help, they need a talented young safety to eventually become a starter. I think they need a third option at tight end to develop as a key contributor in the future. I think they need to come out of this draft with a linebacker (or two) who can grow in Mike Macdonald’s system behind Jerome Baker and Tyrel Dobson.
What this mock draft also shows, however, is the disappoint that could be felt from not trading back from 16, collecting further picks. This draft is especially deep at offensive line and receiver. In this mock, I have Seattle only taking one offensive lineman, and it would be a shame if they did not grab two from this class, and it would also kinda be a bummer if they didn’t take advantage of the richness of the receiver situation, as well. In this scenario, they miss out on both opportunities by choosing to take Jared Verse at 16. That is the price of staying put and taking a non offensive lineman even if he could be a great player at another position.
Also, I believe that John Schneider would love to draft a quarterback this year, if he can. If they miss out on one (as presented in this scenario), I think it would be an irritant for him. In his first draft apart from Pete Carroll, one where he can finally get back to his Green Bay DNA of drafting and developing quarterbacks, I can see it ego bruising for him if he did not finally take a swing on one, even if it is a later round pick.
In this mock, however, I wanted to show a scenario where Schneider misses out again at quarterback. As much as I believe he wants to take one, I don’t think he will burn a pick on one just for the sake of it. He likely has them rated in ranges where he would be comfortable taking them, but it might not fall the way he wants it to for them, and in this case, it doesn’t.
In the end, this would still be a draft class that Seattle can feel good enough about. They didn’t address offensive line they way I wanted them to do it, and that stings, but adding Jared Verse to this defense would have the potential of being franchise altering in an exciting way. In the long run, that might prove more fruitful towards building into a true contender.
When the Rams stayed put and took Aaron Donald, it changed their coarse from being bottom barrel to Super Bowl contender in a few short years after a coaching change. When the 49ers sucked in Kyle Shanahan’s early years, they snatched Nick Bosa at the top of the draft even though they already had a stacked defensive line, that move immediately made them a contender, and they have mostly been a top NFL team ever sense. I’m not going to suggest the Verse will be as dominant as either of those guys, but he could have enough talent to fall within the group who is just a notch below. In this league, every team would gladly take that.
If Seattle was fortunate enough to land a dude like Verse, it could be the golden ticket to truly turn this defense around in a huge way in year one of Macdonald’s regime. This is why I would just stay put and do it. I think Verse can be that good in this league, especially if he gets with a dude like Macdonald.
That is certainly something to get excited about if it happens.
When the Seattle Seahawks made the trade for Sam Howell a few weeks back, the assumption was that it took them out of the running of drafting a quarterback in round one. This very might well prove the case, but Seattle just had former Oregon Duck quarterback Bo Nix in for a visit over the weekend, and that presents an interesting question.
Seattle picks 16 overall in the NFL draft, and then they don’t pick again until 81. The golf between these two picks is gigantic. Therefore, if Nix slides to pick 16, and they don’t take him, he most certainly will not be available when Seattle picks at 81, assuming they don’t trade back for a second round pick (they might).
Nix is expected by many to be a first round pick, but is the league expecting a fall in the draft a la Will Levis from last year, and could Seattle be looking to land him later? Could he be a target at the bottom of round one, or in the second round after a series of trade backs?
It’s a curious visit. Many folks in amongst the 206 area code don’t appear super high on Nix after watching Michael Penix Junior and the Huskies defeat the Ducks three times in the last two years, but I dig him. I think he’s got great character, I am drawn to his ability to throw on the run, and be an athletic point guard distributor in football cleats. He doesn’t have a huge arm, but it appears big enough, and he’s accurate. I can see him being successful in a Kyle Shanahan styled offensive, and I can also see how a defensive minded head coach would appreciate his willingness to be judicious with the ball in his hands. With all the skill players Seattle has on offense, I think he could step in and find early success.
Therefore, in inspiration of all this Nix visiting the Seahawks news, I want to entertain the idea that they are still quite interested in going QB early, even though they traded for Howell. How realistic this is, I have no idea, but I think it’s interesting.
Right now, there are six quarterbacks who are thought to be likely first round picks in a couple weeks; Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, JJ McCarthy should all go pretty high, and then there’s Penix, and Nix. Some think the Spencer Rattler might develop into a decent NFL starter, but he isn’t projected to go first round. After Rattler, there isn’t much in this class in terms of developmental prospects. Therefore, if you want a starter type on a rookie contract, you’re likely going to have to spend a high pick.
From a Seattle perspective, the chances of one these top quarterbacks reaching pick 16 for them remains dicey, in my opinion. The Vikings, Raiders, Broncos all feel like they are gearing to take a quarterback early. The Falcons and Jets, with older quarterbacks, could also have interest. We know that the Bears, Commanders, Patriots, and perhaps even the Giants almost certainly are looking to select one of these dudes high.
That is nine teams in front of Seattle who could be enticed to take one of these six dudes. This is why Seattle made the Sam Howell trade. They wanted to get someone who has upside to be molded into an eventual starter, and Howell presented the easiest pathway with their lack of draft capital. For them, they liked Howell two years ago, he was on the market because Washington was picking second overall, and they were perfectly willing to outbid Denver and the LA Rams for his services.
In this mock draft article, however, I am going to proposal a hypothetical as to how Seattle might still get their guy, if they are very high on a particular fella. As I skim through the tea leaves, I can see a scenario that could happen.
Now I am now going to present a situation where Minnesota makes a trade with the Patriots to move all the way up to number three overall, and they take JJ McCarthy who they will have convinced themselves he’s got the intangibles to lead them to the promised land. This trade happens after the Bears took Caleb Williams, and the Commanders took Jayden Daniels.
The Patriots, hoping for Daniels, traded back once the Commies took him in front of them. This trade inspires the Raiders to trade with the Cardinals at pick 4, and they snag Drake Maye who they will have convinced themselves he’s the next Justin Herbert. Then from picks five through nine we see an expected run on offensive tackles and receivers. After that run, this following thing happens.
With the 10th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the New York Jets Trade With the Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks deal pick 16 and their 2025 first round pick to move up six spots in order to get in front of the Patriots at pick 11 who are likely eyeing the same quarterback. The Jets, who have been a trade partner with Seattle in the past, accept the offer in order to prevent the talented passer to go to their division rival, and stock up first round picks in 2025 to perhaps go after their own QB of the future.
With the 10th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Michael Penix Junior, Quarterback, Washington
Seattle gets the passer they wanted all along, a big armed, brilliant deep ball passer who they envision pairing with DK Metcalf for years to come. They hired his offensive coach, his offensive line coach, and they know exactly how to use him. They have a plan to protect him by leaning into a powerful run game more which will allow him to play in a more balanced attack than what he did in his Washington days. They knew they didn’t have shot at the top three, but they were hoping they would come within striking distance of Penix, and they got him.
With the 81st pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Brandon Coleman, Guard, TCU
Coleman was an athletic left tackle at TCU who projects as a guard in the NFL. Call him a poor man’s version of UW’s Troy Fautanu (who should go in the top 15 of this draft). Coleman has good pass blocking traits, comes with good football fundamentals, and has an explosiveness to develop into a quality run blocker. He should step into the left guard vacancy and compete to be a day one starter.
With the 102nd pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Jeremiah Trotter Junior, Linebacker, Clemson
Trotter has NFL DNA surging through his body, and is a smart, all out effort, middle linebacker. He’s not a big player but plays big. He’s considered not a great athlete, but is a very instinctive player against the run and in coverage. Middle linebacker is one position where instincts can often trump size and speed, and Lofa Tatupu had the same knocks against him coming out of USC in 2005 when Seattle took him in round two and it was considered a massive reach. I can see him being a Mike Macdonald guy.
With the 118th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Layden Robinson, Guard, Texas A&M
I had Seattle draft Robinson in the exact same spot in last week’s mock draft article after taking offensive line in round one, and I am going to continue projecting him at this spot this week. I think Seattle will most likely draft a couple offensive linemen even if they go a different position in round one. Robinson has the size, strength, and athletic traits to compete with Anthony Bradford at right guard.
With the 179th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Devin Culp, Tight End, Washington
Seattle stays patient and takes Penix’s athletic pass catching tight end here, and Culp comes in with an immediate understanding of Ryan Grubb’s scheme, and has instant chemistry with Penix. Smart pickup here.
With the 192nd pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Nathaniel Watson, Linebacker, Mississippi State
Seattle grabs another middle linebacker type with good athleticism and three years of experience starting. He showed good instincts in coverage in college, and traits to be a quality blitzer (which will be important to Macdonald). He has traits to be a starter in the league, but needs to learn proper discipline in order to achieve that status.
With the 235th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Kitan Oladapo, Safety, Oregon State
Oladapo is well sized to play strong safety in the league, and has shown a decent ability to play against tight ends. Seattle should do a lot of split safety stuff here, but he has enough traits to be able to develop that way. He’s a good athlete who should bring immediate special teams value and depth.
Thoughts about this mock draft
By mocking former Huskies to Seattle in back to back weeks in the first round, I understand it if readers feel I am the homeresty homer that ever homed the homestead, but I calls ’em as I sees them. I think Michael Penix Junior is special, and I see only two other QB prospects in this draft who I would describe as perhaps being more special (Williams and Daniels).
It is fine to be nervous about Michael Penix’s injury history, and question whether he can hold up long term in the NFL, but there is not a prettier deep ball passer in this draft, and John Schneider has a love for big armed quarterbacks, and Seattle has an offensive coordinator who knows him better than anyone else in the league. It is the easiest thing to project him to Seattle, even with the Sam Howell trade (who I believe Seattle is genuinely high on, as well).
What continues to baffle me about Penix is the view from some NFL and draft analysts who still believe he is a second round talent, even after his pro day where he ran a blistering 4.5 forty in front of scouts and jumped a ridiculously high vertical for a quarterback. The concern amongst most of his detractors is his substantial injury history even though his medicals have checked out positively, and some analytic data showing that he didn’t perform very well off script last year, but my goodness, do they not see how effortlessly he can rip difficult throws downfield on-script?
I say fooey to all of this. He was the best on-script passer in college football over the past two years, and with huge hands, he can spin the ball downfield like few quarterbacks can. Put him in an offense that allows him to perform on-script on Sundays, with a great offensive line, ground game, and defense, and go win a freaking championship with him.
Tom Brady, who many consider the GOAT quarterback, was not great off script, either. Neither was Payton Manning, Troy Aikman, and Dan Marino. They all succeeded by having unique abilities to kill defenses on schedule from the pocket.
Football is not as innovative as some fans like to think of it. All this chatter about how today’s game is more about needing to have quarterbacks who can throw off platform, and off-script outside of the pocket is baloney.
Nobody is going to call Brock Purdy a brilliant off schedule improvising quarterback. He’s very much tied to Kyle Shanahan’s detailed play calling, and he executes it brilliantly on schedule. If he makes a play outside of the realm of how it was designed, Kyle is famously willing to rip him a new one on the sidelines.
In Denver, Sean Payton also runs a very detail oriented on schedule scripted offense, and even though Russell Wilson was having a decent bounce back statistical season last year, he was absolutely driving the coach nuts with is unscripted style. It wouldn’t shock me if Penix is actually QB1 for Payton in this draft.
Penix has all the traits of a great on schedule quarterback. I think he’s a young Warren Moon and Troy Aikman. I feel it. I got nothing against Geno Smith, or Sam Howell, but I believe to my core that Penix will likely be a much better passer in this league. I feel it in my bones.
I could be wrong, sure. He could get drafted to a bad organization with bad coaching. He could have coordinators switched on him early, and never have enough time to master a system. He could get injured and never materialize to his potential. He could be Sam Darnold in four years.
He could also become a brilliant young Warren Moon-esque passer torching up the league with all kinds of pretty stats and pro bowl nods, and deep playoff runs. It is this vision of his future that makes me believe Seattle should just go out and get him.
Do I think it is likely that Seattle will trade up for him a few spots and take him within the top ten in front of other quarterback hungry teams? No, I think it is significantly more likely that they trade back for more picks and take an offensive lineman just as I had them do in last week’s mock draft article. Again, I will say it that I believe they like Sam Howell’s potential more than some realize, but in that, I cannot rule out the possibility of Seattle doing something they have never done before with John Schneider at the GM helm, if they dig on a guy in this draft even more, and move up to get him. It would not stun me.
If they believe that a guy like Penix is the dude who will quarterback them to titles, and he is within striking distance of a trade to move up for him, they could do it, absolutely, and they should. The question becomes whether they feel that way about him, and whether he is within reasonable striking distance to do this sort of trade.
Personally, I believe Penix is destined to be drafted much higher than where Seattle is slated to pick at 16. If I am proved to be wrong on this, I will be happy to own it, but I don’t think I will be. His arm talent is too special, as are his leadership traits. Those two factors alone will likely outweigh concerns about further injuries, in my opinion, and the Falcons who pick at eight overall just sent a massive delegation (including their head coach) to Seattle to work him out and interview him. Even though they just signed Kirk Cousins, it makes sense for them to draft Penix and have him waiting in the wings for a year or two.
If he should get past Atlanta, however, and make it to pick ten of the Jets, I think it would be worth it for Seattle to put in an offer to move up at that point. Sure, the Jets, themselves, could be inclined to take him there, but do they really want to piss off a moody Aaron Rodgers who they just traded for and made their bed with? Trading back with Seattle, and taking the best receiver or offensive linemen feels more prudent from their position, and they can explore quarterback options in 2025 with two first round picks at their disposal once again.
From a fan perspective, I think this sort of bold move for Penix would have the Twelves very split. Many people would dance in the streets, but others would throw their remotes at their television sets, especially those who believe Geno Smith is a perfectly fine quarterback for the now and in the future. I get that, but I reckon that there was a continent of Chief fans who believed Alex Smith was a perfectly fine quarterback, and they lamented the trade up for a raw Patrick Mahomes who had tons of question marks coming out of Texas Tech.
What would trading up for Penix mean for Geno? That’s where it gets murkier.
Penix would come into Seattle knowing Ryan Grubb exceptionally well. Seattle could look to trade or release Geno post June 1st to save some off of the cap, and allow him to select a quarterback needy-ish team of his choosing. However, if they wanted to stock up on further 2025 draft picks, Sam Howell, with his upside and two year left on a cheap rookie contract, might offer more trade value. If the Broncos miss out on a quarterback in the draft, for example, Howell to Denver doesn’t sound that crazy, and maybe Seattle sees value in keeping Geno for a final year to mentor in Penix like Kurt Warner did to Eli Manning with the Giants. I could see it going either way.
If Seattle should shock the world and trade up for Penix, but trading away next year’s first round pick, they could still target valuable offensive line prospects in the third and fourth rounds, and feel like they can get a couple starters. If Brandon Coleman ends up at pick 81, it makes all the sense in the world to snatch him up. He’s big and athletic with left tackle experience and a body made for an NFL guard. He could grow into one of the better interior pass blockers in the league and would come into Seattle with Scott Huff coaching him up.
Beyond pick 81, I just like Seattle drafting Steady Eddie types filling in needs. Under John Schneider, Seattle has historically done very well finding mid to late round starters who are just good football players if not great workout warriors. KJ Wright and Will Dissly didn’t blow anyone away at the NFL combine. Their tape was just really good and Seattle recognized that. Go get guys who played well in college to fill in depth needs.
Jeremiah Trotter Junior is perhaps a bit of a limited athlete but he’s a smart player who plays instinctively well. Layden Robinson should be a guy you take in the middle rounds with the expectation he can develop into a decent NFL guard. Devin Culp offers skills for move tight ends that play like big slot receivers who you see a lot of on Sunday. Nathaniel Watson might likely get drafted a lot higher than the sixth round, but if he’s there, he’s the sort you happily pickup. Go draft another safety, at some point to throw in the mix, like Olapado.
In conclusion, while I don’t think this mock draft scenario is very likely for Seattle, it is the scenario that I most want them to do in a few weeks. If they love one of these quarterbacks, and they believe they could have a shot at him, just go get him, if you can.
This feels like a draft that is a rare top heavy one at quarterback. The drop off beyond the top six or seven is steep. In fact, next year’s draft class might be better for day two QB prospects who could be viewed as future starters.
Finally, I will say this. if Seattle traded up for Penix, I will absolutely lose my freaking mind with excitement. My neighbor might feel inclined to call 911 because of the lunatic next door.
He is the dude I have most wanted to see in a Seahawk uniform for many months now. If this happens in two weeks, I will absolutely lose my shit, and I am not really that much of a quarterback obsessed fan. I have always been a trenches guy, and have been lamenting for years how much Seattle has not emphasized, nearly enough, offensive and defensive linemen. This is how much of a believer I am in Penix.