Are The Seattle Seahawks Contenders In 2024?

Building up the Beast

We are two games into this early portion of the 2024 NFL season, and there is national buzz building around our beloved Seattle Seahawks. Bucky Brooks and Colin Cowherd both have the team solidly inside their top ten. NFL Network analyst Pete Schrager has been high on them all throughout the preseason, and has picked Mike Macdonald as his favorite to win coach of the year honors. Bill Simmons has them as his sixth best team right now.

To be clear, the Seahawks have only played two games, and have beaten two other teams who don’t project to be contenders (although, I think the Patriots could prove to be a tough out this year). Still, as it stands right now, Seattle is one of the top DVOA performing teams through two games. They are explosive on offense, and they are playmaking on defense.

They will also be the first to say that they haven’t played anything close to their best ball yet. On the flight home from New England, Mike Macdonald was so pissed off at the way his defense gave up yards on the ground, that he had to stream The Last Kingdom on Netflix to get out of his head. When asked the following day what this team could do to better get the run game going, he plainly, and somewhat coldly said get better push up from.

Mike Macdonald is not going to sugar coat things like Pete Carroll sometimes would. He’s careful not to blame players, and he pointed to his on chest when pressed about his team’s run defense against the Pats, but he is very careful to not offer too much praise on players when there was clearly things he believes they could do better. His messaging often revolving around the term “chasing the edges.”

His coaching style is almost solely focused on the mission of constantly getting better. He wants to get the best out of his players, and will not likely put into words anything to suggest that he is satisfied with all aspects of his team after a win. Nor should he.

Despite the 2-0 start (first time in franchise history a new coach has ever done this), the supportive DVOA analytics, this team’s offensive line is currently graded out as one of the worst performing units in the league. Simply put, it is tough to imagine Seattle being a true contender for the NFC West division title with this low level of offensive line play, if it continues to stay this course.

This is why ESPN has labeled Seattle pretenders this week, and probably why Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk has them as his 21st best team. While Florio seems to be one of the few remaining Geno Smith critics (and an occasion troll of Seahawk fans), if he has placed Seattle at 21 based on their offensive line play, I get it.

The Seattle Seahawks need their offensive line to settle in right now. While the Tua Tagovailoa-less Miami Dolphins might feel like an easy win for Seattle coming up this Sunday, they will not be, if Seattle cannot get their run blocking and pass protection playing better.

The glass half full outlook is that they certainly can play better because the truth of the matter is that they can’t play much worse. A deeper look at the state of their offensive line supports this idea.

When Seattle walked into Gillette Stadium last Sunday, they were down to their third string right tackle, they had an unsettled situation at right guard between Anthony Bradford, and rookie Christian Haynes, and their brand new starting center, Connor Williams, had only been practicing for a few weeks after tearing his ACL in his knee last December. On top of that, their new left guard, Laken Tomlinson, hadn’t exactly been impressing. It’s hard to imagine an offensive line like this going up against one of the better front sevens in the league having a great game. At best, you just want to feel like they did okay. It is very wishful thinking, though.

When you look at the current state of Seattle’s offensive line, and them examine what Geno Smith has been able to accomplish over the last couple weeks, no fan should be nervous if Seattle offers up a brand new contract extension his way. He has been playing top quarterback play despite the present shambolic state of his offensive line.

Herein lies some silver linings, though, and reasons why Seattle fans can actually be a bit optimistic Seattle can carry forth as a contender this year.

Through two games, left tackle Charles Cross has been one of the best performing left tackles in the league. It is foundational for any team to have their left tackle play at this elite level. Premium position players playing elite is exactly what teams need to succeed.

Connor Williams, while new to this team, was one of the top performing centers last year. It is reasonable to assume that he will settle more into Seattle’s offensive line, and get the players around him to play better ball. In fact, this week, Coach Macdonald noted that he took a big step forward against New England. If Connor stays healthy, I trust that much better ball lays ahead for him and the interior fellas this year. Top centers make those around them play better.

Another potential huge positive for this offensive line is eventually getting Abe Lucas back at right tackle, or at the very least, George Fant getting healthy enough to settle back in. Fant is one of the very top reserves in the league, and when healthy, is a very capable starter. Abe Lucas still has the talent to be one of the very best right tackles in the game. Either one of these guys back is going to help this offensive line. There is reason for optimism this will happen soon enough.

The biggest issue remaining with this unit remains the situation at guard. The hope is that one owns the right guard spot, and then the other pushes Tomlinson at left guard. Haynes likely has the much higher upside, his run blocking appears more promising, but his pass protection remains a work in progress. That is probably why the coaches prefer Bradford right now, and maybe he settles further into the right guard spot, and Haynes starts to make a push at left guard.

It will be interesting to see over the course of the next few weeks just how much settled in the interior of the offensive line becomes. I have some optimism that it will, but if things continue being an issue, Seattle has juggled funds around in 2024 by restructuring DK Metcalf’s contract to open up an additional $9 million in cap space. With John Schneider’s track record of mid season trading, it wouldn’t surprise me if we see them acquire an established guard from another team.

Who this person could be, I have no idea, but last year at this time, I didn’t exactly have a read on them eventually trading for defensive tackle Leonard Williams, either. The hope might be to see if these new pieces inside grow together through the next three games, but the reality might be them itching to make a deal sometime in October, if they are still in serous contention for the division, but don’t feel secure enough at guard.

Outside of the interior of the offensive line, the only other areas on this team where depth makes me nervous still is middle linebacker, and running back.

At linebacker, I love Tyrel Dobson and Jerome Baker’s potential together, but Baker’s hamstring issue makes me nervous, and while I like the potential in Tyrice Knight, his inexperience and the lack of depth behind him make me even more nervous. I would not mind seeing this team acquire another proven journeyman middle linebacker to rotate in with these guys. Who knows, if that will happen. They might see injuries to starters as a way to get unproven players playing time, and growth.

At running back, I am head over heels in love with K9, but I worry about his ability to stay healthy enough. I also think his backup, Zach Charbonnet is a really different style player who might not fit Grubb’s offensive to the degree K9 does, and they will have to adjust whenever he gets meaningful carries. I wonder if they need to acquire another back who is more or less a closer version to K9 for this offense to maintain its consistency whenever they have to lean into the run game. Time will tell if this is a warranted concern, or not.

On the whole, however, this team is showing tons of promise within position groups that you want promise to be shown. This is probably the biggest reason why they can indeed be contenders this year, if the offensive line as just settle down, and play better enough to be closer to the middle of the pack of offensive lines.

This defensive line and edge rush group is proving to be DEEEEEEEEP, and that is a really good thing moving forward. It also appears that with Riq Woolen, and Devin Witherspoon, they may possess the best cornerback tandem in the league. If your goal is to build a top flight defense, the two areas you most want to be strong at is defensive line and corner.

Offensively, they have a veteran quarterback who looks to be ready to have a very promising season, and he has weapons galore to throw at. DK Metcalf, Jaxon Smith Njigba, Tyler Lockett, Noah Fant, and possibly Jake Bobo could all have big seasons this year. This quarterback paired with this group could be as good, if not better than any in this league this year. The potential is that big.

On top of all of this, bad fortune for other teams within the NFC West division could prove fruitful for Seattle to stay atop this division, if they can figure out the best version of themselves. The Los Angeles Rams are battered up on their offensive line and within their star receiving corps. The San Francisco 49ers are now without their two best offensive weapons in Christian McCaffrey, and Deebo Samuel. In Arizona, Kyler Murray has shown to be injury prone. If Seattle wins this division, on top of getting big years out of key players, it could be a situation where they just simply win the battle of attrition.

Will this happen?

I dunno, but I will say that I feel more confident about the Seahawks competing with the 49ers than I have over the past few years. At the very least, I think they can be a much tougher out than in previous years. With new coaches comes fresh perspectives and schemes that opponents like San Francisco might be more unsure how to prepare for. When you add this to the talent that Seattle has been amassing over the past few years, it wouldn’t surprise me if we see a shakeup within the rivalries in this division in favor of the Seahawks.

But I think it is also way too early to label them a true contender right now. We need more games to be played. We need to see if they can get past Miami, pull an upset in Detroit, and then hand it to the Giants before we can feel super confident in that first matchup against San Fran.

Because the truth of the matter is that, like it or not, San Francisco is a supremely talented team who has been there, and done that for several years now, and they are what Seattle is trying to become, and ultimately overtake. This might take time.

But in that, judging off these past two games, I really like what Seattle is showing us so far. I love it, in fact.

Go Hawks.

Geno Smith Saves Seahawks In New England

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Make no mistake about this 23-20 overtime win for the Seahawks at Gillette Stadium in Boston. Geno Smith’s quarterback play won this game for Seattle.

On the day where New England decided to celebrate the ten year anniversary of their Super Bowl win over Seattle by honoring the dude who picked off Russell Wilson at the one yard line, Geno Smith handed Patriot fans a good old fashioned turd sandwich to chew on in the fourth quarter and overtime. It was glorious, and I soaked it in with absolute joy.

We are now two games into Mike Macdonald’s coaching career in Seattle, but we are starting to figure out who these Seahawks under his coaching are. I can ascertain two things I feel about them under this new regime.

Geno Smith is the Man, and these are not your Pete Carroll Seattle Seahawks.

I do not mean to make this piece a slam on the former coach, but here is how I think things would have went down in New England against the hard fighting Patriots. Being ultra thin at right tackle, and without the explosive qualities of Ken Walker, I think Carroll would have mandated a conservative offensive game plan against a tough Patriots defense on the road. I think he would have had his offensive coordinator staying with the run when it wasn’t working, and he would have asked for a simplistic attack. With a journeyman vet to play against at quarterback, his mantra probably would have been to keep it close enough to hopefully gut out a low scoring victory on the road in the end.

In recent years, Seattle used to drop games like this by making them unnecessarily too easy for the opponent to be in it. They would bumble enough on defense to make a below average quarterback look like a really good quarterback, and they would be so risk adverse offensively, that it would make it more difficult on their own QB than it ever needed to be. We have lost games to Colt McCoy multiple times this way, for God sakes. This would not be the case in New England yesterday, however.

Mike Macdonald allowed his offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb stay with the pass game when it was clear that it was the only thing working against a tough Patriots defense. Sure, it sputtered coming out of half time, and their lead vaporized by the fourth quarter (thanks to an Seahawk defense that got pushed around with the run), but Grubb adjusted enough to create motions to detect coverage, and dialed up necessary coverage beaters, and he leaned into Geno Smith to lead this team to a come from behind drive inside a stadium that is extremely difficult for a road team to get a win in.

Geno Smith took to this play calling, lifted his teammates onto his back, and carried them into an overtime win. It was just like watching Michael Penix Junior at Washington in 2023.

While I prefer to see an offense who can dictate more with the run, I am excited about how much of a fit Geno seems to be for Grubb in this scheme. It’s early, but the matrimony between the player caller and quarterback feels harmonious right now. I fully expect it to continue forth.

This, of course, all being very bad news for Geno Smith haters out there (the few stubborn ones remaining). Let them eat their crow.

Here are the cold hard facts about Geno Smith right now. This coaching staff obviously has full faith in him to win tough games. They are perfectly willing to lean into him. This overtime win is only going to deepen that faith in him moving forward.

Also, through two games, Geno’s QBR rating in the league is strong. He’s demonstrating top level accuracy, poise, athletic playmaking ability, and decision making.

Essentially, he is playing just like a top level quarterback. In fact, through two games, he is the league’s fourth best QBR rated quarterback.

So if, at this stage, you still think all of this pro Geno talk is silly, I vehemently question your ability to know ball. But don’t just take Geno praising from me. Here’s what a few national NFL media had to say about him after this game.

Dan Orlovsky called Geno Smith the best NFL quarterback that nobody is taking about. Albert Breer tweeted that Geno is a much better QB than people give him credit for. Brock Huard (local but also national), who has been somewhat on the fence about Geno over the years, tweeted to put respect into Geno Smith’s name, but here is a tweet that I want you to read and let sink in for a minute.

Make no mistake about it, Geno Smith played ELITE football against a tough Patriots defense defending their own home turf. Period. No debate to be had.

If you are a fan of the Seattle Seahawks winning football games, you should be excited about this moving forward. There is no reason to remain on the fence when it comes to Geno Smith.

I get it if you long term goal is to see Seattle have a young talented quarterback playing on a rookie contract, but Caleb Williams, the first player taken in this draft, on Sunday Night against the Texans, could not make the throws that Geno Smith made against the Patriots to lead his team to a road win. Maybe he will someday become one of the league’s best quarterbacks, maybe, but he is nowhere near the NFL quarterback that Geno is right now.

Seattle fans should be embracing Geno, not being senselessly divided about him.

Last week, I wrote out a piece that spelled out all the reasons why Geno Smith is essentially playing on a trial year with this new coaching staff. I concluded it by saying that I believe he will most likely ace this trial, and earn a contract extension in the following offseason. Two games into this season, I see it even more clearer now.

This team was down its third string right tackle, it was missing it’s big time play making running back, it was having an up and down game on defense, they lost their lead in the fourth quarter, and yet Geno surgically carved up the Patriots defense in the final moments of the game like it was a Thanksgiving Day turkey fresh out of the oven. For two weeks now, Geno and his crew have faced tough defenses and they delivered. What is going to happen when they meet up against softer opponents this year?

Geno is gonna ball. That’s what’s going to happen.

In terms of other standouts in this one, you can feel the bright future of this team in the talents of Jaxon Smith Njigba and DK Metcalf on offense. Eventually, this team will be without Tyler Lockett, but JSN and DK are starting to feel like one of the top receiver combos in the league. With Jake Bobo also on this roster, Ryan Grubb has riches to use with his receivers, and this is exciting stuff for any pass happy Seattle fan to behold.

JSN offers such a unique blend of soft hands, route running, and sudden run after catch abilities. It’s so fun to watch. Essentially, he’s a taller version of Doug Baldwin, and without the Ken Walker to rely on at running back, it felt like Grubb was using JSN on quick passes as a way to compensate. It wouldn’t surprise me if we see him become the next big star athlete in town, to be honest.

DK, on the other hand, proves that no athlete in this offense has more naturally explosive big play potential than he does, not even Ken Walker. The big touchdown catch and run was fun, but watching him now being finally schemed with slant patterns is even more exciting. This was no doubt a huge game for him, but I think Grubb is just getting started with how to finally take advantage of his off the chart skills. I cannot wait for it.

On defense, there were very obvious stars in this game. Leonard Big Cat Williams was a beast, and so was edge rusher Boye Mafe. It was great to see rookie defensive tackle Byron Murphy II get a big run stop and a sack. I thought rookie linebacker Tyrice Knight played pretty well when he had to sub in for injured Jerome Baker. Rookies stepping in and playing well is a really positive sign for this team as it builds its new core and depth.

Also, Julian Love.

Damn, Julian is just so damn good at football. Sticks his nose into breaking up passes to tight ends, plays the run solid, and blocks fricking kicks. In the three point difference in this win, his blocked kick could easily be considered the single biggest play of this game.

Things weren’t always stellar on defense, though. Seeing them getting pushed around with the run in the second half was disconcerting, and gave me some PTSD flashbacks of the 2022-2023 Clint Hurtt Seahawks defense. At least assignment wise it looked like players were in the right places (for the most part), but the lack of proper tackling needs to get fixed right away.

It will be interesting to see how these defenders respond with their tackling efforts against the Dolphins next Sunday, and how Coach Macdonald will get them turned around. With the likelihood of no Tua, I would expect Mike McDaniel to lean further into the Dolphin ground assault after watching tape on the Seahawks defense in this one. They are an offense known for their exotic ground attack, and this feels like an important match for the Seattle tacklers to get it right for this week.

I got faith that they will. In Mike Macdonald I trust.

I feel the potential in this defense. They got lots of work to do to clean things up, but the potential is sky high for them this year. They just need to hone in their fundamentals better as they stack wins.

In this road win, they got three sacks on Jacoby Brissett, but they could have probably had at least four more. They need to finish these sorts of plays, but I have supreme confidence that they will. At least they were in position to make them. Last year, it felt like under Carroll and Hurtt calling the defense, they were never in positions like that nearly enough.

The most encouraging thing about this day was when they needed a big play on defense to happen, it happened, and when they needed their starting quarterback to carry them to a come from behind win on the road, he effortlessly lifted up his team, and carried them on his back. When you marry good defense with really good quarterback play, generally speaking, really good things tend to happen for football teams.

Also, Mike Macdonald is 2-0 as a brand new NFL head coach. How awesome is that?

No Seahawks head coach has ever starting their career here 2-0 before Macdonald. In 49 years of being a NFL team, Macdonald is the first.

It’s early, I know, and a lot of things can happen during the coarse of a long NFL season, but excuse me if I am feeling pretty damn excited about this club right now. I wish they were playing again tomorrow. I haven’t felt this way in years.

Go Hawks.

The Truth About Geno Smith And The Seattle Seahawks

No matter what happens with the Seahawks this year, whether they struggle and miss the playoffs, or become a surprising contender, one aspect about this team will be certain to happen. Seahawk fans will be divided when it comes to Geno Smith.

Seattle could take an improbable path to the Super Bowl, and there will probably be certain fans who will be “thanks, Geno!.. time to draft a quarterback.”

Seattle could also struggle playing through a tough division, and end up with a losing record. If that happens, there will most certainly be load cries to see what we have in Sam Howell, and cut bait with Geno.

But on the flip side, this fanbase also has loads of people who are staunchly in Geno Smith’s corner. They believe that not only is he rightly the QB1 for now, but should be looked to be the future, as well.

Curiously, from the observations I have made online, podcasts I follow, some national takes that I see, the people who tend to be very pro Geno Smith seem to be the ones who demonstrate knowing ball pretty well. These people are mainly the analytics crowd of the fanbase, and the league, and football film junkies who break down plays and coverages.

These people are comfy with Geno about to turn 34 years old, and have a “so what” attitude about having an older quarterback who took an unorthodox path to becoming QB1 here in the PNW. They study the tape, look at his numbers compared to other quarterbacks spread across the league, and they are confident in their projections that Geno’s got some good years left out of him.

I get it. Positive numbers are alluring.

As of right now, Geno projects to have a pretty good QBR rating, on the whole, over the last two year span, even if there were up and down trends with his game. Analytics also support that he is one of the best quarterbacks when making plays under pressure, one of the best play action passers in the league, and he is one of the best deep ball passing quarterbacks, as well.

At the start of the season last year, the anti Geno crowd used the argument that he hadn’t proven that he could win games in the fourth quarter, but then he went on to prove to be one of the best fourth quarter quarterbacks in the league last season. In fact, the more games he plays in, the more the anti Geno crowd is running out of excuses as to why he shouldn’t be the starter here much longer. The best that they can muster up is that he is older and therefore, cannot be expected to be the future.

Because of these numbers, and what my own eye test has sorta told me about Geno, and the support he has gotten from sharp football minds I respect like Brian Nemhauser of Hawkblogger, Mina Kimes, the Athletic’s Michael-Shawn Dugar, Cigar Thoughts thinker Jacson Bevens, and others, I land pretty firmly on the Pro Geno Smith side of the argument. I get it that his story is unusual, he’s older, and at some point, Seattle needs to draft and develop a young quarterback. I also believe that the way league rules protect quarterbacks these days, it has become more common for quarterbacks to play longer and still find success.

That said, even in the most stubborn pro Geno position I could take, I still see certain writings on the wall for him in Seattle that make me believe that his future with this team is a murky one, at best. I am not blind to the tea leaves that I read.

Let’s look at this team’s roster financials.

Over The Cap, an online source that calculates and tracks roster spending, projects Seattle to be $19 million over their salary cap at the start of the 2025. No matter what this team does in 2024, make the playoffs, or not make them, they will need to cut some talented players, and/or restructure contracts to get their finances right next Spring in order to sign back key free agents, dip into free agency, and also have enough money to sign their rookie class. This is the grim financial future waiting for this team after the season.

Popular players who could be at risk to be cut or dealt could include Tyler Lockett, Leonard Williams, Uchenna Nwosu, Dre’Mont Jones, and Noah Fant. Of all the players who could open up the most money if cut or traded would be Geno Smith.

Hypothetically, if Seattle moved off of him for Sam Howell (and possibly a rookie, or cheap vet), Seattle would free up $25 million and be effectively under their cap. If they also moved off of Tyler Lockett, they would free up an additional $17 million. For sake of argument, let’s say they cut lose Dre Jones, and that frees up over $11 million.

These three actions would net them roughly $34 million in effective cap space to sign back center Connor Williams and maybe starting linebackers Tyrel Dodson and Jerome Baker. After these signings, they would have probably enough cap to sign a player or two in free agency on minimum deals and then sign there draft class.

This is the cold honest truth about Seattle’s roster structure in terms of its salary cap. As much as it might seem that Geno is the guy, it kinda feels like this roster has been under construction for a QB on a rookie contract to eventually take over, at least in terms of salary cap management. If you went onto the Over The Cap website, and looked at this team’s financial outlooks for 2025 and 2026, you would immediately get this vibe.

In my mind, I imagine Seattle would probably love to find a talented young quarterback playing on a cheap rookie contract. That player just hasn’t landed to them yet, and right now, they possess a talented older quarterback who is essentially playing for his future to remain here in Seattle this year.

It is certainly very possible that Geno Smith catches fire this season, guides Seattle back into the playoffs, makes the pro bowl for a third straight year, ingratiates himself with Ryan Grubb and Mike Macdonald, and they work out an extension in the following offseason. With an extension, they can convert money into the form of a signing bonus, drop is 2025 salary number significantly down, cut a few other expensive veterans, and maybe restructure a couple other contracts.

With each restructure, though, that is financially kicking money down the line, inflating future salary caps, and making it financially more difficult to sign back good players coming off of their cheap rookie contracts. You can be the biggest pro Geno person out there, and still recognize this particular salary cap quandary.

So, if this teams elects to pay Geno Smith $50 million APY, you most certainly not see Tyler Lockett staying here, and the team would also have to part ways with other talented vets. After the 2025 season, the team would also be hard pressed to keep together all of Boye Mafe, Riq Woolen, Ken Walker, Abe Lucas, and Charles Cross. After 2026, they will have a chore figuring out ways to keep Jaxon Smith Ngijba, Devon Witherspoon, Derek Hall, and Zach Charbonnet. Tough decisions would be inevitable.

I am not arguing against paying Geno Smith the value he would be worth, if he has truly ascended into top tier quarterback status, but I am showing you what it means to pay someone who will be well into his mid thirties this kind of money down the road. Seattle is building a talented young core, and it would be hard to keep them together for a quarterback who may only be a three to five year plan, at best, beyond 2024.

This is why I believe we have never seen this team fully embrace Geno Smith as their franchise quarterback this year. I think they are being very purposefully pulled back from doing that, and there are numerous examples.

Go down and have a walk around their stadium. Geno Smith is this team’s highest paid player, and yet he does not have his own individual mural picture on the outside of the stadium like other key players have. What does that tell you?

That tells me that he is playing this season for his own future on this team.

After all, it was just around five months ago that John Schneider was asked whether Geno is their starting quarterback, and he answered “he is until isn’t.”

That lack of endorsement set off alarm bells with Geno fans, and people got pissed. Schneider got asked a very pointed question, and yet he elected to be candid instead of sugar coating it.

Frankly, it didn’t really bother me much. After all, he didn’t know if they would be able to draft a guy like Michael Penix Junior, or not, and Schneider wouldn’t have had any idea how this new coaching staff would ultimately take to Geno. It sort of struck me as maybe something he wanted to say to prep people for potential quarterback move around the corner.

Let us remember that when Schneider came to town with Pete Carroll in 2010, the Seahawks had Matt Hasselbeck, arguably the best quarterback in franchise history at the time, on it’s roster, and they traded for Charlie Whitehurst to develop behind him much like they trade for Howell this year.

After seeing Hasselbeck play well enough to guide this team into the playoffs, and win a playoff against the Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints, Pete Carroll and John Schneider said “thank you and goodbye” to Hass that following offseason. It’s safe to assume that Pete and John were looking for something different at quarterback. Eventually, they landed on Russell Wilson.

So, saying Geno is the starter until he isn’t shouldn’t really be that shocking, if you look at this team’s history. It should simply be a vivid tea leaf to read.

The organization might really like Geno Smith a lot, and appreciate who and what he is for this team right now, but they ultimately might be building this roster up for eventually a young gun to step in, just like I mentioned above. This feels real enough for me.

It makes sense, given the players that they have extended, and the players that they are looking to extend in a few short years, to have a cheap solution at quarterback for the length of a rookie contract. This is probably their ideal scenario.

But many times in life, ideal scenarios don’t always present themselves. Good teams do not reach on quarterbacks in the draft just to take one. They stay true to their draft boards.

Therefore, I don’t think we see John Schneider next Spring draft a quarterback in round one just for the sake of it in order to prepare for life without Geno. After all, in 2023, he had two opportunities in the first round to draft Will Levis and passed both times. Anyone watching Tennessee last Sunday can see that Levis is still very much a work in progress player.

So, here is ultimately where I sorta land in all of this Geno debate in Seattle. I really like Geno Smith a lot. I like what he is as a player, and I dig who I think he is as a person. If he plays well in 2024, like I think he is fully capable of playing, I wouldn’t be upset at all if this team worked out an extension with him for a few more years. I would actually be excited about it.

Therefore, as of right now, I still believe that this is a likely enough of a scenario. As this season wears on, I can see Geno Smith clicking in this new offense with Ryan Grubb’s play calling, and further winning over this new coaching staff.

Would I be shocked if it didn’t happened and they turned to Sam Howell in 2025 with potentially a rookie competing with him?

No, I would not be shocked. Geno could play well, and just like with Hasselbeck years ago, they could still elect to move on. This could most certainly happen.

But I still think that Geno stands a strong chance to endear himself to his new coaches with good enough play, and leadership to where they are going to want to keep rolling with him. It’s just an unshakable vibe I get. It makes me reluctant to bet against him staying in Seattle.

Those who know Grubb pretty well have noted that he prefers a very specific personality at quarterback. He wants an alpha personality who will command a huddle, make smart decisions, and possess the ability to accurately push the ball downfield. Geno Smith is all of this right now. That is why they never intended to open up competition between him and Howell.

I will say another thing about Geno and Sam Howell. If Howell was quarterbacking in the final minutes against the Broncos and attempting that crucial third down pass to the tightly covered Tyler Lockett, I don’t think he makes that throw. I don’t think he even attempts that throw.

All throughout training camp, Geno demonstrated vast superiority of accuracy with the football over Sam Howell. It wasn’t close. Do not underestimate how much that means to Ryan Grubb when he is calling plays.

Therefore, I think that if Seattle does make the playoffs this year, and Geno plays well, he and the team will likely find middle ground on an extension. He will probably have his coaches (and teammates) pushing for this. Maybe it’s only a short two year extension, or three at the most, but extending a quality Geno Smith a few more years gives this team the luxury of staying competitive until they find a player in the draft that they believe will be the franchise. There is tons of value in this.

I think this is the solid middle ground for the player and the organization. Give him some more money and a couple extra years, and keep your options open for drafting a quarterback that you really like.

I would not be so quick to assume that Geno will want Dak Prescott dollars, either. If he does, than this whole situation becomes a very different discussion, but I suspect that he will want to be compensated better than he is now, and with probably a little more in guaranteed money tossed into the deal. At the same time, however, I believe he will recognize that giving the team a friendlier contract deal than other quarterbacks probably assures that the team will better fit talent around him.

Maybe I am wrong about this. I could be, but I wouldn’t, at this point, bet against it. Things are presently murky, but one really good season out of Geno Smith this year can clear a lot of that up.

John Schneider likely genuinely appreciates Geno, but he also knows all too well that finding a bright young quarterback to play on a rookie contract is a golden ticket for any franchise in this league. Any good general manager in his position, of having a decent QB1 entering his mid thirties with a new coaching staff, would be thinking the same exact thing. At some point, you have got to get younger, if you can.

But at the same time, I think John likes to operate by having a strong working relationship with his coaches, and he takes in their input. If they bang the table loudly for Geno, I don’t see him ignoring that.

This is why I am not at all stressing this truth between Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks. Having a good quarterback now, and an eye for another one in the future is exactly how this team should be operating. This is how they have set themselves up to operate, I believe.

This is the very last thing I will land on with Geno Smith the quarterback. This dude has been through a lot of shit as a professional football player, and against many odds, he stayed with it, and overcame what most others in his position have not been able to do. Don’t think for a second that he looking at this trial year, and doesn’t have the inner fortitude stay strong against any adversity and doubt.

You can be put off by his age, and his path to being QB1 in Seattle. If you are under the age of thirty, you probably only really know quarterback success in Seattle coming from some dude who won a Super Bowl game managing on a cheap rookie contract. That’s fine.

But I think only a fool underestimates how much the players on this team love him, how strongly he commands the huddle, and how determined he is to prove all the hating fuckos out there wrong all over again.

Go Hawks

Seahawks Preseason Toughness Has Me Buzzing

Due to family obligations over the next couple weeks, this the only preseason game review of the Seahawks that I am going to publish this Summer. Therefore, I am going to give it my best to make this a good one. Here we go.

From a Seattle perspective, I saw a lot of things to be encouraged about in this game, but let me start with the most important position in football.

The other week, my heart sank into my stomach with the news that Geno Smith got hurt at practice, was going to miss some days, and was getting imaging work done on his knee and hip. This wasn’t the news I wanted to hear about on any level. It was like the dread I felt in high school when someone told me that the girl I was dating was in the bathroom making out with the wrestler dude who never bathes. Fuck.

You see, a few days before that, I was at practice, and what I witnessed from Geno was an absolute marvelous day of crisp downfield passes. I mean, I am talking flawless stuff, and I have been going to Seahawk practices for years, and I cannot recall seeing a better day of passing from a Seahawk quarterback. Not from Russell Wilson, nor peak Matt Hasselbeck. Geno looked that sharp.

What I saw at that practice from Sam Howell was okay. He made some cool plays with his arm and legs, and yet he was also a bit inaccurate at other times. It was no contest, though. Geno Smith looked vastly superior.

So, when this news broke about Geno getting hurt, the Seahawks’ season flashed before my eyes. My gut told me that if Seattle had to rely on Sam Howell through a stretch of games in 2024, they would be hard pressed to make it to the playoffs in Mike Macdonald’s first year as head coach.

One preseason game does not a season make or break for any team, but after watching what Howell did in this game against the Herbert-less Chargers of Los Angeles, my confidence meter about these Seahawks has elevated. This is exciting.

I figured Macdonald would get this Seahawk defense turned around, and in this game against the Chargers, they showed boat loads of promise (more gushing later). Tacklers tackled, and coverage players covered, and pass rushers like rookie defensive tackle Byron Murphy, Boye Mafe, and Derick Hall made plays. I am fully confident that Seattle is going to see a major defensive turnaround this year, and this game has deepened those thoughts.

What I had major questions about is whether the offensive line could effectively block, and whether Sam Howell could play within himself to find his plays, and be protective with the ball. I think Howell and the offensive line (when run blocking) acquitted themselves well in this one.

In my training camp observations the other week, I wrote that if Seattle were to rely on Howell to win meaningful games, they would need to lean further into the run. Apparently, Seattle agreed with this assessment.

When they leaned into the run against the Chargers, Howell’s game opened up. Success on the ground allowed Howell to roll out, scramble, and make plays with his arm and legs. It was fun to watch.

This is how you are going to best roll with Sam Howell. He’s got a niftiness to him as a scrambler, and like Russell Wilson, with a lower center of gravity and a strong arm, he throws well on the run. His best throws came when it looked like he was potentially going to scramble for yards, and also off of play action. When he throws strictly from the pocket, that’s where it can be more of an adventure with him.

In watching this game, it felt like offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb knew this about Howell, and he dialed up an impressive ground game to compliment him. Honestly, I might be more excited about Grubb’s ability to adjust to the talent he has a quarterback than I am at the quarterback, himself, and that is taking nothing away from Howell. In fact, I am more impressed with Howell after this live outing than I was at training camp the other week.

With Howell, it could be entirely possible Seattle has a young QB2 who might be better on game days that at times during practice. That is not hugely uncommon, but it is something to keep in mind now that we saw him in his first preseason game for Seattle.

Some people want to comp Sam Howell to Baker Mayfield because of his size and the number on his jersey, but looking at him in this game and at practice, I see a different QB in the league to compare him towards. While it is possible that Baker might be his ceiling, I kinda see Gardner Minshew as his potential floor, and that isn’t a bad thing, in my view.

Minshew was an absolute gamer in college for Washington State who, just like Sam Howell, didn’t impress at the scouting combine, and fell in the draft. Since then, he has fluctuated between being a good backup to serviceable starter on and off over the years. This sorta fells like potentially the career Howell might be destined for. I think he could start for a team and do some fun things, but he may never reach more than a middling status, and whatever team he is the QB1 for, might be looking to replace him through the draft or whatever.

This is sorta what I felt I watched with him against the Chargers. He made good throws, made good decisions, but also perhaps displayed some limitations with accuracy a bit, and it felt like Grubb kept the offense simple. I would happily take that in a QB2 for my team. Currently, he looks like a much better backup option than Drew Lock did.

In fact, with the toughness the Seattle offensive line showed in its run blocking against the Chargers, and the speed and strength, and discipline the defense showed, if Sam Howell had to start the majority of the games this year, I think Seattle could still be a surprise team. I think Howell has just enough talent, and Seattle has enough around him on this roster, that they finally have an offensive coordinator to maximize it all in a way that suits Howell.

This is what this preseason game sorta showed me.

Guards like Anthony Bradford and rookie Christian Haynes moved big bodies to clear running lanes for running backs Kenny McIntosh and rookie George Holani, who both looked solid. There was an unmistakable physicality to Seattle’s ability to run the ball inside with power and speed, and Grubb used just enough motion in his plays to keep the Charger defense guessing.

There was also an unmistakable ability for Seattle’s defensive line to play with aggression and toughness. Byron Murphy looks destined to become a star, but rotational players like Mike Morris, and Derick Hall, and Myles Adams looked pretty damn good, as well.

In fact, of all the second year players who might make the biggest positive leap forward this year, I would pick edge rusher Hall as my guy to watch out for. His bend, and power and speed was on display in this game just as I saw it in practice.

But the thing that probably has me most excited about the Seahawks in watching this preseason game is the discipline shown on defense. Collectively, I sensed a unit playing together. I did not expect this so early from these guys who are picking up a complex scheme that Macdonald is bringing over from Baltimore.

Even though Macdonald didn’t show anything super complex, you still felt the allusion of complexity, at times. Mike Morris, for example, would flex out from defensive tackle to being a stand up edge rusher, and properly make a play in coverage at 300 pounds, for goodness sake.

Tacklers met ball carriers and receivers for routine small gains, or limit run after catch opportunities. You don’t have to have a deep understanding of all the nuances of American football to see players in the right places making routine plays.

One of these tacklers who really impressed me in this game was rookie middle linebacker Tyrice Knight. He looked fast and efficient in coverage and in angling up to meet a ball carrier. He impressed me in camp as well, and it was encouraging to see him carry it forward in this game.

Outside of Murphy, he might be the one rookie on defense that Seattle really needs to see positive net gains from, and so far, things look positive. Depth at middle linebacker still feels like a major concern for me, but Knight is doing stuff to mitigate that right now. I need to see this trend continue.

In terms of the secondary and defensive line, I think Seattle looks to have an assortment of riches. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if they use nickel and dime packages predominantly.

Backup safeties Coby Bryant and K’Von Wallace played like quality starters. Riq Woolen looks like he has regained his 2022 pro bowl form and has improved upon it. Seattle’s defensive tackle rotation looks tough as nails, and is ready to fuck shit up this year. The young edge rushing talents of Boye Mafe and Derick Hall feel excitingly bright, and I will repeat what I said above; I think Derick Hall is destined to be the breakout player this year.

We just need competent play at middle linebacker, and there were signs in this game that it could be there this year. Tyrel Dodson looked very capable at MIKE linebacker, Knight looked like he belongs in this defense, and, surprisingly, so did journeyman Jon Rhattigan. To me, this is all a sign that Seattle’s defense is being coached up well.

I do not mean this to be a huge knock on Pete Carroll and his great legacy in Seattle, but it has been years since I have seen a Seahawk defense look this fundamentally sound and on point in a preseason game, much less a game midseason. This basic level display of play, of see ball carrier, tackle ball carrier, drop into proper zone, and tackle pass catcher, has me really excited about the potential for the Seahawks this year.

If they can keep Geno Smith healthy enough, Ryan Grubb can fully maximize his playbook much like he did for two years at Washington. I mean, open this sucker up like a 1970’s muscle car on open roads in Montana, not the let’s play it safe stuff that was on display with Howell in this match.

You pair that with this sort of early preseason defensive effort shown from Mike Macdonald’s defense, and it is super easy for me to dream bigger this year for the Seahawks, and what they could do.

I think they now have the play callers in place on both sides of the ball with schemes to get the most out of the players on this roster. That can easily be good for eleven wins barring a bad rash of injuries to key players.

Are they on the same level as the San Francisco 49ers, Detroit Lions, Philadelphia Eagles, and such?

I’m not going to anoint them yet, but I am intrigued to find out how far the gap is between them and these more heavily anticipated NFC teams. I have optimism they might be on their way to closing in.

This Seattle team honestly feels like it isn’t just destined to become the Baltimore Ravens out West. It feels like it has the potential to be a hybrid of the teams that just played in the national championship game last January.

With Grubb running the offense, and Macdonald (who was also the mastermind of a dominant defense in college at Michigan as well as a dominant defense in Baltimore) calling the defense, I do dare to dream about Seattle becoming a perfect balanced mix of 2023 Washington and 2023 Michigan at the NFL level. The resulting effects of that union being an offense that aggressively attacks defenses married to a defense that’s number one goal is to confuse and disorient quarterbacks with relentless pass rush and tricky coverages.

What a marriage that would be. If they can gel towards that this year, this is going to be a fun season of football.

This one simple little preseason game against a Chargers team that didn’t have a lot of starters playing (Seattle rested a bunch of starters as well) has elevated my hopes. There is still a lot of work for Seattle to do to get to this perfect unified state of tying its offense to its defense and special teams, and Mike Macdonald acknowledged afterwards, but this was a positive step forward, no doubt about it.

This is going to be a very different Seahawks team than what we have seen in the last several years. You are going to feel them more up front more on both sides of the ball. You will see stronger fundamentals.

Mike Macdonald is not going to likely wow you with his personality. You won’t see him animated on sidelines like we have gotten to enjoy from Carroll for a decade and a half. Instead, you will see a stoic straight forward dude who will not allow his players to get ahead of themselves. Praises will be there from him, but it will be more measured. He will push them in ways in which many have not been pushed yet in their careers.

It was fitting that his very first preseason game was coached against his old Michigan boss Jim Harbaugh. The culture and vibe of this team on Sundays will be more Harbaugh-esque, and I support that with every fiber of my Seahawk fanaticism.

This is the change that I wanted to see happen for the Seattle Seahawks, and I think this game was a good step forward in that direct.

I want to see more of it.

Go Hawks.

Observations From Training Camp Fuel My Seahawk Hopes And Dreams

This is my good friend Ashley. Look how goofy this stoned assed motherf***er is!

We had so much fun from the berm watching training camp this weekend. I enjoyed watching tight spirals, and he enjoyed watching a couple middled aged bar hags in Daisey Dukes sitting ten feet away from us.

I got a lot of thoughts to tie into this. So, barrel down, Snowflakes. I am giving it to you straight.

Let me start this whole thing off by saying that I am not going to be delusional and proclaim that the Seattle Seahawks are going to be a top contending team this year. I think they can be a surprise team, and if they can stay healthy enough, I can see them back in the playoffs in Mike Macdonald’s first year as head coach, possibly wrecking the joy of other fanbases.

To say that the new schemes could uncork exciting potentials on this roster is an understatement. I felt all of last year that Seattle had talent on their roster that was not being maximized. What I viewed on the berm felt like a very positive step forward for a lot of those players.

I saw a lot of encouraging signs on Saturday that suggested to me they are on track to be that sort of team.

That said, there still exists a couple things that prevent me from fully buying into them becoming a truly dominant team this year. It really just boils down to two things.

For one, I believe that they play in one of the toughest divisions in the league with a ridiculously talented team in the Bay Area, a talented Rams team, and a team in Arizona that could be on the rise. While I think it is fool’s gold to buy into any hype that Kyler Murray and the Cardinals are going to finally have their shit together this year, I sense the potential of the Rams being on the upswing again, and the ridiculously talented San Francisco F*ck Faces are going to have all kinds of incentive to win it all this year before they have to pony up to make Brock Purdy the highest paid quarterback in the league in 2025.

The other issue is that, at least on paper, while I see a lot of talent spread across this Seattle roster, I see the wee potential of disaster on their offensive line, and at middle linebacker. In short, having your starting right tackle on the Physically Unable To Perform list at the start of this training camp is not the greatest omen to start things off this Summer. Additionally, Mike Macdonald needs middle linebackers Jerome Baker and Tyrel Dodson to stay healthy this, or we could see him forced to use a raw rookie fourth round pick linebacker starting in meaningful games (more on this rook later).

So, as I sit here and type out my thoughts in anticipation for real NFL football to begin, I got one thing I really need to see out these Seattle Seahawks this year.

I need to see some badass, go for the throat, toughness on both sides of the ball.

They got skill players who will make things interesting in games. I have already written about how I think Geno Smith continues to be vastly underrated as a quarterback. We all know Seattle is pretty loaded at receiver and running back. We know they have pretty good talent at corner, and there is some interesting potential on the defensive line. Barring massive amounts of injuries accruing at these spots, we should see Seattle hang with teams this year.

But I need to see a tough, aggressive, badass mentality like we haven’t seen here in a really long ass time.

Here are some of the impressions I came away with from what I saw at practice this Saturday from my seat on the berm that give me hope that Seattle can, in fact, be a pretty damn badass team this year, if they can stay relatively healthy enough.

Watching Geno Smith run this Ryan Grubb coached offense made me feel like I was watching Michael Penix Junior in the Washington Husky offense from the past two years. In fact, Geno looked just like a right handed version of Penix, and this should excite most Seahawk fans.

He was in full command of this attack, throwing perfect spirals to spots on the field where his receiver could easily catch against good coverages. Just like watching Penix in college, Geno wasn’t tossing easy gimme throws, either, but rather putting great passes downfield into windows. Everything from him was pretty damn crisp. This was a lot of fun to watch.

Barring injury, Seattle feels like they have not only their quarterback for now, but it feels possible that they got their guy for a good while, as well. I write this as a person who has been somewhat reluctant to say that Geno can be the long term fixture here, too, but after seeing it in person, I am more sold on Geno than ever. I never seen him look this sharp in Shane Waldron’s offense at this stage of training camp. I’m sold.

In terms of Sam Howell, from what I saw on Saturday, he looked much better than I was anticipating based on negative reviews through the first view days of camp when he apparently struggled. To my eye, he looked interesting, but I think we need to make important distinctions between him and Geno Smith in order to gain a realistic grasp of the Seattle QB situation.

For me, Sam and Geno are two very different styled quarterbacks and it almost isn’t fair to compare them. In fact, they are so different that I think each requires their own specific offense tailored to each of them.

Geno is a classic, tall, drop back passer who works well inside a pocket, but has enough athleticism to make plays outside the pocket, as well. He seems tailor made for the play-calling Grubb used at Washington that took the Huskies to the national title game. Penix was often compared to Geno and now I see why.

Sam, on the other hand, being shorter, I feel needs to be more on the move to find his groove (a la Russell Wilson). He threw on the run well on Saturday, at times, but the times he stayed in the pocket, it felt like he was a bit more hesitant. If Seattle were to operate out of a run heavy play action offense that used a bunch roll outs, I think Sam would be a natural fit for that style of attack. That’s not the Ryan Grubb offense we saw at Washington, however, and I think that if Geno were to get injured to the point of missing a view games, it would be up to Grubb to adjust his attack to better fit Howell.

I still like Howell as a developmental player, but I don’t see this as any contest between him and Geno Smith right now, and now I actually wonder if he would be better served in a different offense, elsewhere. I also wonder whether Seattle should look to the draft to find someone more with Geno’s attributes to groom behind him, eventually, if the Grubb Attack is something they want to ride with as their offensive identity, long term.

These are just my initial thoughts on the QB front for Seattle. Onto some other cool things.

Seattle is loaded with ridiculous levels of talent at receiver, Grubb appears ready to maximize it, and teams with iffy pass defenses are totally going to get royally hosed when they have to play them this year. Jaxon Smith Njigba feels extra in this offense, and DK Metcalf is about to do things that I don’t even want to spoil on this blog. Tyler Lockett had the day off, but depth players like Jake Bobo, Easop Winston, and Dareke Young stepped up and looked sharp. There are good players on this unit who will not make this team, and should probably end up on other rosters.

Ken Walker, Zach Charbonnet, and Kenny McIntosh should show big as runners, and receivers. K9 will probably be the star, but he will be complimented with rock solid talents mixing in behind him. Expect Seattle to use these backs in ways very foreign to what we have been used to in the fourteen years under Pete Carroll. Just wait for it.

Defensively, it felt like players got some good pressures on a few occasions, and I enjoyed seeing that. I think Jarran Reed, Uchenna Nwosu, and rookie Byron Murphy all got pressures for would be sacks (can’t hit QBs in practice), along with undrafted rookie Nelson Ceasar (badass name, by the way), but it was interesting to hear Coach Macdonald say after practice that the pass rush isn’t where they would like it to be at this point.

I wasn’t as alarmed by this as much as I was excited. Macdonald is going to run this side of the ball with very high standards, and I am more than here for seeing the defensive line continually coached up.

They will be coached harder than they likely ever were before in their lives. In that process, they will uncork their chemistry. I have no doubt about that. There is a lot of potential within the defensive tackles and edge rushers to be really, really good this year.

To the naked eye, I expect second year edge rusher Derrick Hall, in particular, to take a big step forward. His bend around the corner seems noticeably evolved from last year, and it stood out at practice.

I thought rookie linebacker Tyrice Knight looked surprising good in coverages, at times. I recall when he was drafted in the fourth round, a few folks labeled that a painful reach. He looks like he belongs in this defense, however, and perhaps this is the biggest reason why we haven’t seen the team make a move to add an addition veteran middle linebacker. Fingers crossed he continues to trend well through training camp and preseason games.

I thought cornerback Lance Boykin looked like he belonged, as well. Boykin was a bottom of the roster player last year who might make things interesting as camp progresses. He is a longer player who found himself well in position at times to make things harder on the quarterback. Make a mental note on him as you watch preseason games.

I really liked how cornerback Tre Brown looked in practice. Seattle feels like it has enough quality depth at corner where I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a trade happen in a few weeks time.

In terms of negatives, I can’t think of a lot. Training camp felt very crisp for the most part.

It was very interesting that they brought talented free agent center Connor Williams in for a workout earlier this week, and are reportedly discussing a contract with him. Given the way the offensive line gave up a few inside pressures, it scans more now. They might see a genuine opportunity to further fortify themselves on the interior of the offensive line.

I would love to see this deal get done. If they cannot rely on Abe Lucas to play a full season, and George Fant is likely going to see a lot of time at right tackle, and McClendon Curtis (massive f’ing dude) is going to be looked at more as a backup tackle than guard, the trickle down effect from this is going to impact the interior depth of the offensive line. That’s not great for an attack that probably wants to beat defenses from the pocket more now than at any point since the Mike Holmgren era.

Getting Williams to lock down center would allow Olu Oluwatimi to serve as a valuable swing interior player who can play center, and potentially kick over to guard. He has enough size to do both.

If they can add a healthy Connor Williams to this offensive line, I am going to go from cautiously optimistic about this team towards being all in on the expectations that they should be a pretty kick-ass this year. This is why I need this deal to get done.

So, just get this motherf***ing deal done, and let’s f’ing go.

Go Hawks!

The Underrated Beauty Of The Seattle Seahawk Quarterbacks

Good lord, I need football back. These dog days of Summer are wearing thin, and if God wanted baseball to be the greatest sport in America, he would have infielders tackling base runners.

So, I need training camp to happen now, and I don’t know about you, but I am kinda more intrigued about the Seattle Seahawks than I have been in many years. Call it Mike Macdonald and his new coaching staff, and the chance for the team to field an exciting new defense. Call it the fact that I think the Seahawks are more talented than some national projections are indicating, and I am ready for them to be a surprise team.

Call it the fact that I think their quarterback situation is one of the more underrated ones in the league, and one that critics are grossly overlooking. Here are my thoughts on that.

There exists perhaps no other position in sports that creates greater division amongst fans than that of the NFL quarterback. Unless your team is blessed with having Patrick Mahomes, or peak Tom Brady, your fanbase is probably somewhat split about the quarterback, even if it’s a slight one.

No other example is better than this than when the Seattle Seahawks had Russell Wilson in his prime. Wilson had fans who were so devoted to him that they wanted to see Pete Carroll canned in favor of a more innovative offensive minded dude. At the same time, Russ also had loud detractors who felt it was a major mistake for the organization to invest so much in him in the first place, and that his sandlot style would only get this team so far. Both fronts were extremely dug in, much like people just are these days (unfortunately).

When it comes to this most important position, this sorta division amongst fans exists all over the league. If team aren’t winning Super Bowls, either expensive quarterbacks get judged with a high degree of scrutiny, or struggling quarterbacks on rookie deals get discarded way too soon.

Dallas fans are probably very split over Dak Prescott, even though he is perfectly in his prime, and was a leading MVP candidate last year. Critics say he doesn’t win enough in the post season, but to that I would say neither did Matthew Stafford when he was in Detroit. Something to keep in mind, if Dak does hit free agency in 2025.

Dolphin fans are probably very torn over Tua even though he is one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league. Charger fans (if there are any), might start losing patience in Justin Herbert if Jim Harbaugh doesn’t get that team off to a fast start.

If the Eagles don’t have a big bounce back season, Jalen Hurts will surely be further scrutinized after he signed his mega contract. So will Lamar Jackson, if the Ravens don’t make a deep playoff run.

If the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals disappoint again, the narratives around Josh Allen and Joe Burrow will start to shift, just you wait. Two years ago, these two guys were thought of as the second and third best passers in the league. Now there are slight murmurings of either regression (Allen) or injury proneness (Burrow).

Also, pressure is going to be on Doug Pederson in Jacksonville to get that team back in the playoffs with Trevor Lawrence. It won’t be enough to make the playoffs, either, as fans are going to need to see Lawrence finally playing at a high level after they just penned him to his monster deal.

And mark my words on this; with perhaps the most talented team in the entire NFL, if the San Francisco 49ers don’t win the Super Bowl this year, you will see division amongst 49er fans as to whether the team should make Brock Purdy one of the richest quarterbacks in the league at the expense of breaking up that roster. It will happen. The pressure on that team to win it all this year (or next) will be like no other pressure in the league.

Then you have this somewhat curious, and under the radar situation wedged up here in the Pacific Northwest with the Seattle Seahawks, and Geno Smith, and Sam Howell.

If you are a big time talking head for EPSN, or Fox Sports, I imagine it is easy to forget about who Seattle even has as a starter even though Geno Smith was the NFL Comeback Player of the Year two years ago, and has been a Pro Bowl player in most recent back to back years. Geno isn’t a superstar veteran, nor is he a young gun with youthful upside generating interesting talking points. He was a fun novelty story two years ago when he beat out Drew Lock for the starter gig and played much better than everyone expected, but novelties wear off quickly.

Way up here amongst the Twelves, however, Geno has both his highly devoted fans, and sharp critics, as any second tier starter would. He has football film junky fans who believe he is solidly a top ten quarterback, and he has some extreme critics who think he is so bad that he is holding this team back (what is it about our society that few people can ever find a solid middle ground anymore?).

In terms of Sam Howell, while perhaps most fans probably see him as nothing more than a backup, there are some NFL insiders who believe in his potential to develop into a quality starter given his youth, strong arm, playmaking potential, and toughness. Count me in with the few who see sunnier horizons with him down the road.

Both of these quarterbacks I find interesting, to be honest.

With Geno, I’ve always liked him as far back as his college days in West Virginia. He threw then, and still throws to this day, one of the prettiest downfield passes that you will see. Give him time, and a proper scheme, and Geno can deliver positive results.

I would say that if Seattle had at least a competent defensive coordinator last year, with Geno’s late season play, they would have probably won that shoot out match in Dallas, and taken that game at home a few weeks later against the Steelers, ended up 11-6, and in the playoffs. Perhaps they would have met another quick exit, but we would still be talking about Pete Carroll coaching this team today.

This is what I believe Geno Smith is good for as the QB1 for this team with this talent, and now perhaps better competency on this coaching staff. 11-6, and a playoff run, and likely another Pro Bowl nod. Geno Smith feels destined to be the new Kansas City Chief version of Alex Smith. I will take that.

He’s a stable veteran presence who understands NFL defenses, and how to attack them. He has a strong, accurate arm, and enough athleticism to extend plays under pressure, which is kinda what you’re hoping for in this modern league of football. Most importantly, he still has a feisty chip on his shoulder to continue proving detractors wrong.

When I look at all of these variables, and the fact that new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb is installing an offense tailor made for his exact skillsets, I honestly laugh at Geno’s critics, and how they are overlooking him Seattle. Former Washington State local kid Colin Cowherd can dismiss Geno Smith as much as he feels like he needs to do it, but I would be perfectly willing to bet that Geno finds more success this year in this offense than he has had the last two years with Shane Waldron calling plays, barring injury.

In fact, I think Seattle is poised to catch the league off guard, and I am here for it.

Nobody knows what this team will be in terms of schemes. Grubb has already said that he’s going to change it up a bit from what he did for the Washington Huskies. With Mike McDonald building his defense, he has continued to say that he is going to morph the scheme towards the strengths of the players on this roster, so it stands to reason that simply looking at Baltimore tape over the past two years may not be enough for Sean McVay or Kyle Shanahan.

While it might be really easy to write off Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks from an outsider’s perspective, the truth of the matter is that Seattle has the distinct advantage of the unknown in this league. This is the same unknown that rookie head coach Sean McVay had in LA back in 2016 when he inherited a young talented roster that was a hot mess because of the previous coaching staff.

General Manager John Schneider is banking on the innovative and analytic mind of McDonald coming in to take the league by storm. It’s not unreasonable to imagine seeing positive results in year one of his regime, either.

Some NFL insiders see Seattle’s defensive roster as having perhaps better overall talent on it than what McDonald had in Baltimore when he took over their defense two years ago. On offense, while the offensive line feels suspect, they are littered with skill players. Grubb’s DNA is coaching up good offensive lines, so all he needs to do is to improve that unit towards the middle of the pack, and Seattle can probably let it loose on teams.

I feel confidence in this scenario because of Geno Smith. I think Seattle can win games this year because of him, not inspite of him. You are free to scoff at this suggestion. I am free to hold receipts of doubters.

Onto Sam Howell.

I’m intrigued!

Heading into the 2021 college football season, Sam Howell was projected to potentially be the first overall pick of the NFL draft that following Spring. Scouts loved his arm strength, his ability to extend plays with his legs, and throw on the run. Some felt he had a Brett Farve vibe about him with the toughness that he played with. Toughness was the first thing John Schneider mentioned about Sam after they made the trade for him.

The 2021 season didn’t bode well for Sam after a very promising 2020 sophomore campaign that saw him as a Manning Award finalist. Having lost talent around him, his numbers dipped in competition percentage, touchdowns, yardage, and his interceptions trended up.

Then at the NFL combine, he ran a much slower than expected forty yard dash. Being a bit shorter at 6-1, a slower forty can be detrimental to a passer’s draft stock, especially if that dude didn’t live up to the hype during his last season of college football (Brock Purdy is the same height and didn’t put up impressive testing numbers at the combine, either, and was the last player drafted).

Because of all these factors, sure enough, Sam Howell fell to round five where Washington took a flyer on him, and Purdy to the bottom of round seven. I think it is reasonable to assert that Purdy fell to the perfect team who’s situation was unsettled enough at quarterback for him to step forward. I think it’s also reasonable to assert that Howell fell into a situation in DC that was an absolute clown circus from the top down.

Personally, at the time, I thought Howell was a good pickup for the Commanders. I was honestly expecting Seattle to grab in round three, much like they did with Russell Wilson. In fact, he was the one QB in that draft who had the most Wilson-esque vibes to me; a pure passer, with a big arm, who could buy time, and make plays with his legs.

In fact, when the Commanders came into Seattle last November, Sam Howell scared the crap out of me during that game. He wasn’t intimidated playing in front of a large loud crowd. He showed toughness and resourcefulness, and he made necessary plays that almost pulled out an upset.

So, I wasn’t surprised at all that Seattle made this move for him. In fact, I had suggested this very idea on this blog a few weeks before it went down. I loved the move then, and I like it even more now.

The cost of getting Sam Howell was peanuts for this team, and he has two years left on his rookie contract to see what they can develop with him behind Geno Smith. I think he’s potentially a great fit for what Ryan Grubb likes to do with his quarterbacks, too.

What Sam needs to do is demonstrate full command of the playbook, make smart, decisive decisions with the ball, and get the hero ball mentality out of his game. That’s the hurtle he needs to clear to become a quality starter. By what he has said in interviews, he seems very determined to prove that he can do exactly that, and he has the benefit of having some time to grow within this offensive scheme to do so.

So, while it is easy to look at his up and down stats with Washington in 2023, and believe he’s not the quarterback in the future here, I think it’s well worth considering that it was his first season starting in the league, and his results were not dissimilar to numerous first time starters of yesteryear; a list that would include Peyton Manning, Brett Farve, Drew Brees, and Josh Allen. There are other circumstances surrounding his year starting in DC that I think are well worth considering, as well.

Sam Howell was purposefully thrown into the fire as a starter. He wasn’t protected by any sort of balanced attack with a run game. In fact, he threw at a higher volume than any other QB in the league, and most of those throws came off of straight drop backs without the threat of handing the ball off with play action. He started out the season in a promising way, but it all came crashing down in a dismal way by December.

It was like Washington’s agenda was to make it as difficult as it could possibly be for him to see if he could rise above the flaming pits of Hell itself before deciding to go into the following draft targeting a quarterback. He wasn’t protected by any quarterback friendly system like Purdy enjoys in San Francisco. He wasn’t even protected the way Russell Wilson was his rookie year in Seattle with a scheme that leaned heavy on the run, either. Nope, instead, Washington decided to throw him into a pit of hungry wolves with a stick of driftwood to see if he could fight his way out.

Because of this bullshit handling of Howell in DC, I have a strong rooting interest in him now in Seattle, even more so than just than a hopeful shot at nothing to see if we have found our next long term starter. There are a lot of variables that I love to see in a quarterback, but perhaps my favorite is the natural sense of toughness and resolve to battle through adversity. If Sam Howell makes something for himself down the road in Seattle, it will be because of those very traits.

When you look at Seattle’s long history at quarterback, Howell finding success here feels perfectly on brand for this team from Jim Zorn, to Dave Krieg, Jon Kitna, Matt Hasslebeck, Russell Wilson, and Geno Smith. This team finds its quarterbacks under rocks while other teams blow first round picks on them (see New York Jets).

Ultimately, I want Sam Howell to push Geno Smith. I think it’s best for the team if he does this, and I think there’s a very reasonable to expect that it makes Geno better because of it.

After all, Geno didn’t struggle for years trying to convince a coaching staff to believe in him after his flame out with the Jets, only to finally get a QB1 gig again, make the Pro Bowl in back to back years, and then be automatically replaced in the second year of his extension here. He is going to be more determined than ever to prove himself all over again to Macdonald and Ryan Grubb. Bank on that.

This is why I believe it is fool’s gold to think Howell could usurp him this year with this staff. I just think it is more likely that Geno is going to be too good through camp to beat out. He won’t be outworked in this camp.

Why am I so confident in projecting al of this?

Because Sam Howell isn’t going to just idle back, either, and just accept the backup role out of the gates. He had last year to taste the QB1 role in DC, and he didn’t likely endure being thrown into a den of hungry wolves just to wilt into a backup role somewhere else. For the first time in ages, we might actually see iron sharpening iron at the most important position for this team. I can not wait for this.

I am very good with riding with Geno this season (and next year if he balls out big time). I will be honest, however, and say that I am ultimately more intrigued with Sam Howell, given his youth and upside as a potential long term starter.

Right now, the best thing for Sam is to show these coaches and players he’s well worth developing. He does that by showing solid through training camp and preseason games, and continuing to push Geno through the course of the season. He does this by being serious minded, digging deep into the playbook, and studying his ass off looking at tape against opponents. It’s his job to make this quarterback room in Seattle an outstanding one by becoming the best backup in the league.

However this QB situation ultimately shakes out long term, for now, I am just excited to see what this team can be in 2024. I’m feeling a lot of rosy optimism creeping in.

I think they are well positioned to surprise people. I see all the disrespect floating out there, projecting them to either be in third or fourth place within the division. I cannot help but laugh at it all. Hubris is naturally a very funny thing.

It was just the other month when Colin Cowherd called them a talented team without a quarterback. He then went on local airwaves and plainly stated his disbelief in Geno Smith, saying that he is essentially the same guy who flamed out years ago with the Jets, even though Geno has been a Pro Bowler in consecutive seasons, and quarterbacked this team to nine wins in back to back years with good efficiency numbers, all the while having to endure horrible schemes on both sides of the ball.

I can never tell what motivates Cowherd as a talking head, whether because he is from the State of Washington, he feels like he purposefully has to detach himself from the Seahawks with any sort of rooting interest, or if he just simply doesn’t care about sports in the region he grew up on because that doesn’t feed his brand, or if he just simply doesn’t track the teams up here because he’s a big shot down in LA rubbing elbows with the stars. Who knows, but I do know one thing; anyone watching Geno Smith on Sundays over the past two years calling him the same exact player he was with the Jets is a certifiable lunatic, and their opinions should not be trusted. It’s that plain and simple.

Could I be wrong on this stuff with Geno and could Colin Cowherd be correct?

Sure, anything is possible. Maybe Geno, with all of his experiences and life lessons, reverts back to when he was 24 years old and was a loose cannon trying to play hero ball.

I don’t think I’m going to be wrong, though. I think Cowherd is going to be eating crow once again regarding his “home team.”

The Seattle Seahawks have enough interesting talent on both sides of the ball for a seasoned, mature quarterback with a good arm and accuracy step in and find success this year, even if this division is a tough one. This team is built for a guy like Geno to guide it now. This is what I believe.

And that is what I think we are going to see.

Go Hawks.

Seahawks Building Necessary Toughness Through The Draft, Finally

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After sitting through three full days of NFL draft, I had to take a breather to let it settle in. Seattle made early picks that made me jump through the metaphorical rooftop with excitement, and then they went decidedly less flashy on day three of the event. In order to avoid writing a knee jerk reaction to them taking a linebacker in round four that some experts were anticipating would go later, I needed to see Mike Macdonald talk about him in his post draft press conference. Frankly, I needed time to sit with all of their moves.

I am not one to overly question an NFL coach or general manager’s decision on a player taken in the draft, so pardon me if I am not going to be nearly as critical as some of the other super fans and bloggers might chose to be. If Sean Payton believes Bo Nix is his guy to lead Denver to a Super Bowl, more power to him.

So, in terms of Seattle, at the end of the day, I am more willing to defer to a bright young head coach who just coached the best defense in the league last year, and a dude who has been a general manager of a Super Bowl winning program than I am some other dude on Twitter X who “knows some ball” and has an exorbitant to amount to spare time to watch game tape on 250 draft eligible players. That is just me, however. You do you however you see fit.

That said, as the dust of this draft has settled upon the Seattle Seahawks, I see a clear vision for professional football in the Pacific Northwest moving forward. As I have sat back watching the first two days of this draft, anxiously anticipating what Seattle might do in year one of the Mike Macdonald regime, I kept being struck by thought after each of their two selections. It pretty much reads as follows.

“Holy shit, the Seattle Seahawks are finally drafting badass players in the trenches.”

I do not mean to use this piece as a means to trash the Pete Carroll era, but I cannot shake the undeniable feeling that the Seattle Seahawks are finally doing something fans have long been pining for. They are drafting for impact on the interior of the offensive and defensive lines. This is my biggest take away out of this draft class for Seattle.

In two days, Seattle drafted the best defensive tackle in the draft, a guy who somewhat compares to Aaron Donald, Geno Atkins, and Grady Jarrett, and then they took an All-American guard who Pro Football Focus rated as a top fifty player at Pick 81, and who many described as the best pure guard in the draft. Byron Murphy and Christian Haynes, alone, have made this draft a huge success, in my humblest opinion. These are talented, explosive big men with aggressive mindsets. When you factor in that Leonard Williams is essentially their second round pick, it becomes undeniably easy to see a sharp contrast to a Pete Carroll style draft.

This is just my take on the Pete Carroll era now looking at it in further hindsight in comparison with this new regime. It feels like perhaps the biggest difference between what the Macdonald Seahawks will prioritize to what Carroll preferred, is building a team from the inside out on the line of scrimmage.

It feels like Carroll always preferred to emphasis talent on the perimeters. If they were to go with a lineman early, Carroll preferred taking an offensive tackle, or a defensive end. Guards and defensive tackles were most often found in later rounds or bargain shopping through free agency. Carroll also seemed to place a high importance on collecting wide receivers with high picks, safeties, linebackers, and running backs while other organizations would value these players later on.

This is just year one for Macdonald, but it is clear he values top end talent at interior positions. Here is the stark contrast between Carroll’s first draft in 2010 and Macdonald’s in 2024. The first two picks for Carroll where offensive tackle Russell Okung and then free safety Earl Thomas. Macdonald’s are DT Byron Murphy, and guard Christian Haynes. Macdonald didn’t even bother with taking a safety even though it was considered by many fans as a position of need.

For many long suffering Seattle fans, this potential shift in philosophy will be seen as a gigantic blessing. After years of watching the Rams come up to Seattle and harass the Seahawks with Aaron Donald, Seattle now as a defensive tackle who loosely comps to him, and they added a guard who will take to defensive tackles instead of sitting back passively waiting for them to come to him.

Mike Macdonald doesn’t appear to be a coach willing to live with hubris up front, believing that his coaches can coach up marginal talent inside. He is looking for top end talent there. He wants punch you in the mouth football. We should all be elated.

This is the Baltimore Ravens way. This is the Harbaugh Brothers mentality. This, I believe, is going to be the biggest distinction between what a Mike Macdonald team will be to what a Pete Carroll one was. Fans, like myself, who loved Carroll’s quirky personality and Ted Lasso like demeanor might find themselves in a bit of a culture shock looking at Macdonald’s straight forward no-nonsense way, but I think most fans are going to love the results of what they will eventually see on the field on Sundays, if Macdonald’s vision is carried out. I think it will be.

The Seattle Seahawks are determined to become a bully team again. This is what Macdonald said in response to what they were looking for when taking Murphy and Haynes.

“A style of play that no one wants to play (against), that’s what we are aiming for. That’s our standard of how we play football, and if you want to play here, you’re going to have to play a certain way. Those are a type of guys we’re bringing in.”

That sure does sound a lot like those old 49er teams coached by Jim Harbaugh, and that Michigan team that just beat the crap out of the Huskies in the National Championship game. That sounds a lot like classic Baltimore Raven style football, too.

God bless all of this. In the blustery wet weather that November and December can bring into Lumen Field on Sundays, this is the style of football that I most want to see moving forward.

Collecting big men didn’t stop on Friday either. On Saturday, day three of the draft, the Seahawks took two other big offensive linemen. In the sixth round, they took massive Utah guard/tackle Sataoa Laumea (a guy I thought they might take in round four), and then they grabbed small school offensive tackle Michael Jerrell who has an athletic upside that is described as exciting by many.

Sign me up for both of these players. Give me a big mauling guard who played for the one PAC 12 program that was determined to play SEC style football for years. With their last pick, take a flyer on a guy who played at Findlay who has high athletic upside and dominated against small school programs.

I trust O line coach Scott Huff (formerly of the Washington Husky program and who coached the best offensive line in America last year) in having a good read on Laumea, who he saw play against UW on numerous occasions. Huff probably has a pretty good idea how to work with him. I also trust him in seeing some good clay to mold with Jerrell (a la George Fant), as well.

In a draft that was widely regarded as uniquely deep with offensive linemen, Seattle grabbed three of them. I had written a few times about my desire to see Seattle do something like this, and they did. In hindsight, I couldn’t be more happier. Seattle needs to build its depth here, and they appear focused on doing that.

I am not going to bother with grading this draft for them. I think draft grades are ridiculous, and in a few years, we will see how good this class actually is, but I would be willing to give them an A for effort going after the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. That effort alone means something to me. It shows me where their priorities lay.

Going after a high impact defensive tackle to pair with Leonard Williams is huge for this team. Getting a guard who is viewed as a day one starter in the third round is also an enormous success. Beyond that, you are free to nitpick it however you choose, if you had a favorite player in rounds four and five sitting there who they didn’t take.

In my view, rounds four through seven, teams are largely looking at depth players who could develop into starters. This is where they took Anthony Bradford and Olu Oluwatimi last year, and they just grabbed Laumea and Jerrell. If Seattle can unearth two quality starters out of these four offensive linemen, that’s going to be a big win for this program. They might, especially with Scott Huff now here to take over coaching up the offensive line.

This league is filled with quality guards and centers who were drafted in the later rounds. Of this group, I really like Oluwatimi’s chances a lot, and I am still really intrigued with the high upside of Bradford. I like Laumea as a player to perhaps push Bradford.

Schneider mentioned this the other day, and I think it holds true. Often times, the better offensive lines we see in the league are not loaded with high drafted players. They might have a couple high round picks, but they often filled with a bunch of guys who have been coached up well, and just have a really good want to in terms of smacking a dude in the mouth, and have a really strong chemistry with each other. This was the Seahawk offensive line in 2005 when they made their first Super Bowl. Walter Jones and Steve Hutchinson were studs, and the other three were quality working class joes.

In their Saturday afternoon press conference, it is fitting that Mike Macdonald and John Schneider wore mechanic shirts with this draft haul. By wearing these shirts, I think they sent a unifying message. They aren’t into flashy. They’re into nasty.

Even in the fourth round, when they took two non offensive or defensive linemen, they grabbed a linebacker who was a tackling demon in FBS football last year, and they grabbed a Michigan tight end who is being compared to Will Dissly. Both of these dudes are tough guys looking to lay hits either as a run stopper or a run blocker.

Tyrice Knight was a player I mocked to Seattle in the later rounds, so I was not too terribly shocked to see them take him earlier. If you want to call that a reach, that is fine. I would just say that Macdonald’s forte is developing linebackers, and Knight was obviously the guy he wanted at Pick 118 over many other linebacker prospects rated higher by the draft media.

I think we should afford Macdonald the benefit of the doubt in seeing specific qualities in Knight that leads him to believe he will become a good player for him in time. He will sit behind two quality veterans in Jerome Baker and Tyrel Dobson learning how to play ‘backer in Macdonald’s scheme like Junior Colson did for Macdonald in Michigan when he was kinda raw. In a scheme that simplifies things for linebackers, I can get behind this pick.

Drafting AJ Barner after Knight shouldn’t be seen that much as a shocker, either. I felt all along Seattle might be looking to add a third tight end. Instead of grabbing more of a pass catching one as I thought maybe they would target, they chose to grab a inline blocking one from Michigan who Macdonald is familiar with, and so is special teams coach Jay Harbaugh over other flashier tight ends with better pass catching reputations.

Barner, however, is also described as an athletic enough guy to have a good feel on route trees and is a capable receiver when called upon. Like Knight, if you want to bemoan this as another reach pick, that is fine. Will Dissly was also taken in round four and was described as a reach. What this pick tells me more than anything else is that under Macdonald, Seattle’s full intention is to run the piss out of the ball. Get ready to order your Seahawk mechanic shirts.

One thing that caught me off guard, however, was seeing Seattle take two cornerbacks on day three. I did four mock draft articles leading up to this three day event, and in none of them did I envision them going cornerback. In fact, I figured they’d go safety.

There were rumors circulating days up to Thursday that Seattle was doing their homework on corners, and might be preparing to take one during round one, but I interpreted it all as smokescreen material. Seattle seemed loaded up at corner, and I did not feel any sort of strong need at the position.

So, I was fairly stunned when Seattle chose to draft Nehemiah Pritchett at the top of the fifth round, and then take his Auburn teammate DJ James in the sixth. I get it that James carried a day two grade with a few analysts, and Pritchett was sorta regarded as a potential third round pick, as well. I can definitely see the value at taking both of these guys where they fell. Pritchett is a long bodied speed demon with decent potential as a cover guy, and James feels like a player who could be a really good nickel player, but Seattle now feels over loaded at nickel. Devon Witherspoon seems to enjoy sliding inside at nickel, and Coby Bryant has also shown to be decent there.

As the dust has settled, I think I understand these selections more. I think Bryant is probably destined to convert fully to the safety position now, and with Michael Jackson Sr and Tre Brown set to become free agents after this coming season, Seattle may have seen opportunities to get out in front of these situations now.

The coaches might also be unsure how well Riq Woolen will convert to this new scheme after a sophomore slump in 2023. That’s also possible, if not altogether worrisome.

So, in our eyes, we might have viewed this as a deep area of the team, but from a coaching standpoint (and a front office one), they might have seen it as an area they specifically wanted to attack in this draft, especially when they saw two talented corners fall further down the pike, and just provided great value. From this perspective, I can get behind these selections.

If I were to critique this draft for Seattle more, I would say it’s a bummer that they didn’t take advantage at the depth of receiver this year with Tyler Lockett getting older. There were numerous talented receivers to be had out of this class, and Seattle didn’t invest.

Maybe this is the Pete Carroll era that I am still attached to, and I am conditioned into feeling the need to draft at this position, but I also like to say go where the strengths of the draft is. Receiver was really strong this year. I would have liked Seattle to have out of this with one.

One area that I am not going to fault this team on, however, is bypassing quarterback for yet another year. I super duper wanted them to draft Michael Penix Junior. I would have been completely comfortable for them trading up for him. I even had a slight interest in them drafting Bo Nix, as well. Spencer Rattler and Michael Pratt never really moved the needle for me, however, and neither did JJ McCarthy, if I am being perfectly honest.

The team already has Sam Howell, and with that trade, he can be included in this draft haul. I am good with seeing what Ryan Grubb might be able to get out of him with two years left on his rookie contract. I believe he has some interesting upside, and now we get to see if that’s the case.

Also, with all six of the projecting first round quarterbacks going in the top twelve, I think the Sam Howell trade, overall, looks really smart for Seattle now. Go get ’em, Sam.

Lastly, in terms of the undrafted rookie free agents that were signed after the conclusion of the draft, I really love that they brought in Washington tight end Jack Westover. I thought maybe he would have been a player they drafted. I think he’s got not only a strong chance at making this team, I think he can have an impact in his rookie year. Grubb knows him, he was productive for Grubb, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they carve out a playmaking H back role for him in this offense moving forward. Last year’s fan favorite of the undrafted rookies was Jake Bobo. This year, it feels destined to become Westover. I love this move.

On the whole, I do love this draft for Seattle. Out of eight picks, they took four linemen, and three of them are interior fellas. That’s outstanding, in my view. The trenches needed to be the main focus, and they were. Bravo.

Seattle has built up their skill position players enough. They have loaded up on talent at receiver, running back, and they have a good tight end. They have a pro bowl quarterback, and a talented enough young gun behind him. They have good offensive tackles and edge rushers. They have good corners.

It was time overdue to focus more inside, and they did that. In the end, I really cannot ask for more than that.

Now, go start beating the crap out of people.

Go Hawks.

Seahawks Miss Out On Michael Penix Junior But Land Stud DT Byron Murphy: Win!

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Michael Penix Junior was destined to go top ten in this draft. This is something I have felt very strongly about for a number of months. All of this baloney talk of him being a second or third round pick was complete nonsense being peddled for months by high profile “draft experts” who probably didn’t sit down and watch very many Washington Husky games over the past two years.

Instead, they viewed his injury history at Indiana, and his average-ish frame, and his less than stellar championship game against Michigan, and they penciled in a bunch of lazy narratives. If Penix had been quarterbacking for Jim Harbaugh at Michigan last season, hitting beautiful deep shots off of play action in a ground and pound offense, supported by the best defense in America, guiding them to the championship win, he would have been a top three pick in this draft. Instead, he was taken eighth overall to Atlanta in a move that surprised many, and that did not surprise me in the slightest.

I wanted Seattle to draft him. I wanted it badly, and a couple weeks ago, I wrote an article where Seattle traded up to take him. I felt that the only way for him to be a Seahawk would be a trade up. I was spot on correct with that, too. There are now reports floating around out that Seattle was, indeed, making an effort to move up for him, after all. Apparently, so was Vegas and New Orleans.

I’m not going to go into rehashing all my reasons for why I believed Penix to Seattle made perfect sense in my mind. I have written about it to an exhausting point, and have argued my position to folks on the internet, and friends, and family, and anyone else pushing against it. It turns out that the league pretty much agreed with my views on him. So, I have that feather in my cap. Go Falcons.

I also suggested in my last mock draft article that Bo Nix might be a candidate for Seattle after a trade back while at the same time suggesting that he could easily go to Denver at twelve overall, and he did just that. Bo Nix has his critics, but I am not one of them. In Denver, I think Sean Payton is going to do a lot of good things with him, and while many are calling that pick a reach, I wouldn’t be surprised if he has a better career than a few of the younger quarterbacks taken in front of him. Time will tell.

Enough of the quarterbacks, though, and onto the real exciting news. Because of the absurd amount of quarterbacks (six of them), offensive tackles, and receivers taken in the first fourteen picks of the draft, the Seattle Seahawks landed a guy who many believe was the best overall defensive player in the draft in one Byron Murphy, Defensive Tackle, out of Texas.

Make no mistake about this. That was a MAJOR steal for the Seahawks. In any other draft, this is a player who would most likely have gone top ten (I thought Atlanta or Chicago would be the spots for him). According to general manager John Schneider, Seattle had four really good trade offers on the table that they turned down to pick Murphy. I can believe that.

At 21 years of age, Byron Murphy has already earned his degree at Texas, so we can imagine that he is a hard working dude. At 6-1 and 300 pounds with an impressive athletic profile, he is also twitched up dude who was a tackle for loss demon in college last year. You can line him up at three technique, 4i, and nose tackle, and he possesses the strength, athleticism, and skills to bugger up an offensive line.

He is as well built as they come for defensive tackle, too. He’s not the doughy pile of fun loving goo that Poona Ford and Brandon Mebane were, but more of the Greek god chiseled-ness of Aaron Donald. That is as far as I will go to compare him to Donald (a once in a generation DT), but his physical profile is impressive like that.

For years, Seattle fans have been pining for this team to acquire a talent such as this to add to their defensive line, and he just fell into their lap. Every Seahawk fan should be excited about this addition, and what a superb way to usher in the Mike Macdonald era.

It’s fine to want to see the Seahawks draft a promising young quarterback who will play for a number of years on a cheap rookie contract, and we can all see that Seattle needs to add more to their offensive line at guard. I would argue, however, that the opportunity to draft a rare game wrecking style defensive tackle trumps taking a great guard prospect, and with no viable QB that you would take after the crazy run of them, this move became an instant no brainer.

It is really, really hard to find defensive tackles who can do what Murphy projects to do at this level. He plays was such great leverage, and explosive power, and translatable skill. He will grow as a pass rusher, but he should have an impact year one making Seattle’s defensive line a problem for opponents. I loved Troy Fautanu as much as the next person as an option for Seattle, but I’m sorry, I’m going Murphy a hundred out of a hundred times with both players on my board. I am so elated that Seattle did not over think this pick.

Mike Macdonald was brought into Seattle to replace Pete Carroll mainly for one reason and one reason only. To build a defense that would wreck Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay offenses. That is why he got this gig. John Schneider just gave him a major tool to do just that.

One could easily argue that the offense for Seattle is really not that far along from being one of the better ones in the league. They need to add more to the offensive line, but they are loaded with weapons, and they have a capable veteran quarterback, and a young guy with some upside behind him, already. When we step back and look at the fuller picture, we can easily see what this team desperately needs most is to get its defense’s ass kicked into high gear.

Byron Murphy is a compact high gear defensive lineman. That is the best way to describe him. Paired with Leonard Big Cat Williams, mixing in with Jarran Reed and Dre’Mont Jones, he going to bring this defensive front a lot of juice. Even if he doesn’t initially collect gobs of sacks, he will make other jobs easier. Boye Mafe’s job is going to be easier, and it wouldn’t shock me if he gets near to 15 sacks this year with Murphy shooting through gabs inside on long third downs.

It is going to be fascinating to see how this defense will morph under Macdonald now with this acquisition. I did not expect him to be available. As I write these thoughts out now, I’m still frankly stunned.

And Seattle still has six picks left in this draft to add a decent young guard prospect. I feel like in round three and early round four, there’s likely still going to be some decent options available. Players like TCU’s Brandon Coleman, Pitt’s Matt Goncalves, Michigan’s Zak Zinter, and South Dakota State’s Mason McCormick could be options available when Seattle picks again, and I’m excited to find out. As a fun thought, maybe UW right tackle Roger Rosengarten falls into their lap at pick 81, and they move Abe Lucas inside to better protect his knee.

But at this rate, however, I would say the draft is working out perfectly for Seattle right now. They got the game wrecker, and a guy who many did not expect to be there at 16. Round one of this draft came to them perfectly.

I also appreciate the rumors that they were preparing to move up for Penix, they need to find a long term solution at quarterback, and who knows, maybe they target Spencer Rattler today, but good teams let the draft process come to them. If Rattler is there at pick 81 and they want to take him, great on them, but if not, I hope they keep an open mind on whoever else might be available there when they pick next today. No need to reach for a need if there is a great prospect sitting that who plays a different position.

So far so good with Bryon Murphy, though. As my father used to say, you cannot have enough quality defensive lineman. He would have loved this pick.

Go Hawks!

Mocking the Seahawks Draft Round Four: Players Who Feel Like Seahawks

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I have no idea what the Seahawks are going to do this draft, but gosh darn it all, if I am ever excited to find out. New coach, possibly a new mindset on the type of players he’s going to want, and the first draft to usher in this new area. I’m stoked for all of this, but I’m just not going to put myself through the agony of predicting anything.

My gut tells me that it is more likely that they trade back then stay put at pick 16 (or trade up). This is a deep draft at offensive line, quarterback, and receiver. There’s some good looking defensive tackles and edge rushers set to go round one, as well, and some interesting corners. These are all players at premium positions, and one of them could be a Seattle Seahawk this Thursday. Whether Seattle stays put, or trades back, or shocks everyone by trading up, they are poised to get a very good football player.

In this final mock draft article, I am going with my gut, and am projecting a trade back. I think there is going to be a run of quarterbacks and receivers early that are going to push some really good players down the boards, and there is going to be a championship contending team who is going to be will to make a deal with John Schneider that he is going to like.

For Schlitz and giggles I am going to say that our trade partner is the Green Bay Packers who Schneider has a healthy relationship with. A prized cornerback becomes available where Seattle is picking, and while Seattle is in no great need for this corner, the Packers do. They send picks 25 and 58 to Seattle, and Schneider gets his wish to trade back, collecting a valuable second round pick.

Beyond this trade, I am projecting the Seahawks to be purposeful in selecting guys who they believe are going to fit the scheme, and culture of their new coaching staff. Mike Macdonald feels like a straight shooting no nonsense fella. I think he’s going to want players who will embody that vibe, who he will count on to play hard for him, and will take to harder coaching.

Here is my final mock draft demonstrating the spirit of this.

With the 25th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Bo Nix, Quarterback, Oregon

Seattle sees a talented quarterback who they believe has the skills, personality, and maturity to mesh beautifully with their new head coach Mike Macdonald. Seattle sees five quarterbacks go in front of them inside the top fifteen, and keep fingers crossed that Nix might be available after the trade back. He is, and they take him.

With the 58th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select T’Vondre Sweat, Defensive Tackle, Texas

This pick comes with controversy similar the Frank Clark selection in 2015, as Sweat has recently been busted for a DUI. Where Bo Nix’s persona is all about high character, Sweat is regarded as a partier who doesn’t keep his weight in check. However, at 6-4 and 366 pounds, few humans can do what he does in a football uniform. He’s a true space eater who can soak up blockers, and he can collapse the middle of an offensive line. He will have Jarran Reed, Leonard Williams, and Johnathan Hankins to show him the ropes of being a professional. Further thoughts about him later in this piece.

With the 81st pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Brandon Coleman, Guard, TCU

Coleman was a three year starter at left tackle in college and was a team captain. He projects as a guard in the NFL, and has the traits to be a good pass blocking one. Seattle can put him behind Laken Tomlinson and allow him to develop and they have an offensive line coach in Scott Huff known for converting tackles to guard while coaching in college. Coleman is an explosive athlete with underrated upside, and can play tackle if needed.

With the 102nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Jeremiah Trotter Junior, Linebacker, Clemson

Though undersized and maybe not a top athlete, Trotter has NFL genes, he’s smart, instinctive, plays with discipline, and has proven effective both as a blitzer and in coverage. This is important to Macdonald.

With the 118th pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Javon Solomon, Edge Rusher, Troy

Like Trotter, Solomon comes in undersized, but plays fast, instinctive, and was very productive. He plays with good leverage that makes him hard to block against the run, and he’s bendy around the corners with good use of hands as a rusher. He can also effectively drop in space. I like this guy for Macdonald’s defense.

With the 179th pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Kamren Kinchens, Safety, Miami

At one point last season, Kitchens was projected to be a top safety prospect, but unspectacular testing results at the combine are likely going to hurt his draft stock. Some team is going to get a really good safety later on in the draft with him, though. Here, Seattle does.

With the 192nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Beaux Limmer, Center/Guard, Arkansas

Limmer is experienced at guard and center in college, and he displays good technique. He’s also a decent athlete. For some reason, he’s projected to be a later round pick, and if this proves true, he’d be a great pickup here as a quality depth player. Seattle swoops in.

With the 235th pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Luke McCaffery, Wide Receiver, Rice

This is a fun pick with McCaffery’s big brother Christian playing for the San Francisco 49ers, but it also makes sense, if he’s still around late in the draft. He has natural hands, and can run a decent route. He is new to the position, though, as a former quarterback converted to receiver, but if he is sitting there late, definitely worth taking a flyer on.

Thoughts about this final mock draft for the Seahawks

I don’t know if any of these guys end up Seattle Seahawks, but each of them feels like Seahawks in terms of what I sense this team wants moving forward. I think they are searching for high character guys. I think they want leaders, and guys who will fight hard, and will bring an extra gear of juice to games. This is how their last two drafts have gone, and I think they lean further into it in this coming one.

Why do I have Seattle selecting Bo Nix in the first round, you ask?

Well, if you were to set aside your Husky bias for a moment, I think I can explain it. Here are my own thoughts on him.

NFL draft pundits are all over the map with him. Some say he won’t make it past Denver’s pick at 12, while others say he’s a guy who teams will try to target in the second round. For what it is worth, the same thing has been said about Michael Penix Junior, so Nix isn’t alone in bipolar projections (although Penix is gaining a lot of last minute buzz about being a top 15 pick).

When I look a Bo Nix, I just think there is a strong chance he is both a John Schneider guy and a Mike Macdonald fella. He’s well built at 6-2 and 214 pounds, and he’s a capable scrambler who throws very well on the run. On top of being football smart, and accurate with the football, he’s also regarded as an exceptionally strong leader. The people down in Eugene rave about the positive impact he brought to their culture and locker room. He’s extremely experienced in college, and as a coach’s son, he’s all football.

Like Penix, he possesses big hands, and for John Schneider, I think that is a big deal. While he doesn’t have the arm canon of Penix, he grips the ball well, pump fakes well in cold wet weather, and get the ball out quickly and accurately while setting up defenders. In boxing terms, he boxes smart (at least this is what it has looked like in all the games I have watched from him).

He can also throw a pretty deep ball, and I don’t believe that gets talked about enough in the media because of all the short easier completions he was asked to do at Oregon. He’s also proven to be very durable in college, and that is going to be a positive checkmark for a lot of coaches.

I stand firm in my belief of Bo Nix. I have watched just as many Oregon Duck games as I have watched Husky games. I have good vibes on him and Penix. I think their floors are really good, and while Penix might have the much hirer ceiling with his superior arm talent, I don’t think Nix is exactly a popgun armed quarterback who is going to be a check down Charlie at the next level. I think he can be a good starter in this league for a long time, if he gets into the right situation. I think Seattle would be that right situation for him.

I also think Nix could really be an ideal Mike Macdonald kind of guy. I can see potentially a great personality fit, and in many ways, I think it makes sense for Seattle to take the plunge now at drafting a quarterback to partner with the new head coach moving forward, if the right guy is there, even though they might have greater immediate needs on the team.

Enough on the quarterback, though, and onto perhaps the more controversial projection in this mock draft. Bo Nix taken in round one will surely raise a few Husky eyebrows, but the next guy I have projected in this mock to Seattle might induce some actual rage with fans and media members.

T’Vondre Sweat, with his recent DUI, and his chill attitude about his playing weight, would instantly draw criticism from some of the talking heads in the Seattle sports media scene. I have seen this movie a few times over.

Seattle has shown a track record taking risks on potentially impactful defensive linemen with character red flags. Bruce Irvin, Frank Clark, and Malik MacDowell all had issues either with the law (Irvin and Clark) or motivation (MacDowell). Irvin and Clark had successful stays in Seattle, but MacDowell did an extremely knuckleheaded thing on an ATV that all but destroyed his football year before it got going. Each of those selections drew sharp criticism in the local media, and I would expect no different if Seattle drafted Sweat.

Why then do I think Seattle could still do this, even with the history of the MacDowell situation?

Here are a few remarks that NFL analyst Lance Zierlien has noted about him on his profile on NFL.com’s webpage.

Tall, wide, and extremely powerful

Devours blocks, allowing linebackers to operate in space

Has the ability to crater the pocket if the center doesn’t help to block him

At 6-4 and 366 pounds, Sweat is unusually gifted as a nose tackle who cannot be single blocked, and has enough athleticism for his gigantic size to factor as an inside pass rusher. If Mike Macdonald really does love his linebackers as much as he has professed to adore them, getting a huge dude like Sweat in front of them to soak up blockers and gum up the middle of an offensive line would literally be a ginormous gift.

Personality wise, I don’t believe Sweat is at all like MacDowell, who may not have been the best teammate in college and didn’t seem to take to coaching very well. At Texas, while known as a fun loving guy, I think he was actually a pretty good teammate, and Brock Huard noted on his morning radio show the other day that he has a personality that you naturally gravitate towards.

Also, Senior Bowl director Jim Nagy (a dude very connected to Seattle) noted that Sweat demonstrated an ability during Senior Bowl practices to take to harder coaching. This last part makes me believe he is a fit for Mike Macdonald in Seattle. Not only is he physically the exact type of player they need at nose tackle, he is also the type of player who the coaches could be able to maximize with a harder no-nonsense brand of coaching that we are now likely to see.

At the end of the day, Macdonald is going to want talented players who are coachable, and Sweat checks off both boxes. If John Schneider takes him, he will feel the heat from some local media members for sure, but they can incentivize his rookie contract with performance and off field behavioral clauses (I believe they did this with Clark). In my opinion, I think it’s a very worthy roll of the dice for greatness.

Brandon Coleman is a guy that I have mocked in the third round to Seattle a couple times now. He was a good pass blocking left tackle in college who wis an explosive athletic tester, and he projects to slide into left guard at the next level.

Seattle is heavily connected to UW’s Troy Fautanu as a player people are projecting to Seattle at pick 16 as a tackle who could be converted to guard at the next level. It would be outstanding if Seattle were to draft him, but I kinda think Fauntanu is going to be well off the board by then.

Coleman could be a decent backup plan later on. He’s not the tenacious run blocker Fautanu is, but he could be potentially a very good pass blocking guard, and offensive line coach Scott Huff does have a history transitioning tackles to guards in college. Coleman was a team captain at TCU, and there is no reason to think that he can’t be coached up to become a more aggressive and effective run blocker. With veteran Laken Tomlinson brought in as a stop gap, this buys time for a talented guy like Coleman to ease into the transition. I really like him for Seattle.

Jeremiah Trotter Junior is another guy I have mocked to the Seahawks twice, and believe is the right character fit filling a need. He was a team leader at Clemson, started a ton of games, called the plays, showed well in coverage, and was a timely blitzer. His dad was a long time NFL linebacker, so you can feel confident he probably knows ball at a pretty high level. He’s not the biggest guy, and he doesn’t have blazing speed, but he’s probably fast enough. In the fourth round, I can see Seattle willing to take a shot on him.

Javon Solomon is a guy I am late on, but I think provides intriguing value in early day three of the draft. At 6-1 246 pounds, he is a compact edge rusher with long arms and some decent enough athletic testing numbers to make you think there is stuff to work with at the next level. Like Trotter, he was a highly productive college player who played with great instincts and he comes into the league already demonstrating a number of pass rush moves. He also plays the run really well. If Seattle wants to come out of this draft with another quality edge defender, he could be a player to keep in mind in the mid rounds.

Kamren Kinchens is just a really good football player at safety, and could see a big slide through the draft because he wasn’t a great athletic tester in gym shorts, and the safety position, as a whole, is becoming more devalued through the draft process. Like Trotter, and Solomon, he’s an instinctual player who plays with a good understanding of the game, and he was a team leader. I think he’s exactly the type of young safety Mike Macdonald might be looking for.

It would be stunning to me of Beaux Limmer lasted late into the sixth round of the draft, but every year that I watch this thing, I see good players still available well into the last stretches. He’s long and strong, and has plenty of experience at guard and center. I think he’s exactly what you are looking for in a backup player capable of filling in at both spots, and Seattle is going to need to step out of this draft with at least two offensive linemen. If they land Coleman and Limmer, I think we can call that a pretty successful haul for what they need on the interior of their offensive line.

Luke McCaffery is just a fun idea at wide receiver, and I would like to see Seattle take a shot at one in this draft class which is rich at the position. I wouldn’t mind it if they took a shot at him earlier than what I am projecting here. On top of showing traits that translate to the league, I think it’s a fun idea to draft Christian’s little brother to further stoke the flames of the Seattle San Francisco rivalry. How’s dad Ed McCaffery going to handle these two games out of the years on Sundays? 49er jersey and Seahawks cap? Fun stuff.

Final final thoughts on this coming draft

I know that I have come across as wanting Seattle to draft a quarterback this year, but I am fine with kicking that can down the line another year if the right player isn’t available. I can see the merit of going other positions and seeing what you might have with Sam Howell as a guy to further develop potentially as a long term starter.

That said, if by chance Michael Penix Junior is sitting at pick 16, and Seattle passes him over for another position, I will blow a gasket. I can take it if he is drafted in front of Seattle, and they punt on Bo Nix, if he is sitting there. For the many reasons I already described, I like Nix a lot, but I need Penix in Seattle, if that is possible.

In my opinion, Penix to Seattle feels like the most logical move to come out of this draft. A couple weeks ago, I did a mock article where Seattle traded up to the 10 spot to take him. They have his offensive coordinator here, and he would come in with A+ arm talent knowing this system perhaps better than Geno Smith and Sam Howell. If Seattle really does want him, I think they should do whatever to make sure he is a Seahawk, and that includes trading up. Just go get him.

On the contrary to this, if they pass an opportunity to draft Penix with him being available at 16, I will damn near lose my mind. If they pass on him, and he ends up being taken by the LA Rams, I will absolutely lose my marbles, you can bank of that.

If you are a fan of my more toxic side filtering out as a writer, the side that I demonstrated when the mediocre Pittsburgh Steelers came into Seattle late last season, and made Bobby Wagner their chew toy, you should root for the scenario of John Schneider passing on Penix and then seeing him drafted by the Rams at pick 19. I am praying that this does not happen. I don’t think it will. I suspect that he does not get past Denver, who is picking at 12, and there is buzz already that the Raiders are looking at him at 13, but none the less, Seattle passing on Penix is the one scenario that I don’t have the fortitude to handle. I cannot have that.

That said, I think it is about 60/40 whether they even take a quarterback at all this year. I think they are aiming for one. I suspect that they dig Penix for all the very obvious reasons. I also have a hunch that they are keen on Nix, and are possibly really into Spencer Rattler, as well. If they don’t land any of the top seven or eight guys, however, I kinda don’t think they will draft one this year, though. This is the reason they traded for Sam Howell. They can say he is a part of this class, and I believe that they really do like him.

I think that they are most definitely going to look to add to the trenches on both sides of the ball. I am not completely convinced that they go offensive line with their first pick, however, if it is not a quarterback. I think there is a strong chance they could take either the best defensive tackle, or edge rusher prospect on their board, and then look towards the offensive line further down the line.

Part of the reason why I think Seattle is eyeing pass rush in the first round is that Jim Nagy mentioned on Twitter X a while back that he didn’t believe Seattle would go offensive line with their first pick. I think it stands to reason that maybe he’s privy to things about Seattle that others are not. This is also partly why I think they might actually go quarterback round one like I am projecting in this final mock draft.

The other reason why I think Seattle might go pass rusher in round one is that it could ultimately make the most sense for their new head coach who was hired to finally build back an elite defense in Seattle (something Pete Carroll ultimately failed to do after the collapse of the LOB defense). Seattle might feel like their offense is close enough to completion that going defense is the bigger need, and they want to ensure a quick turnaround on that side of the ball in year one of Macdonald’s regime. This is why I had them stay put in last week’s mock draft article, selecting Florida State edge rusher Jared Verse.

Ultimately, staying put at 16 and taking a guy like Verse could be the most likely thing for Seattle in a few days. It could also be for Texas defensive tackle Byron Murphy II, who is regarded as the best interior pass rusher in this class. If either one of these guys ends up a Seattle Seahawk this Thursday, you can get plenty excited about that.

I just can’t have them pass on Michael Penix Junior. The disappoint level of that would be equivalent to learning that my wife is a Russian spy. I can’t have that. Hopefully, I won’t.

Go Hawks.

Mocking The Seahawks Mock Draft Round Three: Best Player Available

You can’t always get what you want, but if you try sometimes, well, you just might find that you get what you need.

These sage words of Mick Jagger apply to all walks of life, from sleeping with backup singers twice your size to being inside an NFL war room on draft day. They could very well apply to our beloved Seattle Seahawks right around the corner.

Next week, I believe that John Schneider’s desired plan is to engineer a trade back (or two) from pick 16 that will net Seattle more day two picks. That said, what if he can’t find any takers who will give him fair compensation? If teams know he’s an eager seller, what would stop them from lowballing?

This is what Schneider must be prepared for. Trading back into the lower portion of round one just to get a late third round pick won’t be very appealing, especially if there is a highly compelling prospect to be had at pick 16.

It is also possible that an unexpected player lands to your pick, and he is just way too good to pass up. I suspect there is a small handful of players in this draft that John Schneider has rated so highly that he would not trade back if they found themselves available at 16. I feel like he’s probably got a few of these quarterbacks rated this highly, Georgia tight end Brock Bowers, an offensive lineman or two, and probably a couple pass rushers.

This mock draft article is about staying put, and just taking the best player off your board, regardless of position. Last year, I think the team did this at pick five overall when they took cornerback Devon Witherspoon. There was no outward need for taking a corner that high, but he was just the highest rated player left on their board, and that was that.

As much as we want to anticipate that they will trade back and recoup a second round pick (or more), it may not happen. Here’s a fun hypothetical of what could happen if the right player lands to pick 16.

With the 16th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Jared Verse, Edge Rusher, Florida State

Seattle doesn’t have an overwhelming need at edge rusher, and they have poured high resources into the position for several years now, but sometimes a player is so good that he forces your hand. Verse is regarded by some as the top edge defender in the draft, and it would be stunning if he makes it here, but if he is, Seattle can snap him up and send pass rushers in waves next Fall. A superb selection to start the Mike Macdonald era.

With the 81st pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Matt Goncalves, Offensive Tackle, Pittsburgh

By not trading back at 16 and gather a second round pick, Seattle sweats out a long portion of the draft keeping their fingers crossed that a good offensive lineman will be available when they pick in the middle of the second round. They take Goncalves, who is well sized, athletic, and has experience at playing both tackle positions. It’s very possible he can be looked to convert to guard.

With the 102nd pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Mekhi Wingo, Defensive Tackle, LSU

At the top of round four, Seattle goes best player available again with an active defensive tackle. Wingo is an explosive 3 technique who will push Dre’Mont Jones, and will give Seattle instant interior pass rush depth. Great motor, great character, and a guy you want in your rotation.

With the 118th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Malik Mustapha, Safety, Wake Forest

Seattle stays patient with the safety position and takes potentially a good one here. I mocked him to Seattle before at pick 102, but this time I have them taking him a pick further back. They need to come out of this draft with a good safety prospect, and Mustapha feels like a guy who gets drafted in the middle rounds and ends up a quality NFL starter in a couple years.

With the 179th pick of the 2024 Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Nathaniel Watson, Linebacker, Mississippi State

I mocked Watson to Seattle last week in the sixth round and I am repeating it here. They brought him in for a visit the other week, he’s a productive three down player who called plays for the Bulldogs, and Seattle needs to take a linebacker. At this stage, he’s the best linebacker left on their board.

With the 192nd pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Michael Barrett, Linebacker, Michigan

Seattle double dips at linebacker by taking a player familiar with Mike Macdonald’s system and was productive. Barrett may not amount to much more than a depth player in the league, but he played for the national champs on the defense that Macdonald built. If there is one spot for him to land and maybe be molded into an eventual starter, it would be Seattle.

With the 235th pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the Seattle Seahawks select Brevyn Spann-Ford, Tight End, Minnesota

With their final pick of the draft, the Seahawks select a tight end who is well sized with decent hands and size to be a good blocker. He’s a developmental player who offers some upside, and maybe that is what they are looking for out of third tight end spot.

Thoughts about this mock draft

I don’t think it’s likely Jared Verse makes it to pick 16, but sometimes funny things happen. If five quarterbacks are taken in front of Seattle along with several offensive linemen, some receivers, and a supremely talented tight end from Georgia, all it might take is for a team or two take one of the other top edge rushers over Verse for him to land to where Seattle picks. My goodness, what a blessing this would be for Seattle, if this proved true.

This mock draft isn’t a terrible scenario for Seattle, in my opinion. They land a guy who has the talent to become one of the top edge rushers in the league in a few years, and will make they pass rush rotation potentially very strong in year one of Mike Macdonald’s regime. While I don’t believe they need to take an edge rusher in round one, Verse could be so special that it’s really kind of a no brainer.

Mike Macdonald has recently described his football philosophy as playing a brand of ball that makes the opposition feel like they are playing more than eleven players. San Fransisco felt that when they played the Ravens last year, and Brock Purdy played one of his worst games of his young career. The Washington Huskies felt that in the championship game when they played a Michigan defense that Macdonald was the former architect of, and Michael Penix Junior continues to get criticized for his underwhelming performance against it.

By adding Jared Verse to a group that includes Nwosu, the up and coming talents of Boye Mafe and Derick Hall, and the pass rush abilities of Darrell Taylor, Macdonald could bring waves of edge rushers in year one of his regime. It’s hard to imagine that he would not want that.

When you mix in a guy like Mehki Wingo, an active inside pass rusher, John Schneider would give his first year head coach the ability to also stock his inside pass rush. Suddenly, he’s got an interior pass rush that include Leonard Williams, Jarran Reed, Dre’Mont Jones, Wingo, and potentially Mike Morris who was drafted last year and played for Macdonald in Michigan. Wingo mixed with Verse, coming out of this draft, could be enough to give this side of the ball an impressive turnaround this Fall. That’s an exciting thought.

In the third round, I had them opting for a gigantic 6-6 327 pound dude who played left and right tackle in college and could develop into a guard, giving Seattle an enormous offensive line in the future. Goncalves missed a bunch of games with a toe injury in 2023, but has tape showing an active guy who held up in pass protection well enough, but had an ability to explode into the second level opening up run lanes. He was also a team captain. In the NFL he might be a serviceable starting tackle, but if he learns to play with better leverage, he has the potential to be a much better guard.

With Seattle bringing in Laken Tomlinson, drafting a talented gigantic tackle like Goncalves and transitioning him to guard makes sense, in my opinion, and should they sustain injuries at tackle, he already has that in his background. Tomlinson buys time for Goncalves to grow into the position, and Seattle has Scott Huff who was an excellent offensive line coach at UW, and known for successfully converting tackles to guards for the Huskies. Also, Goncalves has a Baltimore Raven style offensive lineman vibe about him, and I dig that.

Beyond these guys, I have Seattle taking shots on guys to plug in at need spots. Beyond offensive line help, they need a talented young safety to eventually become a starter. I think they need a third option at tight end to develop as a key contributor in the future. I think they need to come out of this draft with a linebacker (or two) who can grow in Mike Macdonald’s system behind Jerome Baker and Tyrel Dobson.

What this mock draft also shows, however, is the disappoint that could be felt from not trading back from 16, collecting further picks. This draft is especially deep at offensive line and receiver. In this mock, I have Seattle only taking one offensive lineman, and it would be a shame if they did not grab two from this class, and it would also kinda be a bummer if they didn’t take advantage of the richness of the receiver situation, as well. In this scenario, they miss out on both opportunities by choosing to take Jared Verse at 16. That is the price of staying put and taking a non offensive lineman even if he could be a great player at another position.

Also, I believe that John Schneider would love to draft a quarterback this year, if he can. If they miss out on one (as presented in this scenario), I think it would be an irritant for him. In his first draft apart from Pete Carroll, one where he can finally get back to his Green Bay DNA of drafting and developing quarterbacks, I can see it ego bruising for him if he did not finally take a swing on one, even if it is a later round pick.

In this mock, however, I wanted to show a scenario where Schneider misses out again at quarterback. As much as I believe he wants to take one, I don’t think he will burn a pick on one just for the sake of it. He likely has them rated in ranges where he would be comfortable taking them, but it might not fall the way he wants it to for them, and in this case, it doesn’t.

In the end, this would still be a draft class that Seattle can feel good enough about. They didn’t address offensive line they way I wanted them to do it, and that stings, but adding Jared Verse to this defense would have the potential of being franchise altering in an exciting way. In the long run, that might prove more fruitful towards building into a true contender.

When the Rams stayed put and took Aaron Donald, it changed their coarse from being bottom barrel to Super Bowl contender in a few short years after a coaching change. When the 49ers sucked in Kyle Shanahan’s early years, they snatched Nick Bosa at the top of the draft even though they already had a stacked defensive line, that move immediately made them a contender, and they have mostly been a top NFL team ever sense. I’m not going to suggest the Verse will be as dominant as either of those guys, but he could have enough talent to fall within the group who is just a notch below. In this league, every team would gladly take that.

If Seattle was fortunate enough to land a dude like Verse, it could be the golden ticket to truly turn this defense around in a huge way in year one of Macdonald’s regime. This is why I would just stay put and do it. I think Verse can be that good in this league, especially if he gets with a dude like Macdonald.

That is certainly something to get excited about if it happens.

Go Hawks.